Cooper Legion

I hope you boys are prepared for a week 8 extended cut for all future MCU movies

Numbers for the update, for those who don’t want to click through: Good Boys 8.8/11 TLk 6.4/8.5 Overcomer 5.7/7.6 H&S 5.9/7.5 Ready or not 5.8/7.2 Scary stories 4.3/5.5 Hollywood 4.1/5.3 angry birdies 4/5.3 (ouch) PBF 3.6/4.7 Bennet’s War 532/686k and an incredible 5.4/7.0 for Spidey

Fucking gold https://deadline.com/2019/08/angel-has-fallen-dont-let-go-blumhouse-labor-day-weekend-box-office-1202708288/

The Friday:3-day ratio they provided for Angel shows that they’re pretty clueless about the weekend trajectory imo. With Sun flat Fri:3 should be x3.7-x4.5 for live action (and for animation probably more like x4.8). So that AHF 2.7 would be more like an 11M 3-day, similar error on the other movies would be: Good Boys low 8s overcomer low 6s Don’t let go low 3s Bennet’s war low .6s So either the Fri night update or the Sat morning update should show pretty huge movement. I honestly debated whether to link that at all it, but I figured if I didn’t probably somebody would eventually with less of a disclaimer upfront 😛

Given the time and the source, don’t take this too seriously. Deadline is saying: Angel 8.1 3-day Good Boys 6M 3-day Overcomer 4.6M 3-day Son’t let go 2.4M 3-day Bennet’s War 470k 3-day https://deadline.com/2019/08/angel-has-fallen-dont-let-go-blumhouse-labor-day-weekend-box-office-1202708288/

New long-range update out: https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-forecast-black-and-blue-plus-more-it-chapter-two-hustlers-and-other-updates/ Notable updates: It 2 — 105/255 (-12% each) Hustlers — 27/73 (+29%, +22%)

Looks like high 50s to me, maybe 10-15% over Thurs. That would be ~190-200 for the weekend. Wonder what day NZ will beat it in dailies. Probably next Fri or Sat, with school starting up.

Wow, that is a huge expansion for FFH. It’s in the pretty awkward position where exactly the sort of fans who would repeat view a CBM movie over 4 minutes of new footage are not feeling very positively about Spider-man right now. Think the PTA might go real low.

Discord is da bomb.

Simply an amazing performance from Ne Zha. Definitely rounding out Endgame and Aladdin in my personal top 3 runs of 2019 so far (WW).

Well well well, that worked out nicely. Ne Zha looks like it will just barely miss 4M to me. I guess the PSm should rise, but I was expecting Fri PS to be higher.

Looking like 52,53ish to me.

I’m feeling like 9.5ish Thursday from the recent activity in this thread, which would be... underwhelming (probably sub 90 weekend). However! It’s still more than a week out, and we don’t have any ideal comps. Plenty of time to pick up or just perform differently. There is a funny conundrum I’ve had a couple of times where I think “oh, well, maybe It 2 will actually be less presales heavy than It 1 because it has less of an event vibe (warning: anecdotal).” And then I realize that if it actually does have less of an event vibe, that’s at least as consistent with “lower presales, lower debut” as “lower presales but somehow a roughly similar debut anyway.”

What are we counting as a breakout? 500M?

Curse Mr Pastaffelees and their .02% lead... but I guess this is a trend I can live with.

But now what are we supposed to talk about for 2 weeks

Yeah, I'm guessing they won't post weekday actuals until Friday or next Monday, but not sure.

It looks like The Peanut Butter Falcon Monday number is still an estimate rather than an actual, I assume we’ll just use the Tuesday estimate for it? Don’t think this day will extract a heavy toll.

10) Dora and the Lost City of Gold Paramount Pictures $892,669 +95% 2,843 $314 $44,582,333 19 Sfran posted the gross earlier, but I didn’t realize it was +95

OD sep 6, right? I’m seeing it on the dashboard with .118M https://piaofang.maoyan.com/dashboard?date=2019-09-06&movieId=894477 Just 2.7k shows, PS haven’t really begun in earnest.

Thu PS seems like about 8, -11% (I”m working with 3:00 numbers, so won’t know exactly for a bit still). I expect the PSm to deteriorate some today for low 50s, but could perhaps be as high as 55. Then we’d have a weekend something like: F 66 S 92 S 67 total 225, -68% If today comes in at just 50, maybe more like 205/ -71%. And then next weekdays will have huge WoW drops because of school. I feel like it might be a bit more hurt by Ne Zha’s 5th week than I expected. Speaking of, today Ne Zha picks up its 34th consecutive day over $4M Will be a nailbiter to see if it can make 38 days, this is a single market record that could stand for a long time.

FWIW, I noticed recently that if you convert FFH to an equivalent Friday opening, the median adjusted MCU OW is Iron Man 1 with 130 (rolling in previews). That’s a happy coincidence, and not too hard to see IM1 staying near the median for a long time.

Wow, just look at that affected business. Couldn’t even hit 1.8. Sad

Some of those comps inching up over the past few days. Still I’d like to see a bit more pop this week to be comfortable in hitting 9 digits.

Haha, this was exactly my first draft response.