Cooper Legion
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11:20 ; 15:20 ; projected final ; projected admits (vs yesterday) EXIT 153 ; 244 ; 353-371 ; 792k (-0%) TDF 31 ; 53 ; 81-86 ; 209k (-10.5%) SLoP2 28 ; 43 ; 48 ; 103k (-17.5%) TLK 22 ; 33 ; 44 ; 93k (-10%) Aladdin 24 ; 34 ; 44 ; 79k (-9%) It’s still 3 PM Sunday, and first Sun for most of these movies, so nights might go a bit different than that. EXIT having a really excellent opening, should remain strong for weeks to come given reception. The Divine Fury, SLoP2, and TLK don’t seem as more formidable, Aladdin should be above the latter two fairly soon I hope.
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Avengers: 623 DOM, ~343 rev 809 OS-C, ~324 rev 86 C, ~20 rev Total theatrical rev ~ 687M F7: 353 DOM, ~194 rev 772 OS-C, ~309 rev 391 C, ~90 rev total theatrical rev ~593, so just having the money from other places lowers by $100M furious also has a lot of backend deals considering the long-running nature and the star studded cast (Avengers cast was much cheaper for TA than Endgame). That said, Deadline still estimated 350M+ profit for F7. Jat was mentioning ~400M in ancillary revenue for F7 mean that H&S might barely break even if it come soon in the low end of what looks right atm.
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The Honorable Mentions that year weren’t simply 11th-15th place, but the top 5 movies outside the top 10 with production budgets of 40M or less. https://deadline.com/2018/03/movie-profit-2017-baby-driver-wonder-split-annabelle-creation-girls-trip-1202354131/ I think it’s a pretty safe bet that it made more profit than 50M, even if a lot of the gross was from OS/C.
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~1.35x prod budget as revenue For comparison, F8: DOM 226M gross, ~124 rev OS-C 617M gross, ~247M rev C 393M gross (is this actually right? Looks like the ERs were stable so BOM shouldn’t have fucked it up too much), ~83 rev 455M or so total rev on an estimated 250M budget, 1.82x (roughly). Yet Deadline estimated revenue as less than 124M. A lot of missing data from out perspective, but my best guess would be that it makes money but not that much money.
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Hmm, pretty close on the Hollywood movies, relatively big difference on the top 2. Both should be adjusted as the final theaters and numbers get tabulated,so hopefully they’re in total agreement in 24 hours or so. Thanks for bringing that to my attention, if the KOBIS early numbers prove more accurate than KOBIZ I’ll switch to them.
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Whaaaaat!? I had no idea. Those are from KOBIZ, which AFAIK is just English KOBIS. I would have assumed the numbers would be identical.
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Worked out pretty well. I hit Aladdin final CGV on the head but that damn CGV ratio just won’t go back down. Aug 03, 2019 Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross (Total) Admissions (Total) Number of Screens Revenue Share 1 EXIT South Korea Jul 31, 2019 $5,516,224 ($14,572,782) 749,544 (2,146,442) 1,576 55.42% 2 The Divine Fury South Korea Jul 31, 2019 $1,620,681 ($6,045,665) 219,324 (948,489) 1,137 16.28% 3 The Secret Life of Pets 2 U.S. Jul 31, 2019 $853,665 ($3,285,040) 124,028 (527,585) 930 8.57% 4 The Lion King U.S. Jul 17, 2019 $728,143 ($32,294,496) 101,189 (4,411,337) 833 7.31% 5 Aladdin U.S. May 23, 2019 $626,008 ($86,234,414) 83,878 (12,152,746) 686 6.28% 6 Red Shoes South Korea Jul 25, 2019 $307,834 ($3,128,446) 45,483 (483,101) 558 3.09% Sun PS: EXIT 102 TDF 20 Slop2 18 (-18%) TLK 15 (-17%) Aladdin 18 (-10%)
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Looks like roughly: Exit +57% (750) TDF +50% (235) SLoP2 +16% (125) TLK +30% (105) Aladdin +30% (90) Blah increases all ‘round, but I guess that is about 1.3M admits from the top 5 so good seats are probably getting a bit tight. Massive drop from last Saturday for Aladdin, about -50%. Can’t have another week like this and beat Endgame.
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After the 2nd weekend, BaTB, TDKR, and JWFK were looking like decent TLK comps to me. (Incidentally all 3 of those had identical multipliers off their first Mon-Sun week — Spooky). Drop from 1st Mon-Sun to 2nd Mon-Sun: BATB 144.3-> 74.3, -48.5% TDKR 126.2-> 66.8, -47.1% JWFK 117.7-> 66.7, -43.3% (July 4 boosted. Rough way of taking that into account gives more like a 48% drop) Giving TLK a 36.2M weekend it’s looking at: 160.1->77, -51.9% Multis from this week are: TDKR 3.01x BATB 2.49x JWFK ~2.4 adjusting for July 4th Barren August but medium reception, this TLK will do closer to BATB/JWFK’s multis there for 535-550ish.