Cooper Legion

July fireworks are getting real intense now, and to think these two weekend might get followed by an even bigger one is a month

Eventually Aliddin’s got to stop. I mean, right? Right?!?! Surely it can’t just keep grossing 100k Friday’s into 2020 Anyway it’s hard to say when/if it will start dropping more precipitously, so I’m not willing to say Avatar going down yet. But if I was EG I’d be starting to feel ... a bit nervous.

The first few days are always the most uncertain, but knowing the exact presales for a new opener and the exact PS for previous openers is a huge leg up in predicting true Fridays. At worst I could see 24*2.5=60M true Fri, 83M OD, but that’s a pretty presale heavy scenario for a movie like this.

Early daily nums: 1 The Lion King U.S. Jul 17, 2019 $2,373,723 ($6,404,935) 296,195 (840,877) 1,855 55.5% 2 Spider-Man: Far From Home U.S. Jul 02, 2019 $724,126 ($52,362,300) 97,258 (7,144,434) 871 16.93% 3 Aladdin U.S. May 23, 2019 $708,869 ($76,441,839) 93,714 (10,538,828) 766 16.57% 4 Toy Story 4 U.S. Jun 20, 2019 $102,040 ($23,258,964) 13,944 (3,227,301) 318 2.38% 5 PARASITE South Korea May 30, 2019 $56,190 ($72,293,894) 8,702 (9,975,879) 191 1.31% Aladdin with a roughly -5% weekly drop in the face of TLK Sat PSm will be 1.95-2.1 or so, PS is 164k, so thinking 320-345k final CGV and ~640-700k admits.

Dark days. Now we live in more enlightened times where the best reviewed live-action movies of the summer are funnybook flicks

For now

I expect the audience rating to settle at like 85 or something. Good but nothing crazy in the verified era. Unless there’s unexpected frontloading WW top 10 looks pretty good right now, maybe top half dozen.

I just didn’t know where to find the data on past days before 😆

Damn, will it even be able to beat Aladdin’s 7th weekend?

Deadline Hollywood, also known as Deadline.com and previously known as the news blog Deadline Hollywood Daily https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deadline_Hollywood

1,666 audience reviews, is this a sign

14:20 TLK 96k FFH 27k Jasmine & co 26k So far TLK seems right on track for above, maybe leaning more towards the higher end. Could be pretty close between FFH and Aladdin.

Seems reasonable, seems reasonable. But on to the important Disney LA this week, how’s 1M lookin’?

Hopefully history won’t repeat 😛

Those would be excellent previews, though I’m not the most trusting of 8PM Deadline.

Wow, KOBIZ is great, lol. @pepsa I updated FFH with actuals and also made several minor tweaks to the presentation and supplemental data. If you (or Stewart, who seems to be busy recently) would like any of that reverted just let me know. Or if you have anything else you’d like implemented, I’m trying to brush up my spreadsheet skills atm.

Just when I thought Sonic would be the most unsettling character design from 2019 trailers

Oh boy. Oh dear. Oh my my my my lawdy

What in the world 😮

Been riding that train since 2018, too easy

JW pls. I forget exactly what F2 clubs exist already, might be something close.

Ah, so just 2010s then. Didn’t realize all the Pixar films pre-acquisition were still Disney distributed.

Yeah, get to play a little 6 degrees mini game every time, and it keeps your “who co-starred in what” game sharp. My path to BatB was a bit limited by not remembering a single actor in it other than Emma

They called me a madman... and what I predicted came to pass.

¥1.1B, I think it’s a pretty conservative guess (as minimums should be). We’ll see about Spider-man 4 in 2023, I think it’ll be over 2B