Cooper Legion

35/80

Aladdin > KotM+XDP+MIB:I ?

Deadline’s Friday would be great for Aladdin, awful for Endgame. Might miss 850 even with a Labor Day expansion.

MCU OWs this year (2): 1 1 Avengers: Endgame BV $807,688,784 4,662 $357,115,007 4,662 4/26 - 2 2 Captain Marvel BV $426,011,433 4,310 $153,433,423 4,310 3/8 - =510.5M (With Spider-man 6-day, over 700M.) In contrast, top 9 non-MCU 2019 openings: 3 5 Aladdin (2019) BV $142,697,174 4,476 $91,500,929 4,476 5/24 - 4 3 Us Uni. $174,891,780 3,743 $71,117,625 3,741 3/22 - 5 8 John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum LG/S $114,652,812 3,850 $56,818,067 3,850 5/17 - 6 4 How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World Uni. $160,596,575 4,286 $55,022,245 4,259 2/22 - 7 7 Pokemon Detective Pikachu WB $123,936,211 4,248 $54,365,242 4,202 5/10 - 8 6 Shazam! WB (NL) $138,690,400 4,306 $53,505,326 4,217 4/5 - 9 9 Dumbo (2019) BV $112,985,882 4,259 $45,990,748 4,259 3/29 - 10 10 Glass Uni. $111,035,005 3,844 $40,328,920 3,841 1/18 4/4 11 12 The LEGO Movie 2: The Second Part WB $105,806,508 4,303 $34,115,335 4,303 2/8 5/9 =502M Look at the top 3 Disney OWs and you need the next 17(!) biggest OWs of the year to equalize. Just brutal for end of 5th month. Things will start to balance out with TS4 and TLK, but still Disney

I guess: May 2020 Black Widow Summer 2020 Eternals Nov 2020 Shang-Chi Feb 2021 ?? May 2021 ?? July 2021 Spider-man 3 Nov 2021 DS2 Shang Chi maybe an early 2021 movie if they stick with just 2 for 2020. SDCC just under 2 months away, will finally have some real news.

DS2 5 years after DS, guess it will flop 😛

I can’t believe I missed that

Oh you, they’re obviously going to team up against Ghidoomsdorah after discovering they like the same kind of sandwich.

Immediately after seeing Endgame I was like: “Damn, Natasha’s sacrifice was a big deal, it would be a real undermining of stakes and impact to bring her back.” Now I’m like: “... but please do it anyway.”

I’m getting vibes of Alita reception this weekend. It has a super high audience RT. Many of the people who saw it loved it. The issue is that the good audience reception is due (more than normal) to a self-selection effect — people who aren’t sure they’ll love it just decide not to go.

Compared to board expectations, this quartet was perfectly balanced.

Though stan the right franchise and you never have to think about this dilemma 😎

At least it’s better to have your favorite franchise’s movie be meh BO but you love the film vs great BO movie you hate.

Adjusted? Otherwise you’re predicting the death of cinema 😛

Aladdin is headed low-mid 40s if Rth number holds imo. Shot to win the pure FSS frame, but Godzilla TFSS should win out comfortably.

@Menor absolutely killing it today.

Weird way to spell “24”

17 PT 5/31/19 (End of Fri) 1 28.1% Aladdin 2 23.4% Godzilla: King of the Monsters 3 18.6% Rocketman 4 10.4% Ma 5 5.2% John Wick:Chapter 3 - Parabellum Hmm, don’t think I’ll ever have to issue a #1 update for KotM.

G14 killed KotM. Being a great movie stabilized Aladdin.

I’ve got a perfect prediction for Sun total. You all can guess, and I’ll reveal in 4 days.

17 PT 5/30/19 (End of Thurs) 1 31% Aladdin 2 22.7% Godzilla: King of the Monsters 3 15.2% Rocketman 4 6.3% Ma 5 5.9% John Wick:Chapter 3 - Parabellum Goodnight sweet prince. Godzilla still in 2. Iirc Aladdin hit 1 end of Wed and Wick 4 hours before end of Thurs, but both against weaker competitors.

Less than 2 months apart

Yeah, I think only Endgame, FFH, TROS with a good shot, and even those two aren’t guaranteed. I have a hard time imagining the F2 OW below TS4, and that pre-Thanksgiving weekend has coughed up an adjusted 170+ OW with Catching Fire.

Movies to go above 200M by end of first Sunday: Endgame (almost twice, wtf) TS4 FFH TLK F2 TROS

I’m kind of jonesing for a third watch. This is probably the biggest surprise of the year to me, was expexting to find it quite medium-bad but instead it might end up as my favorite non-Frozen/MCU movie of the year. It’s got some rocky parts, but Will Smith, Naomi Scott, and Speechless pull a whole bunch of weight.