Cooper Legion

3 billion will happen next time the US economy collapses. Hopefully takes a while 😛

Yeah, I know it’s just them guessing. I’m saying those guesses look very beatable to me. In contrast to other weekends when I might think Variety’s early Fri guesses seem too high.

Hoping for Wick, Endgame, and Pika to beat those Variety projections.

Getting a bit ahead of myself, Avengers Memorial 4-day: wknd before Labor Day multipliers. TA 141.1/47.2=2.99 AoU 74.6/28.2=2.645 IW 73.5/22.45=3.27

I just like to look at a larger assemblage of historical performances. There’s a good argument that it will follow IW closely from here, but also some room for worse late legs. If MDW goes well I will probably throw out CW for TA though. CW’s 45% MDW drop was very different than the rest of the large May MCUs.

The correlation between pre-MDW weekly multi and Memorial Day week % drop is pretty strong. I think we’ll see roughly -32% for Endgame and adding about 1.66x ->850, then ~855 with Labor Day.

The not cool react on this is priceless

Following pre-MDW weekly multi of: CW 781+40*1.17=828M IM3 781+40*1.32=834M AoU 781+40*1.52=842M IW 781+40*1.895=857M

Specifically it’s 1,905,738. Just a couple thousand shy of IW.

Ah, gotcha 👍

Less variety in remakes than MCU, no matter how much some people try to claim that Winter Solider, Ragnarok, and Ant-Man & the Wasp are basically the same. Remake fatigue might become real in a way that superhero fatigue has failed to.

Mayday life rocking a 9.6 right now

Sonic has entered the arena. Also Nov 2019 went from crowded to a wasteland.

Been thinking 100+ past couple days. Still thinking it. Preview:OD multiplier will probably be quite healthy.

7, per Deadline

But what is 7*9? Oh well, guess we will never know.

I’m interested in exploring this correlation as well, once we get more data. Aladdin won’t get an A+. Having seen it there’s just no way, the plus is quite exclusive.

Nobody’s expecting literal 10x legs or anything. “Pulls a Jumanji” just means unexpectedly successful with the GA and legs out quite well.

Biggest movie franchise will be releasing like half of their big content chunks straight to streaming this year, so naturally it looks a little barren 😉

And we all know how well that worked out

I think Endgame is losing some IMAX/PLFs tonight which IW had already lost by now, failed to take that into account when thinking about today. Even still, above 1.91 would be nice

Jasmine/Naomi Scott is a clear highlight. Most people I’ve talked to say she was great and other main characters just fine to bad. Audience review #s on RT are very low right now, and it’s unclear to me how valuable it will be with the new change, but it’s showing some early indications of being another critic/GA mismatch. Disney live reimagining CS scores: Maleficent A Jungle Book A Pete’s Dragon A BatB A Cinderella A Dumbo A- AiW A- AttLG A- Oz B+ Guessing A for Aladdin, but A- not shocking. Wonder if this group will ever get an A+.

I’ll take 7.9

Yeah, Wick MT % of non-Aladdin sales was down 16%. Pika down 1%. Endgame up 23%. I don’t really know why that is. I just jot these down for posterity, calculate some related figures that seem moderately interesting, and make a casual observation or two. Depending on how MT counts double features it might partially be that, as @YourMother the Edgelord says.

Think I’ll take the O on Endgame Thurs O/U Wed.