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Cooper Legion

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Everything posted by Cooper Legion

  1. That would be a pretty sweet hold and might lead to a 13M+ finish, right? Looks like light competition all June unless something can break out or there’s a local I’m missing.
  2. 17 PT 6/5/19 (End of Wed) 1 27.3% Aladdin 2 12.2% Godzilla: King of the Monsters 3 11% Rocketman 4 8% Ma 5 7.7% The Secret Life of Pets 2 New 5th in the last update of the day. I think I’m going to start appending daily Fandango data in a spoiler box, just so they’re around to compare future movies with. New openers that are big enough+occasionally huge 2nd or 3rd weekends.
  3. 112.5 and 165. These are my personal, carefully considered, completely original guesses, and you definitely should not even attempt to double check that
  4. Not if it misses 200 it won’t be Hobbes and Shaw could also miss. First non Disney-produced movie over 200 to be It 2?
  5. Since I have somehow found myself on the “legs were medium-bad” side of my favorite movie and BO run ever, I do have one more observation to make. The low legs are not just a function of having 60M previews and a 300M pure FSS in the denominator. The 2nd weekend multiplier avoids all of that, and it ‘s still going to be a 2.45 or so. The 3rd weekend multi will be low too. It’s not like it had unavoidably big 2nd and 3rd week drops because it was dropping from unsustainable heights and then leveled out some, the drops have been sizable every week — likely due to the fact that so many of its likely audience had seen it already (multiple times in many cases).
  6. I think some people have misinterpreted what I’m saying. Or at least, most of the responses seem to be making a bit of a straw man out of my actual point. I emphatically did did not say (and would never, because it would be absurd) that Endgame is having a bad run. It had a ludicrous opening week x low end multiplier=spectacular run. The total numbers don’t make a low multi into a high multi though.
  7. I’m not saying it’s all proportional. 2.9 would be spectacular for a big opening blockbuster, not so much a Christmas animation. I’m saying there’s a balance between raw dollars and proportions. If Endgame ended at 790M it would still have added more post OW than all but 5 movies, but with really poor legs. Endgame dropped hard for perfectly understandable reasons, after huge previews, making a mockery of the true Friday, Saturday, and Sunday records, and being a the finale of a 22 movie arc. I understand all of that. But none of it negates the fact that it is dropping hard. Explaining the reasons for dropping hard doesn’t mean it isn’t.
  8. people were going out of their way to focus on other metrics to explain why the legs being bad is fine, which it absolutely is, but I never suggested otherwise.
  9. Lop the previews off any every other movie gets a much higher multi too. 2.62 is a pretty meh “minus previews” multi. It’s a great raw number, but it’s roughly 1.35x the OW. I’m pretty sure you know legs are a proportional rather than absolute metric. WW only added 300M. TGS only added 165M. “Money added post OW” isn’t how these things are calculated.
  10. I was pretty clear that I knew *why* the legs were bad in the original post guys. I don’t know why 5 people felt compelled to reiterate it.
  11. Speaking of Endgame, with the past 7 days multi of: CW 818+12.5*1.43=836M IM3 818+12.5*1.52=837M AoU 818+12.5*1.95=842M IW 818+12.5*2.06=844M So it will probably need a Labor Day expansion for 840, and would miss 850 even with one. The opening was some once in a generation madness, and the total is of course spectacular, but it led to some ugly legs.
  12. It will get the Marvel logo but not the Marvel Studios logo, just like e.g. Venom, TASM2, Apocalypse, Logan, Deadpool, Fantastic Four 2015, etc. The MCU has done just fine despite the Marvel logo showing up in front of other studios properties.
  13. My god, I hadn’t seen the audience score before. That’s truly amazing.
  14. 17 PT 6/4/19 (End of Tues) 1 30.8% Aladdin 2 15.2% Godzilla: King of the Monsters 3 13.1% Rocketman 4 10.1% Ma 5 7.9% John Wick:Chapter 3 - Parabellum 
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