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Cooper Legion

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Everything posted by Cooper Legion

  1. Cooper Legion
    Jesus Christ, can’t believe I’m longing for the high quality days of the 2018 Fanboy War thread. That was a dumpster fire already.
  2. Cooper Legion
    Except it opens the weekend before Thanksgiving, on Friday.
  3. Cooper Legion
    The daily is over the cume, truly astonishing
  4. Cooper Legion
    CBMs get tricky. DOFP is up big from first class, but it’s kind of a direct sequel, kind of a crossover. Same with MOS and BvS. Logan is kind of a sequel and up, The Wolverine was kind of a sequel and down. JL is sort of a sequel, sort of a crossover, down big. Apocalypse down. Phoenix looking quite likely down. MCU has like 9 increases (likely 10 with FFH) and 2 decreases, but it’s driven by the Avengers engine — I specifically mentioned non-MCU sequels. Anyway, I get the rough impression that the balance is closer for CBMs, but movieman seemed to be saying just sequels in general, and I wanted to point out that that didn’t seem very accurate to me.
  5. Cooper Legion
    I mena, obviously *some* sequels increase. They were suggesting it was a majority this decade, and on the other side there’s: FB2 TLJ JWFK MI5 KotM DP2 Mamma Mia 2 LM2 Paddington 2 Daddy’s home 2 Conjuring 2 Mockingjay 1 and 2 KFP2,3 Cars 2,3 Hangover 2,3 Expendables 2,3 Taken 2,3 DM3 TASM2 50 shades 2,3 HTTYD 2,3 Pitch Perfect 3 HT3 Some other increases that came to mind (some quite small): MI6 Creed 2 Equalizer 2 Catching Fire DM2 PP2 HT2 There have ave been a bunch more sequels this decade, I’m not claiming this is a rigorous exhaustive analysis. Just that the idea “the trend this decade has been increases” seems very difficult to believe.
  6. Cooper Legion
    Is it really? I doubt this is true looking at non-MCU sequels, and they’re in a unique situation.
  7. Cooper Legion
    Dumbo was the annual sacrifice, they just moved it up from MDW this year to get things over with upfront
  8. Cooper Legion
  9. Cooper Legion
    When it looked like a 10-15 mil miss I thought they’d go for it, now that it seems more 25-35 miss I’m more skeptical. Aside from Disney special action the run in essentially over now - not that there’s no more money to be made, but the uncertainty in its landing zone if like 1%. It’ll be more than 33% over every other movie from the 2010s, and might not be matched until the late 2020s. That’s far more than good enough.
  10. Cooper Legion
    Means 7 days ago was Memorial Day 😛 I mean, it’s hard to know exactly how to adjust for that — maybe if you did so perfectly it would still look good for Phoenix, maybe it would look bad, I really don’t have a clue. Tues and Wed should be a lot more valuable, like you said.
  11. Cooper Legion
    The summer slate of the medium-intensity movie goer: Endgame Endgame Aladdin TS4 FFH TLK Not enough money for other stuff.
  12. Cooper Legion
    Nothing’s ever really gone. Also yeah, forgot about the MT update with bday distractions. I see the ak tracker is fixed.
  13. Cooper Legion
    Top 3 for next 3?
  14. Cooper Legion
    #7 with more admits for the weekend than #3 is really funny.
  15. Cooper Legion
    Presumably meant Disney produced (yes, yes, technically co-produced).
  16. Cooper Legion
    Netflix animated Magic:The Gathering series with Russos as executive producers 😍
  17. Cooper Legion
    Initial BOP long-range forecast Godzilla: King of the Monsters $46,000,000 NEW $110,000,000 I remember this was ridiculed by many at the time. It will be remarkably close.
  18. Cooper Legion
    This season has been wild so far.
  19. Cooper Legion
    If it gets closer to 100 than 50 I think a lot will be pleasantly surprised. Would it be the craziest thing to happen this year? Definitely not. Better chance than It 2? Don’t think so.
  20. Cooper Legion
    Main threat for a non Disney produced movie seems to be It 2
  21. Cooper Legion
    9.4 actuals then. OS-SK drop probably pretty decent.
  22. Cooper Legion
    Isn’t the first run target 2.749?
  23. Cooper Legion
    Wow, talk about inspiring confidence with a marketing campaign
  24. Cooper Legion
    -24% for Aladdin is damn sexy though. No big competition until TS4, right? Seems like it could more than a third of the way to 100M.
  25. Cooper Legion
    I think MT demographics are very friendly to Aladdin. The actual grosses will obviously come in much closer than the 150% there. But presumably the skew is about the same as yesterday, so I think the gap will grow from Sat. Edit: to expand a bit more, it’s my impression that MT tends to overindex for kid and family movies and under index for R rated/adult movies. Part of why I always include the previous day to compare.
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