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Cooper Legion

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Everything posted by Cooper Legion

  1. Cooper Legion
    No, the change of Emperors+calendar configuration this year seem to be granting an additional 3-4 holiday days that IW didn’t have. Assuming I interpreted the breakdown at the top of this page correctly.
  2. Cooper Legion
    So Endgame will have its OD followed by 10 straight days of no school+no work? Fun times. 20M USD looks pretty unlikely for CM off of that weekend forecast, right?
  3. Cooper Legion
    Not only sequels and remakes. But it is pretty telling imo that the really successful original films are making like 1/3 the really successful franchise films.
  4. Cooper Legion
    That 32 for Us would make me sad if Deadline early Friday was anything more than blindfolded dart throwing.
  5. Cooper Legion
    Turning to numbers for a bit, CM had a solid 2.52 Thurs. Some potentially relevant Thurs:wknd multipliers include: CM 2nd — 7.35-> 18.5M CM 3rd — 8.1-> 20.4M BatB last March week — 7.5-> 18.9M Kong last March week — 7.8-> 19.65M Kong had the same release schedule, pretty similar weekdays, same multi this week as the previous. Thinking 20-21ish
  6. Cooper Legion
    Really funny how the default position from movies geeks is “sequels and remakes are inherently worse than original films” while the position from GA is pretty clearly “ sequels and remakes are generally superior to original films.” These corporations are efficiently satisfying people’s true entertainment desires, yet somehow they get held at fault while the real drivers of the sequel and remake culture (the audience) are almost completely ignored in the discussion.
  7. Cooper Legion
    What I expecting, but still good drop relative to other movies today. Passed GotG before the weekend after all.
  8. Cooper Legion
    Such a needed post that I’m quoting it just so it appears more in the thread.
  9. Cooper Legion
    Good thursday number, 50+ almost certain.
  10. Cooper Legion
    If it does ultimately come in at 182, it will be a full 33 minutes longer than IW (149). That’s more than +20%
  11. Cooper Legion
    I doubt Thurs goes below 2.35. Will see when I wake up.
  12. Cooper Legion
    Amusing thing I just noticed is that IW had a 2.63 DOM multiplier, 2.48 OS-C, and 1.88 China. Same for CM would be totals of 404 DOM, 544 OS-C, and 167 China, for 1.115 WW.
  13. Cooper Legion
    Added 16.4M since Sun, compared to 10M DOM in same period. Actually higher than I expected. Is now 938 WW, Thurs maybe 945 — think it may pass 1B on Sun after all (quite tough still), otherwise Mon/Tues.
  14. Cooper Legion
    Dumbo 50 US 45 CM 21
  15. Cooper Legion
    China poster >>>>>>>> DOM
  16. Cooper Legion
    Much stronger than I expected if true
  17. Cooper Legion
    If TA4 follow suit, US and China presales start same day. If 21 days in advance, probably even closer to US presales start since timezones. Wouod be an exciting 24 hours on the forum.
  18. Cooper Legion
    Credible?
  19. Cooper Legion
    RIP fallout then, Cruise missile had too many participations I guess
  20. Cooper Legion
    No. 418 DOM-> ~209 revenue 630 OS-C-> ~252 Revenue 261 C -> ~65 revenue Total of 526M theatrical revenue via the 50-40-25 rule of thumb, Deadline estimated at 541. They’ve got the total costs at 612M, 170 production, 145 P&A, 200 participations, ~100 miscellaneous.
  21. Cooper Legion
    Didn’t theatrically breakeven (i.e. make enough revenue from BO only to cover all costs). But @expensiveho‘s main point is that this illustrates how stupid the very concept of “theatrically breakeven” is, which they’re absolutely correct about.
  22. Cooper Legion
    CM would be pretty happy to hit that 20M projection imo, but it’s not implausible.
  23. Cooper Legion
    Dumbo’s 7600 on the rolling at 17:00 exists with a context of just 2350 full day yesterday. Today has sold 5250 more than the same hours yesterday, should end up near 10000 for more than a 300% increase from yesterday. Not staggering, but from 35% of HTTYd Tuesday to about 75% Wed. 18:00 reading is ~7900, +300 over same hour yesterday.
  24. Cooper Legion
    A lot of CM’s issues stem from prequel+amnesia imo. Last time they made a prequel origin movie about a captain which led directly into their hugest movie yet, the Modern day sequel picking up after the events of that Avengers movie absolutely slayed it qualitywise. Hopefully history repeats.
  25. Cooper Legion
    The 3 big Disney superhero movies from 2018 will clock in at over 1.5B profit estimate from Deadline, not too far from the estimated profit from 4-10 combined. Unless BR beats I2. I could see that.
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