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Joyous Legion

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Everything posted by Joyous Legion

  1. Considering competition and reception (especially if you account for it getting bombed with 1 reviews that have nothing to do with the movie), I think 400 USD is still very possible. That’s not the super crazy mega breakout some people were dreaming of to beat Titanic, but it keeps TFA competitive and is still extremely good for an import film.
  2. I think Passing Titanic with 1B OS-China is disfavored, but passing with the more realistic 1-1.07B OS- China is very slightly favored. Edit: Wait, no I don’t. Typed that comment out on the run and somehow dropped a 100M somewhere
  3. If Disney is really committed to this WiT thing, to the point of IW or Solo double features, they might actually be able to drag that “all Disney over 100M” club back into success.
  4. Jeez, it’s like some of you guys don’t even know what “Miracle” means.
  5. I feel like this comparison insults the nuance of those wooden planks.
  6. 2nd Wed multis: AoU 31 TA 36.9 CA3 26 BP ~40.5 IM3 29.5 gotg2 33 So we’d expect roughly 29-34. 26.6 required for DOM top 4, 32.3 for 700.
  7. Just went to 82.3% 9-10, 0% 7-8 for me. Clearly incorrect, but suggests to me that the site might just be working through some issues right now.
  8. UP BY 50K, PASSING AVATAR BACK ON THE MENU Thank god we didn’t get some kind of atrocious and definitely very different number like 6.950, that would have been a true disaster.
  9. The percentage to overall score conversion does seem a bit weird right now, but it could be explained by most of the 9-10s for RPO being 10 and most for IW being 9.
  10. 650 looks great to the people who thought 610 would be impossibly high (always seemed a bit silly to me). 650 doesn’t look so great to people who were hoping for 700-780 after The Weekend+Monday. Imo the more reasonable expectations were always 620-720ish, and it will land there, so nothing to hugely flip out over in either direction.
  11. Speaking of cluttering a thread up with trollish posts...
  12. I’m not defending ChipMunky in particular. I actually can’t, because I’m not sure what he’s been saying, because I have him on ignore I’m just saying that “just fine” is a perfectly reasonable description of this Wednesday number, keeping in mind the context. It’s a medium drop from Tuesday when comparing to recent MCU. Not a great drop. Not a bad drop. Fine.
  13. Wow, really? I really think you’re giving it a connotation that many people uisng it don’t intend then, which is just going to lead to an unnecessarily big gap between what they say and what you hear. I use “struggle” purely to indicate that a number is near the high of a possible range, and therefore has a decent probability to not be reached. I’m pretty sure that a lot of people use it the same way in a BO context, with 0 negative connotation intended.
  14. Cmon, don’t be obtuse. Relative to what we knew a month ago, the totals are obviously going to absolutely f*#$&ing bonkers spectacular. When people say that “this 7M Wednesday is just ‘fine,’” they obviously mean “relative to the context of all the information we now have, including 6 previous very high weekday numbers, this 7M Wednesday is just ‘fine.’” I honestly can’t imagine what people have to gain by pretending not to understand this.
  15. Characters in the LOTR trilogy with more screen time than Legolas: Frodo Sam Aragorn Gandalf Pippin Mary Gollum (tied with Gimli)
  16. I mean, to an extent I can sympathize, but — it’s not like they don’t have access to the data. They haven’t seen the data we have because they haven’t bothered to put in 10 minutes researching where to find good data, despite ostensibly* trying to make half-decent predictions. *Of course, the reason that she/they don’t have a clue is that they aren’t, actually, trying to make good predictions. They’re trying to draw eyeballs for dat ad money.
  17. Yeah, solid ranges. TFA looks quite promising. Titanic is not very promising, imo, just possible — that is a pretty high high-end on OS-China.
  18. To be fair, TA4 has a real shot — so she could get to the 6 highest even before Avatar 5.
  19. Doesn’t look that hard. Funny how the DOM opening would be 35th there, and China opening has some shot to top it.
  20. Maybe we can pass the quarter billion BRL mark with a nice $69.69
  21. Multipliers, not % increases. As in, the amount of money BP makes on and beyond it’s 2nd Tuesday will be approximately 28x it’s 2nd Tuesday.
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