Legion Again
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Posts posted by Legion Again
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4 minutes ago, Noctis said:
That can't be possible...what? Giving him $7.7m?
Can’t tell if you think this is too high or too low
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This week has 21 Questions. First 10 are concerning The weekend of the 19th. The second 10 the weekend of the 26th, the 21st... we'll get to that.
Deadline for all is this week's deadline!
Part A:
November 19th Weekend
1. Will Ghostbusters open to more than $32.5M? 1000 Yes
2. Will Ghostbusters open to more than $47.5M? 2000 Yea
3. Will Ghostbusters open to more than $40M? 3000 Yes
4. Will King Richard open to more than $8M? 4000 No
5. Will King Richard open to more than $12M? 5000 No
6. Will Eternals stay in the top 2? 1000 Yes
7. Will Dune stay above No Time To Die? 2000 Yes
8. Will No Time to Die stay above Venom? 3000 No
9 Will Halloween drop more than 62%? 4000 Yes
10. Will Belfast have a PTA above $1,750? 5000 Yes
November 26th Weekend (but deadline is still this week)
11. Will Encanto open to more than $30M? 1000 Yes
12. Will Encanto open to more than $38M? 2000 Yes
13. Will House of Gucci open to more than $8M? 3000 Yes
14. Will House of Gucci open to more than $12M? 4000 Yes
15. Will Resident Evil Open above House of Gucci? 5000 No
16. Will Venom stay in the top 8? 1000 Yes
17. Will Ghostbusters drop more than 57%? 2000 No
18. Will Eternals finish above at least one of Gucci or Resident Evil? 3000 No
19. Will Clifford have a bigger percentage drop than King Richard? 4000 No
20. Will Eternal's Total Domestic Gross overtake No Time to Die's TotalDomestic gross by the end of the weekend? 5000 No
21, Will Ghostbusters, Encanto, King Richard, House of Gucci and Resident Evil's combined 3 Day OPENING WEEKENDS be over $100M? 5000 Yes
Bonus:
11/21 2000
12/21 4000
13/21 6000
14/21 9000
15/21 12000
16/21 15000
17/21 18000
18/21 22000
19/21 25000
20/21 30,000
21/21 35,000
Part B:
The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:
Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points
2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points
3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points
19th Weekend
1. What will Ghostbusters make for its 3 day OW? 49.4M
2. What will Dune's percentage drop be? 31%
26th Weekend
3. What will Encanto make for its 3 Day OW? 40M
4. What will Clifford's percentage drop be? 40%
Part C
There will be many films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:
November 19th
2. Eternals
4. King Richard
7. NTTD
10. French Dispatch
November 26th
3. Gucci
5. Eternals
8. V2
12. Ron’s Gone Wrong
Because I realised bonuses are stupid...
1/8 1,000
2/8 2,000
3/8 4,000
4/8 10,000
5/8 18,000
6/8 25,000
7/8 36,000
8/8 - 50,000
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By the way, deadline is an hour earlier for US peeps because of daylight savings change since the last time we did this.
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8 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:
Seems 4.25 to me. MTC 2 overindex.
4.25 true Th? Might not be too far from 4.8 wed+Th
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Barring a shocking twist/improvement, surely the most hilarious $240M ever wasted on a TV show adaptation.
On the one hand I am sad — just two weeks ago or so when I hadn’t heard any details whatsoever, I was very excited about it and it pretty much rekindled my dormant interest in the books/world, which I am happy about. So I would have preferred a show that I loved+massively well-received, commercially successful, goes 10 nicely paced seasons or whatever. Also a new better adaptation, should it eventually happen (which I expect it will) will have its work cut out for it even more now with the GA than if they had done a great one as the first attempt.
On the other hand, definitely a little spiteful part of me that is kind of chuckling in morbid glee. Along the lines of reasoning “conditioning on being commercially unsuccessful, I prefer commercially unsuccessful+personally disappointing to commercially unsuccessful but personally loved it” & “ conditioning on personally disliking it, prefer personal dislike+broad failure to personal dislike+broad success.”
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4 minutes ago, Eternal Legion said:
All day Th previews and Wednesday advance shows starting at 4, gotta prevent @SchumacherFTW, @chasmmi, @newbie BO buff et al from spoiling us
This is barely even out of bounds fwiw. Just this year we have seen both Clifford and ith roll a full day of previews in and both bond and GB:A roll 2 day early “advances” in.
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All day Th previews and Wednesday advance shows starting at 4, gotta prevent @SchumacherFTW, @chasmmi, @newbie BO buff et al from spoiling us
SpoilerAlso that 100M OD club needs all the help it can get
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Hulk is maybe a niche cult classic or something now? Idno.
Eternals will be appreciated by many more than that 20 years from now.
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14 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:
Unacceptable. Should be resolved today.
Don't worry, he will have them resolved today*
*
SpoilerFriday, Nov 19
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20 minutes ago, Menor said:
I wouldn't be surprised. Right now it's still only "50+" ratings so hasn't even reached 100 yet.
This actually presents a pretty constrained set of possibilities, amusingly. 98% had to come from 39-65 positive and one negative, or 2 negatives and 78-92 positives.
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1 minute ago, Menor said:
Down to 93% and 92%. Too few ratings to be sure of where it'll end up though.
Lol, how many people was the 98, like 50?
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36 minutes ago, Ryan Reynolds said:
98% Verified RT, 93% AA , seems great so far
Definitely a strong start. Thinking A cinemascore and final gross from Free Guy to F9 (depending on the open of course).
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I strongly suspect the “overburdened with nostalgia” stuff is coming mostly from people who were on the pro-2016 side of that whole brouhaha — didn’t want Sony to “give in” to those who hated it by returning to normal with a new quick entry, and especially don’t want that new entry to be viewed as a vindicating repudiation of 2016.
Personally, having never seen GB1, GB2, GB2016, or in all likelihood GB:A… I find the whole thing hilarious.
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4 minutes ago, katnisscinnaplex said:
here are where the comps would be just to confuse those who don't read the text and only look at the numbers:
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3 hours ago, Menor said:
Hawkeye as a straight man works surprisingly well. It does remind me of a very similar scene or promo in FATWS, though I think the vibe here works a bit better.
Loving Tony dalton here 😂
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10 minutes ago, MrGlass2 said:
According to my model, NWH will make $0 in China.
Ah, a 3 term simple moving average. I will counter with a 5 term SMA, for $177M.
related factoid: Captain marvel grossed less than average of last 5 mcu movies in China
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17 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:
You mean to say The Last Home will be best Spider-Man movie ever?
We’ve gotta wait for Spider-verse: Revenge of the Home.
In the post-credits they revel that Windu was a skrull for the whole movie
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1 hour ago, RRA said:
More and more, this feels like it'll be MCU's Force Awakens.
The idea of having a Force Awakens after 26 movies including 3 OW record breakers is pretty funny.
But yes, I kind of agree.
We’d better be careful about who gets to direct Spider-man: The Last Home 👀
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Yeah, Friday looks like it should do like 3-3.3x Th imo. True IM should be 3+, so IM 10+ ( 1+3*3)
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Pretty damn funny you guys
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The trailer stats are a disaster, but that’s what happens when you don’t give people their T&A
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13 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:
28m is a criminal lowball
Same as it ever was with deadline
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13 minutes ago, Macleod said:
I was surprised not more people caught onto this when it leaked out some days back. I love Spidey, but do we really need a Spider-Man movie that is 10 minutes shy of 3 hours?? Longer than Endgame?? Crazy
No, we don’t need a spider-man movie longer than endgame. Bit this one is a dozen minutes shorter, so…
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Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings | Marvel Studios | 92% RT & 99% VA Score | ONLY IN THEATERS Sep 3 2021
in Box Office Discussion
Posted
Marvel isn’t known for being stingy with big name cast salaries!