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Legion Again

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    Spider-Man: No Way Home | December 17, 2021 | The More Fun Stuff Version (yes, that's what it's called) comes to theaters September 2nd!

    in Box Office Discussion

    Posted

    5 minutes ago, cdsacken said:

    624 right not 640?

     

    223 I guess is possible. Still a ton. 90 in one day during a pandemic. OUCH

    Hah, like I said to venomxxr earlier some mild disagreement among sources for the month. I think the lower numbers are more likely to be missing some movies vs the higher numbers over counting, so target should be somewhere 630s.   
     

    I mean, it’s really 90M in 2 days, the true single day record probably can’t touch F9’s OW.

    • Like 1

    Spider-Man: No Way Home | December 17, 2021 | The More Fun Stuff Version (yes, that's what it's called) comes to theaters September 2nd!

    in Box Office Discussion

    Posted · Edited by Eternal Legion

    15 minutes ago, cdsacken said:

     

    Sure and people are saying they are upset with a 60% increase (150m 3 day) during a pandemic after a very disappointing eternals and nothing close to the link FFH had to End Game.

     

    Pikachu was delusional but people's instance that it has to do 600m or it's terrible is crazy. 450 is good, 500 is amazing, 600 is legendary etc. 

    describing 150M as a 60% increase from FFH is comically disingenuous. A 60% increase from FFH’s effective 3day would be about 230M (this is a little too high even for me).   
     

    As for “nothing close to the link FFH had to Endgame”… if you think the FFH hook was even in the same ballpark as Tobey I don’t know what you’re smoking

    Spider-Man: No Way Home | December 17, 2021 | The More Fun Stuff Version (yes, that's what it's called) comes to theaters September 2nd!

    in Box Office Discussion

    Posted

    25 minutes ago, Ms Lady Hawk said:

    I’m seeing some really high predictions here. Guys and Gals, please do not set yourselves up for disappointment when it does fantastic numbers but not the numbers you put out there. Those thinking it will do 200 million opening week will be crestfallen if it does under 150. No meltdowns please! The board can get sort of toxic when that happens. 
     

    With that said, I am so happy to see Doc Ock back.. Spider Man 2 is my favorite Soider-Man movie and one of my favorite movies period, so I am praying this does gangbusters. 

    But under 150 would be lame. Why lowball for sake of some weird expectations gaming.

    • Haha 1

    Australian Box Office | ....

    in International Box Office

    Posted

    27 minutes ago, SchumacherFTW said:

    The Caveat I always have with trailer views is that back in 20whenever, Pixels had the most viewed trailer of all time, and that didn't even crack $30m on OW

    Wow, it does seem that the reporting at the time is that AoU and Pixels were the two most viewed trailers globally in 24 hours with… 35M.    
     

    I used the Wikipedia list of historical records to fit the data from 2012 (IM3) to 2018 (AEG):

    48-FE3383-232-F-42-AF-A3-DC-6-BA1-F14-BE
     

    NWH should have done 1.4B to match growth trend. Flop trailer. 40M only

    Australian Box Office | ....

    in International Box Office

    Posted · Edited by Eternal Legion

    2 minutes ago, lab276 said:

    Having seen finally adds for some movies other than Bond and Venom, if my reactions are similar to the general audience, Matrix will do very well, Spider-Man will do so-so and Ghostbusters will do meh. Maybe Spider-Man will do it on the back of Marvel and Tom Holland being charismatic, but it looked pretty mediocre to me. I really don't see where the $60m/3m+ admits predictions are coming from.

    On the back of nostalgia bait/crossover event status (Dafoe, Molina, rumored/assumed return of Garfield/Maguire)

    Weekdays Thread 11/8-11/11 | Thu - Eternals $6.24m +48% - Clifford $3.28m +43% - Dune $1.23m +48% - NTTD $0.99m +50% - Venom $0.69 +85%

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    5 hours ago, Liiviig 1998 said:

    Dr strange actually managed to do it in opening week . It increased 18.4% on the eve of veteran's day.

    More importantly it had veterans eve on Thursday, so the daily change was vs Wed rather than Tues. Eternals would have increased Th from Wed if Veteran’s was Fri — though less than DS 18%, probably single digits.

    • Like 1

    It Returns... The Winter Game rises from the ashes Gasping for Air. Preseason Deadline: October 8th

    in Chasmmi's Infamous Box Office Game

    Posted · Edited by Eternal Legion

    Also, since I figure folks getting pinged in this thread are especially inclined toward BO games, going to take this opportunity to plug the Fantasy Movie League, which I have been running on a weekly basis for a while now. If you haven’t played before the tl;dr is:

    15 movies (or days, or combinations of movies) available to play

    Each has a certain price

    You pick up to 8 (including possible duplciates) with total cost less than 1000

    your weekly score is the sum of the movies you played, + some bonuses for playing the one with the best price performance ratio and penalty for playing less than 8

    There’s a calculator (linked on top row of sheet) to easily investigate the highest scoring lines given a gross for each of the options

    locks at noon eastern time (listed on sheet)

     

    The official version from noovie that you may have heard of before had a slick UI, but the player run version for covid times just works on sheets. Feel free to claim a column at the end of the sheet — winter season starts with Encanto, so there are two weeks at the end of fall here to dip your toe in if it sounds interesting.

     

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/10i22pDsM9Sh-tnXfVQ8LbRWuydgs6zlKJRJROw0EekU/edit

    It Returns... The Winter Game rises from the ashes Gasping for Air. Preseason Deadline: October 8th

    in Chasmmi's Infamous Box Office Game

    Posted

    On 11/9/2021 at 6:38 PM, chasmmi said:

    Okay, 

    I have been dead since Friday (couldn't even manage predictions last week. So There will not be questions this week as it is already Wednesday and I cannot quite manage it yet. 

     

    What I may try going forward for this game, is that I will set questions biweekly, but a few more of them and they will cover two weeks. 

     

    Try something different as this is just a test run for summer in many ways.

     

    sorry again all

     

     

    @WrathOfHan  @Kalo  @grey ghost  @Inceptionzq  @SchumacherFTW  @No Eternals Spoilers 4 Cap  @Avatar Legion  @JJ-8  @DAJK

    Like others have said, go at whatever pace you feel is sustainable. Personally I think biweekly is kind of fun since then some are forecasting 8 days ahead, which is a bit of a middle ground between the full season stuff and the 1 day ahead stuff.   
     

    Australian Box Office | ....

    in International Box Office

    Posted

    1 minute ago, charlie Jatinder said:

    I know we jokingly say big numbers yuck, but that would be YIKES. 

    I think 2nd place Spider-man in admits would be a fine result. Likely to do that or worse in many developed markets. 
     

    I guess if ATP is like 10% up from FFH (as in many markets) then +20% FFH admits for 3.1 or so would be like 49M

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