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Neucentro

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Everything posted by Neucentro

  1. Neucentro
    Any Wednesday number for Annabelle 3? $8.5m (including previews) would not be too shabby.
  2. Neucentro
    Currently TS4 has 45,593 for Saturday. I am projecting ~61,000 by the end of today. That would translate to $41.7m (+18% from true Friday) for Saturday.
  3. Neucentro
    Updated with Friday number. Currently TS4 has 45,593 for Saturday. I am projecting ~61,000 by the end of today. That would translate to $41.7m (+18% from true Friday) for Saturday.
  4. Neucentro
    I guess I got lucky this time. When I checked TS4's hourly numbers against Dragon 3's yesterday, I noticed they got more frontloaded into the night. They went from 60% above Dragon 3's numbers during the day to only up 35% in the evening. That gave me an idea for my projection.
  5. Neucentro
    So $39m true Friday, per Deadline.
  6. Neucentro
    Not all of the presales went to Friday though.
  7. Neucentro
    I am being conservative with my Pulse projection. It could hit 71,000 tonight, which would translate to $38.3m true Friday.
  8. Neucentro
    Yes, and here: http://akvalley.pythonanywhere.com/static/fandango_report.txt
  9. Neucentro
    Here is Incredibles 2's weekend breakdown on Pulse: Thu 64,591 ($18.5m previews) Fri 105,877 ($52.8m) Sat 85.971 ($58.9m) Sun 76,605 ($52.5m) And Toy Story 4's: Thu 39,099 ($12m previews) Fri Sat Sun Based on Pulse tracking, I am projecting 69,000 for TS4's Friday. Using the Thursday TS4-to-I2 ratio would give $37.2m true Friday and $49.2m Friday + previews for TS4.
  10. Neucentro
    Was the timer at this Pulse tracking page (http://akvalley.pythonanywhere.com/static/Fandango_track.txt) adjusted for daylight savings time? It's off by one hour (Central time).
  11. Neucentro
    Assuming TS4 will finish the night with 40,000 tickets sold for previews, comparing that to: Lego Movie 2 - 7,566 ($2.1m previews) How to Train Your Dragon 3 - 13,982 ($3m) will generate $12.2m and $9.4m respectively accounting for PLF price (+10%).
  12. Neucentro
    1. The Art of Self-Defense 2. Knives Out 3. Luce 4. The Lion King 5. Jojo Rabbit 6. Ad Astra 7. The Lodge 8. Child's Play 9. The Last Black Man in San Francisco 10. IT: Chapter 2
  13. Neucentro
    I tried comparing TS4 to Dragon 3 on the hourly. It was running only 35% ahead for the last 3 hours. Actually it's not a good sign for TS4. I am thinking it will end up 46,000 for Thursday, compared to 14,000 for Dragon 3. That will mean Thursday previews around $10m. Edit: With more 3D and IMAX screens than Dragon 3, TS4 should get a 10% bump on premium price. $11m previews should result.
  14. Neucentro
    Child's Play is likely #4 or #5 this weekend.
  15. Neucentro
    Rocketman is -27% from Tuesday. Its week-to-week drop is 26%.
  16. Neucentro
    Based on the Fandango data posted by @CoolEric258, I see an $110-120m opening for TS4.
  17. Neucentro
    I think this can do a little better than Isn't It Romantic. $50m seems right.
  18. Neucentro
    1. The Art of Self-Defense 2. Knives Out 3. The Lion King 4. Luce 5. Jojo Rabbit 6. IT: Chapter 2 7. Ad Astra 8. The Souvenir 9. Late Night 10. Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark
  19. Neucentro
    The release date is too far from the Oscars to generate any serious award buzz. I think it's more a move to boost Amazon's streaming platform than any award interests.
  20. Neucentro
    1. The Art of Self-Defense 2. Knives Out 3. The Lion King 4. IT: Chapter 2 5. Jojo Rabbit 6. Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark 7. The Lodge 8. Ad Astra 9. The Souvenir 10. The Last Black Man in San Francisco
  21. Neucentro
    $580k
  22. Neucentro
    Detective Pikachu made $5.7m in previews and went on to make 20.6m Friday for a OD-to-previews multiple of 3.6. I don't think Godzilla will do much better than that. I guess actual will come down to about $22m Friday for Godzilla.
  23. Neucentro
    This and Charlies' Angels are opening on the same weekend, setting up for a good men vs. women fight.
  24. Neucentro
    People love cute animals.
  25. Neucentro
    Good post. But they were talking about RT audience score, not RT critics score.
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