charlie Jatinder

I am just glad its not missing 40.

£4,847,458 opening day for DSitMoM. MON £1.5M ish was quite decent, will likely have 8 days £24.75-25M. 2nd weekend I guess can be around £6M. May be £41-43M full run.

The regional variance for TG2 is so high, we definitely will have to rely on National numbers instead of regionals. Hopefully @ZackM start tracking it soon.

Thinking around $550-575M

Top Gun 2 Harkins T-16 Days Format Shows Capacity Sold % Sold Gross ATP Normal 236 64,013 981 1.53% $10,949 $11.16 Cine 1 30 8,967 1,046 11.66% $16,108 $15.40 Cine Capri 6 2,673 262 9.80% $3,787 $14.45 IMAX 3 1,335 235 17.60% $3,760 $16.00 Total 275 76,988 2,524 3.28% $34,604 $13.71 Cine 1 (EA) 9 2,778 1,458 52.48% $23,253 $15.95 Cine Capri (EA) 2 891 323 36.25% $4,818 $14.92 IMAX (EA) 1 445 298 66.97% $4,768 $16.00 Total (EA) 12 4,114 2,079 50.53% $32,839 $15.80 Total 287 81,102 4,603 5.68% $67,443 $14.65 Still going at pretty solid pace. Better trend than Batman. Batman was 6k at T-14 days, this will be 5k+. Now, looking deeper, California & Phoenix 4 theaters, which are best performers for the chain are not that hot for this. California makes only 862 of these i.e 18% as compared to usual 30% this far out. The Batman was 1692 at T-14. Phoenix 4 are better at 1643 vs 2273 of The Batman (T-14). CA being 50%, Phoenix 4 being 72%. BUT. The smaller theaters, the other 25 of them, have 2098 sold vs 2035 of The Batman. I don't have any good comps for this. Eternals comp is $23M approx, Black Widow is $26M. LOL.The Batman is around $17M. Thanks @Menor Reborn for data.

73.8 wont be meh. That will mostly mean $400M final. $65-70M, now that's more like it.

That MON INT is def wrong. Its ~$19M sureshot.

12 TUE

The shot can be done physically/practically though. May be it is. Nolan would do physically/practically

I may not have given it that much thought. Hawkeye and TFATWS would be F. I didn't know it existed. Also Alphaber grading don't make much sense to me. Like a B feels bad to me in India but IDK how I rate a 7 movie A

Normally can expect 6-7x opening day for a MCU film. This will do 5x range.

Monday drop is fine in range of Captain Marvel and would have taken it to ₹180cr but TUE drop is eh. Probably ~₹165-170cr full run after ₹96cr weekend.

~15M views on You Tube in 11 hours. Now that Asia is awake, views will start rising. 25-30M 24 hours in You Tube is possible. Solid start.

eh. 1. Ofc they should release on Avatar channel, that is how it get subs, not by just sitting around 2. If you watch a lot of trailers, You Tube will recommend you most of new ones. I just opened You Tube and it was 1st video in recommendation. In fact I just did open now and 3. Views don't really matter for this one since they are diluted being shown with a movie. Also its just a look into world. The actual trailer which I imagine will be in September is what that matter. Or not even, they could just release the movie lol and that will pretty much be ok.

Its not the only channel that will release the trailer.

Post CoVID it's been bit better with @PhilipJ2001 saving the day most of the time, otherwise UK is the just one big blindspot.

Idk, doesn't sun has smaller range at 9-9.8 something. Anyways, we are going to look at biz after weekend / sunday not total/sunday.

I don't really get what you are implying there but SUN is preferable because its one day later SAT so has one day more of trending info. Ofc SAT ratio can be worked with as well. Though its not exact science, have to make adjustments and stuff.

Hmm. First time I watched Avatar on TV I was bowled over by the visuals and ofcourse the emotions were great. From trailer, I don't think visuals will do much for me but it will have to be emotions, which well James Cameron is there for that. That said, GA will still love visuals.

Well its not as simple as that now GOTG2 39M was from 42M FRI here 39M is from 54M FRI. 93% vs 72%. That right there is ~20% worse trending adj for Mother's day.

this is how https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vTXTfTIzlEBpWiD8yVRr9vgAre3zZcZuTgPEEJgAolRlOZN_X6wu2dq5fp552slIfSOi1PJEfuT-ql-/pubhtml?gid=577816675&single=true

The weekend multiple is mostly useless because in this weekend you have 1 excellent day on THU, 1 good day on FRI, 1 average day on sat and 1 below avg day on SUN. What matters more is where SUN has landed than what weekend is.

39 SUN. That with DIS FRI & SAT be 186.5 but I think FRI & SAT gotta increase, so 187.5-188.

WED - A$2,693,462 THU - A$2,843,743 FRI - A$3,426,208 SAT - A$5,053,890 SUN - A$3,203,232

They can put on sale 3 days before release and it will have no impact on performance.