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Everything posted by charlie Jatinder
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Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker 29.00 Jumanji: The Next Level 7.40 Frozen 2 4.50 Cats 1.35 Bombshell 0.92 Knives Out 1.82 Richard Jewell 0.56 Ford v. Ferrari 0.56
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
charlie Jatinder replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Seems like $21.5mn Tuesday. Let's see how it goes. Christmas Day may be +10% Monday. -
With Dabangg 3 now certain to miss ₹200cr Gross, here's All Time Grossers in India. Rank Title Year Gross (in crores ₹) Gross (in million $) 1 Baahubali: The Conclusion 2017 ₹1,341.69 $209.64 2 Dangal 2016 ₹511.23 $75.18 3 2.0 2018 ₹489.06 $69.87 4 Baahubali: The Beginning 2015 ₹477.59 $75.81 5 P.K. 2014 ₹455.31 $72.27 6 Avengers: Endgame 2019 ₹438.60 $62.70 7 Sanju 2018 ₹434.36 $67.34 8 Tiger Zinda Hai 2017 ₹430.37 $66.21 9 Bajrangi Bhaijaan 2015 ₹422.21 $67.02 10 Sultan 2016 ₹415.09 $62.27 11 Padmaavat 2018 ₹375.94 $57.84 12 War 2019 ₹365.84 $51.53 13 Dhoom 3 2013 ₹357.78 $56.79 14 Saaho 2019 ₹338.91 $47.40 15 Kabir Singh 2019 ₹328.84 $47.49 16 Simmba 2018 ₹298.89 $42.70 17 Avengers: Infinity War 2018 ₹296.31 $44.36 18 Uri: The Surgical Strike 2019 ₹287.92 $41.43 19 Kick 2014 ₹284.81 $45.94 20 Chennai Express 2013 ₹283.79 $46.14 21 Prem Ratan Dhan Payo 2015 ₹268.25 $40.04 22 3 Idiots 2009 ₹265.23 $56.43 23 Golmaal Again 2017 ₹260.29 $39.74 24 Bajirao Mastani 2015 ₹258.81 $38.06 25 The Jungle Book 2016 ₹254.99 $38.63 26 Ek Tha Tiger 2012 ₹248.86 $45.25 27 Happy New Year 2014 ₹246.88 $39.82 28 Krrish 3 2013 ₹244.69 $38.53 29 Housefull 4 2019 ₹240.98 $33.47 30 Yeh Jawaani Hai Deewani 2013 ₹238.84 $41.90 31 Bharat 2019 ₹232.65 $33.72 32 Mission Mangal 2019 ₹226.10 $32.77 33 KGF 2018 ₹219.06 $31.29 34 Endhiran 2010 ₹217.97 $45.41 35 Bigil 2019 ₹210.90 $29.29 36 Race 3 2018 ₹207.46 $30.07 37 Baaghi 2 2018 ₹202.69 $31.18 38 Tanu Weds Manu Returns 2015 ₹201.72 $32.54 39 Dabangg 2 2012 ₹200.75 $35.85 The pink ones are one from 2019. Till date 39 films have crossed ₹200cr in India, with 3 being from Hollywood. 2019, having 8 films in the list, same as last year, it was rather disappointing year for big grossers, with only one film in Top 10, none in top five.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
charlie Jatinder replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I never tracked a Christmas eve, so no idea how those PS gonna work. Gonna check some historical data but not sure if that will help. -
Hate we can't know weekend actuals anymore. BO Mojo international markets are now updated fast but weekend tracking is big loss.
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Will stick with $28.5-29 for now. F2 a bit down, sub 5% drop likely.
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The one advantage to HP, Star Wars, LoTR and Titanic is Japan where tickets are at same level in last 25 years. So if Titanic did $200mn in Japan in 1998, it will be doing $150mn Approx today as there has been no inflation but moviegoing trend has declined. Same for Potter 1 which did huge back then or Phantom Menace. Besides, yeah all Potter films will adjust to Billion dollar. In fact most likely over 1.3 Bn most of them.
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I think Avada Kedavara is more effective than Gun. Besides, a possible explanation is that I read somewhere that wizards have higher physical strength like road accidents, falling from broomstick doesn't kill them. I will say that if you can survive dropping from around 100m height, you can survive or make gun ineffective.
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Now that $575mn is a possibility, do you think it's a really good number? I will consider it a win. Yeah, yeah I am not usually so easily impressed with high numbers, but considering the hate TLJ received from fanbase, $575mn is really great number. It's only $100mn less than a very well accepted Infinity War which broke opening weekend record.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
charlie Jatinder replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Frozen 2: 3.35 4.9 4.7 : 12.95 -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
charlie Jatinder replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Actuals my estimate. Let's see what Disney give. Friday: $89mn Saturday: $47.25mn Sunday: $40mn Total: $176.25mn -
Harry Potter is biggest there is after MCU. Even today. Fantastic Beasts which had just a mention of Dumbledore in trailer grossed $815mn ffs. HP8 did $60mn in China, shall be $175mn Approx today with market growth. India did $9.5mn in 2011, which was before Hollywood boom, could be easily $20mn today. So you have a franchise which had every part of the world in its pocket, not just Europe and NA or Asia alone.
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Seems like +25% last Monday today. Will be projecting something like.
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Jumanji: The Next Level Date Nett (in ₹ crores) Gross (in ₹ crores) Gross in $ % +/- YD / LW* Gross-to-Date (in ₹ crores) Gross-to-Date 12/12/2019 ₹1.11 ₹1.31 $184,000 ₹1.31 $184,000 13/12/2019 ₹5.01 ₹5.91 $833,000 351.35% ₹7.22 $1,017,000 14/12/2019 ₹8.26 ₹9.75 $1,373,000 64.87% ₹16.97 $2,390,000 15/12/2019 ₹10.01 ₹11.81 $1,664,000 21.19% ₹28.78 $4,054,000 16/12/2019 ₹2.90 ₹3.42 $482,000 -71.03% ₹32.20 $4,536,000 17/12/2019 ₹2.60 ₹3.07 $432,000 -10.34% ₹35.27 $4,968,000 18/12/2019 ₹2.45 ₹2.89 $407,000 -5.77% ₹38.16 $5,375,000 19/12/2019 ₹2.20 ₹2.60 $366,000 -10.20% 98.20% ₹40.76 $5,741,000 20/12/2019 ₹1.20 ₹1.42 $199,000 -45.45% -76.05% ₹42.17 $5,940,000 21/12/2019 ₹2.10 ₹2.48 $349,000 75.00% -74.58% ₹44.65 $6,289,000 22/12/2019 ₹2.70 ₹3.19 $449,000 28.57% -73.03% ₹47.84 $6,738,000
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
charlie Jatinder replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Well, this is best day so far IMO. Looks like $29mn. I think it will drop in mid 20s on Tuesday and then stay above 30 till Friday. Perhaps $385mn plus by Sunday. Full run $550mn plus.