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Menor the Destroyer

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Everything posted by Menor the Destroyer

  1. Menor the Destroyer
    Ok if you are getting from 319 then that's good. I was only able to get data from 284 or so.
  2. Menor the Destroyer
    So like 3 of these are already beaten.
  3. Menor the Destroyer
    How many theaters are you able to get shows from?
  4. Menor the Destroyer
    Way I see it a lot of the reaction in China around Shang-Chi and Eternals is absurd, like the movies or don't, of course everyone is free to their opinion, but seems like people are looking for reasons to be offended.
  5. Menor the Destroyer
    I need to look through the contest at this point. I am almost sure my 35m prediction will be way too low at this point, unless the movie totally tanks in the final week. In fact I now think IW is in serious trouble for the full weekend.
  6. Menor the Destroyer
    Indeed, I was wrong to doubt.
  7. Menor the Destroyer
    Please let it have good reception. After what we saw today it would be a shame if this movie didn't maximize its potential.
  8. Menor the Destroyer
    I think MTC1 won't be quite as far ahead of TROS. That movie was really strong in big markets, plus looking at Denver which is MTC1 heavy, the difference doesn't seem as big as Sacramento, which is more MTC2 heavy.
  9. Menor the Destroyer
    NO WAY HOME MTC2 (only 284 theaters vs my usual 310-315) Thursday: Showtimes: 3730 Seats Sold: 195378/552338 $ Sales: 2555634 Low ATP but there are probably matinee shows deflating the average. Anyway the raw ticket number is gigantic so the gross is also excellent. The ticket sales are 50% ahead of TROS day 1 which was from about 280 theaters!!! Now I do think MTC2 is overperforming compared to TROS but this is still absolutely amazing. If we consider the missing theaters, it is already the biggest preview since 2019 at this chain (I got BW's absolute final number of 206,785 from Friday morning, NWH is likely ahead of this already, especially since this run took a couple of hours).
  10. Menor the Destroyer
    Wouldn't be surprised if that's already done nationwide. TROS is definitely in the dust. Don't think TLJ was that much bigger than TROS.
  11. Menor the Destroyer
    Out of curiosity, do you have a T-17 comp for TROS?
  12. Menor the Destroyer
    It's close enough to that though (after just one day) that I'd expect it to overtake. Of course we haven't had any presales anywhere close to this level post-COVID, so a lot of uncertainty here. But in 2019 I would have expected >40 from this start for sure.
  13. Menor the Destroyer
    I think even a T-x TROS comp will be giving low 30s...even with 1 day of PS vs like 40. As you note there is overperformance but it has plenty of time to get that comp higher.
  14. Menor the Destroyer
    Interesting, my showtime scraper doesn't even appear to be recording the sellouts. Weird, since I'm checking for the "soldOut" class, which does seem to be present.
  15. Menor the Destroyer
    Another issue with Endgame is I only have 2 data points for it, whereas for TROS you posted it daily so it's easier to compare.
  16. Menor the Destroyer
    @keysersoze123 had TROS at 202k MTC2 at T-18. Let's see how close NWH can get to that in just 1 day. Of course if I get the missing 30 theaters back then I will have to do some adjustment.
  17. Menor the Destroyer
    Yeah like 50 days, so not an ideal comparison, but there's nothing else good. Endgame is too high and everything else I have is way too low.
  18. Menor the Destroyer
    Friday showtimes will increase for sure. I can't get full data but took a sample and it's likely over 100k for Friday at MTC2 from 282 theaters. TROS was 67k after 20 hours from 280 theaters.
  19. Menor the Destroyer
    I checked back, it was about 130k unadjusted (so maybe 143k adjusted). NWH currently is in 138k with 30 theaters missing, ironically that is almost exactly the same number of theaters that I didn't have for TROS and do now, so it's very likely that it has actually well surpassed TROS by now. That said I don't want to project a 24-hr number without knowing how much the errored out shows and missing theaters will affect things.
  20. Menor the Destroyer
    MTC2 is up to 138k tickets sold, still with many errors but they are gradually resolving themselves out. Still missing around 30 theaters as well. Considering some adjustments, it will blow past TROS day 1.
  21. Menor the Destroyer
    I have some data but many shows are giving errors and nearly 30 theaters are returning no shows at all, still on whatever shows are working looks like at least 110-115k so far, maybe even higher by now.
  22. Menor the Destroyer
    UK will be different I think. Presale-wise, given the early indications in the tracking thread, I won't be surprised if it comes close to TFA day 1 in the US. Need more data to be sure of that though.
  23. Menor the Destroyer
    I'll just wait for them to add more shows. Worked for Endgame.
  24. Menor the Destroyer
    Theaters definitely underestimated this. The Cinemark initial showtime allocation wasn't much more than BW lmao. I definitely think there's an element of that in these crashes as @Porthos has been saying.
  25. Menor the Destroyer
    Man it feels good to have one of these runs again.
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