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Everything posted by Menor the Destroyer
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Quoting for the people who still are misinterpreting. -
The Mandalorian | March 2023 for S3
Menor the Destroyer replied to Fullbuster's topic in Streaming, TV Series, & VOD Movies
It reminded me a lot of the Seven Samurai TCW episode (but not quite as good, as that one had Hondo). But I didn't mind the lack of overall plot development as I feel like this episode did a lot for the Mando as a character. -
Box Office Theory's Most Anticipated Films
Menor the Destroyer replied to AniNate's topic in The Speakeasy
1. Eternals 2. Black Widow 3. Star Wars TROS 4. Soul 5. Onward 6. WW84 7. Tenet 8. Call of the Wild 9. Raya 10. Godzilla v Kong -
WOM was not that great and the MCU was a pretty frontloaded/fan-heavy franchise at that point. Civil War which got a lot better reviews and was much better liked by fans still couldn't get good drops. I'm not saying that the fight caused it to miss the OW record or anything like that, but it definitely had an effect on the weekend. I mean IW which had much higher levels of fan rush still managed a 219 FSS off of a 67 million Friday. Ultron's FSS at that ratio would have been 186 million leading to a 214 million weekend! Obviously the ratios wouldn't be perfect (Ultron's Fri-Sun trend was worse than IW), but still the weekend was way lower than you'd think from the Friday and it didn't have BvS-like bad WOM as an excuse.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
And TS4 was massively overpredicted, we also saw Solo massively overpredicted a year ago. Given that first choice, awareness, and presales (after 2 years of growth in presales) are all lagging TLJ it doesn't seem like they are lowballing this time. Maybe this will be the first SW tracking to be spot on. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I'm skeptical of that. It had a lot of hype and would have had a gigantic OW especially if it had remained a May release. On the tracking, I do think they're being a lot less conservative than usual. DL's details about how TROS is performing relative to TLJ in presales and tracking metrics have me thinking in the 180 million range. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
It will deflate OW but not PS. Because weekday PS would/should be higher than TLJ. Kinda like what we saw with Frozen 2 last weekend. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
If overall PS is below TLJ then that's not a great sign considering it has Christmas in the very next week (so should have an advantage in PS), and also considering 2 years growth in presales.