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Menor the Destroyer

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Everything posted by Menor the Destroyer

  1. Menor the Destroyer
    Difference being that Charlie has a much bigger comp base than I do.
  2. Menor the Destroyer
    I think it had huge overperformances in big coastal cities like LA, NYC, Philly for some reason. There seemed to be a common thread of it going absolutely gangbusters in theaters from those areas.
  3. Menor the Destroyer
    Please don't take my Friday numbers like Charlie's, they're more of an educated guess/projection based on the presales. There's a reason I posted those only in the tracking thread and not in the weekend thread. Once I have a bigger comp base it will be more reliable.
  4. Menor the Destroyer
    Yeah honestly it's not something I'm particularly outraged about even if I don't like how he phrased his opinion. In the end what he says doesn't affect my enjoyment.
  5. Menor the Destroyer
    He frames it in a way that brooks no disagreement. Saying that he doesn't get anything out of them is one thing (and perfectly fine), saying they are not "real cinema" is phrased in quasi-objective way, implying that they offer the experience of a "theme park ride" to everyone.
  6. Menor the Destroyer
    And who decides what's "real cinema"? The term itself means a movie, which MCU obviously fits. And then saying that they don't convey "emotional, psychological experiences" is plainly incorrect too. It's not just his problem but a lot of people seem very comfortable assuming that their experience = everyone else's.
  7. Menor the Destroyer
    To you, not to me. It's impressive how the concept of subjectivity flies over the heads of so many who love "intellectual, psychologically deep" cinema. Hence why I included "and they stick with me more than other movies". Not sure why so many people have an urge to "correct" other people's enjoyment of a thing by trying to redefine it.
  8. Menor the Destroyer
    I don't really give a shit what Scorcese thinks. The MCU is one of the things that regularly gets me excited to go to the theaters and the films stick with me a lot more than supposedly "higher" cinema. So he can say what he wants but to me it's definitely not "just a theme park ride".
  9. Menor the Destroyer
    Well I meant pure OD of 30. But fair enough on being conservative. I still don't think it'll be quite that frontloaded to have zero Sat bump and such a steep Sunday drop though.
  10. Menor the Destroyer
    How is Joker a movie for gamers? I agree that I'd think Joker would be more presale loaded than Venom or Halloween (just due to the insane amount of pre-release buzz it had, DC films tend to be presale heavy, etc) but I don't think gamers factor into it.
  11. Menor the Destroyer
    If OD is 30 (which is not likely), then the weekend should be more like 105.
  12. Menor the Destroyer
    That was for Friday presales. Which was correct as Charlie confirmed it in his edit.
  13. Menor the Destroyer
    I'm confused why was I quoted?
  14. Menor the Destroyer
    62 definite recommend... It's not necessarily disastrous but worse than I was hoping for.
  15. Menor the Destroyer
    Friday presales. Cinemark is the theater chain that I track. ComScore is the data reporting service that Charlie has access to that he gets exact numbers from.
  16. Menor the Destroyer
    That's very surprising, usually Cinemark is between 1/8 to 1/9 of the nationwide market. Is this an exact number from ComScore?
  17. Menor the Destroyer
    I'm estimating 8 million for Joker's Friday presales from Cinemark. 8-8.5 being generous.
  18. Menor the Destroyer
    Joker Friday: Theaters: 259 (+2) Showings: 4890 (+52) Tickets Sold: 81585 (+25812) (30% of TLK at the same point) (33% of TLK's pace at the same point) Tickets Available: 745358 (+6616) Estimated ATP: 11.59 (-0.22) Estimated Total Sales: 945570 (+286615) Estimated Nationwide Sales: 8 million (+2.4 million) Even if it plays like JW: FK, it would manage a True Friday of 24 million. I would say more like 20-22 million true Friday which is still good for an 80+ weekend. Could be as low as 18 million, but that would require Captain Marvel/Lion King levels of PS loading which I doubt simply because the presales are well below either of those films.
  19. Menor the Destroyer
    I won't say that's impossible but for this kind of movie, with this sort of sales pattern, it'll be very difficult. It'll need insane walk-ups, better than it's had today to be honest. It's dug itself a big hole on Friday (from what I'm seeing) to be able to get in the high 8s multiplier. I'll post my final Friday report tonight or tomorrow morning and I'd hope to see a big surge if things were headed that way.
  20. Menor the Destroyer
    I've learned not to use the word "never" in regards to BO but...I can't really see that happening.
  21. Menor the Destroyer
    Hopefully he improves from Civil War.... I did like his work on TWS though.
  22. Menor the Destroyer
    To me Aquaman was better than decent, it was very good and with a bit of script/dialogue polishing could have been great. Definitely my favorite DCEU movie.
  23. Menor the Destroyer
    Just a reminder that 80 million would still be an excellent number, and 4 PM previews + CBM mean significant frontloading is likely.
  24. Menor the Destroyer
    Joker midday: Seats Sold: 75946 (46% of TLK at the same point) (+12237) (65% of TLK's pace at the same point) Still on track for $11-12 million previews.
  25. Menor the Destroyer
    Joker Friday: Theaters: 257 (-2, idk what happened here but my guess is a couple theaters' websites are down. Regardless, it doesn't change the picture too much) Showings: 4838 (+510) Tickets Sold: 55773 (+17678) (29% of TLK at the same point) Tickets Available: 738742 (+61022) Estimated ATP: 11.81 (-0.15) Estimated Total Sales: 658955 (+203239) Estimated Nationwide Sales: 5.6 million (+1.7 million) These sales are really, really, really frontloaded. Estimated nationwide sales for Thursday are now at $6.7 million, a bit less than half of TLK's estimated $14 million at the same point. $11-12 million would be my guess for previews now, but true Friday may be less than double that, maybe $18-20 million.
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