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Menor the Destroyer

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Everything posted by Menor the Destroyer

  1. Angry Birds Tuesday: Theaters: 216 Showings: 1306 (82% of Dora at the same point before OD) Tickets Sold: 2458 (42% of Dora or 2.21 million) (+545 from yesterday) Tickets Available: 161129 (83% of Dora at the same point) Estimated ATP: 10.47 Estimated Sales: 25745 (48% of Dora at the same point or 2.5 million) Estimated Nationwide Sales: 180k Considering the slow gain from yesterday and Tuesday release should be a bit more presale heavy looks like OD may be in the 1.5-2 million range.
  2. 1. Black Widow 2. Rise of Skywalker 3. Frozen 2 4. WW84 5. Godzilla vs Kong 6. Artemis Fowl 7. Soul 8. Onward 9. Mulan 10. Gemini Man
  3. Presales for today Dora: Theaters: 237 Showings: 1637 Tickets Sold: 17521 (+8412 since yesterday) Estimated ATP: 8.90 Total Estimated Sales: 155977 Estimated Nationwide Sales: 1.1 million Scary Stories: Theaters: 236 Showings: 1498 Tickets Sold: 14565 Estimated ATP: 10.37 Total Estimated Sales: 151035 Estimated Nationwide Sales: 1.2 million H&S: Theaters: 241 Showings: 2994 Tickets Sold: 8555 (+4639 since yesterday) Total Estimated Sales: 94169 Estimated Nationwide Sales: 800k
  4. Dora Friday: Theaters: 237 (+2) Showings: 1635 (+35) Tickets Sold: 9109 (+3208) Tickets Available: 196991 (+3772) Estimated ATP: 9.10 Estimated Sales: 82868 (+28699) Estimated Nationwide Sales; 580k I messed up in setting the program and didn't get Scary Stories numbers H&S 2nd Friday: Theaters: 240 Showings: 2984 Tickets Sold: 3916 Tickets Available: 391265 Estimated ATP: 11.40 (sidenote I find it interesting that even in weekend 2 this is still massively XD driven at Cinemark, more than 25% of ticket sales are for XD showings) Estimated Sales: 44639 Estimated Nationwide Sales: 360k
  5. Good hold for FFH, did not expect it to retake the lead over HC's daily numbers on non-Tuesdays. It's had quite good legs despite the early fan rush and presale heaviness.
  6. fwiw this movie has 38k want to see on Maoyan which is way more than usual for MCU solos this far out. Not sure how much that means but I'm pretty sure there is anticipation.
  7. Dora Friday: Theaters: 235 Showings: 1600 Tickets Sold: 5901 Tickets Available: 193219 Estimated ATP: 9.18 Estimated Total Sales: 54169 Estimated Nationwide Sales: 380k (assuming heavy kids tickets) Scary Stories Friday: Theaters: 234 Showings: 1452 Tickets Sold: 5477 (2.91x Crawl at the same point) Tickets Available: 155560 Estimated ATP: 10.56 Estimated Total Sales: 57812 (3.06x Crawl at the same point) Estimated Nationwide Sales: 490k
  8. I feel like this will be a good bit more presale loaded than Crawl. That said it's doing way better than Crawl even with the handicap of a missing day. I don't have enough comps for Cinemark yet to know for sure how to interpret this tbh.
  9. Scary Stories Friday Sales (as of yesterday night): Showings: 1211 Theaters: 203 Tickets Sold: 3720 (1.97x Crawl on the Tuesday before release) Estimated ATP: 9.35 Estimated Total Sales: 34773 (1.84x Crawl on Tuesday before release) Estimated Nationwide Sales: $278k
  10. The want to see rating implies something like a 100 million OW I think so this seems about right
  11. I'd say the marketing also somewhat obscured the heart of the movie and made it seem like more of a comedy than it was. A lot of people I know thought the trailers were cringe/stupid looking.
  12. H&S and Fallen Kingdom given the walkup heaviness of those 2?
  13. The scraper operates in basically the same way that people do the theater counts, just automated. Hence I haven't been able to do it the past couple of weeks as the internet where I'm at currently is pretty spotty, so I didn't bother even bringing my laptop. But I will be back home and tracking again by Monday.
  14. I liked KOTM but it had a B+ Cinemascore so it was not high quality to the audience. Yes, Disney's IPs make it easier for their films to appeal to audiences, that doesn't change the fact that to an average audience member, Disney is likely to make more films that they enjoy.
  15. As far as box office goes, the only quality that matters is the quality to the audience. So I'd say those are perfectly relevant metrics. The last 4 got good/decent reviews and also that's when the movies have been more successful and well received...this is not a franchise where critics are super out of touch with audiences.
  16. I don't disagree at all, just pointing out where the "everything is underperforming" take comes from
  17. If Dragon 3 is an underperformer then why not Shazam? I'd flip those two tbh. Either way, the not underperformers are dominated by Disney and Disney-associated sequels, which has been the story. Disney sequels mostly do well while most non Disney sequels underperform
  18. Given that the reviews of the last few films in this franchise have largely matched up with audience reception, I think poor reviews signal an actual issue. That said presales have been pretty poor regardless so if it doesn't do well reviews aren't the determining factor.
  19. 1. Black Widow 2. Rise of Skywalker 3. Frozen 2 4. WW84 5. Godzilla vs Kong 6. Artemis Fowl 7. Soul 8. Onward 9. Mulan 10. Gemini Man
  20. One thing with H&S tracking is I suspect it's one of those movies like Solo that scores super high on awareness but people just arent all that interested in seeing it. That could explain a discrepancy with tracking and tepid sales. Although I would wait to see Thursday midday numbers to call death on it as Fallout was very same day heavy on Pulse.
  21. FFH still has a shot at 400 from that Sunday. Above Homecoming dailies again although next weekend will be an issue.
  22. Another factor that affects the tickets sold is average ticket price of each country. EG made a lot of its money in low ATP countries compared to Avatar.
  23. Lol people should calm down about the use of descriptors. For example Ant-Man may not be a heist movie in the strictest sense but it certainly takes a decent amount of inspiration from there so the use of that descriptor is not incorrect. Saying that all MCU movies are identical is pretty ridiculous as well, if that was true people would have tired of them long ago. Most of them have a different feel that makes them stand out from the others. The only way to claim they are identical is to reduce things so far that whatever template you're claiming could basically cover all blockbusters.
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