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Everything posted by Menor the Destroyer
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Classic Conversation Thread
Menor the Destroyer replied to Water Bottle's topic in Box Office Discussion
All series the zone was just terrible and so many bad calls. We need robo umps ASAP. -
Classic Conversation Thread
Menor the Destroyer replied to Water Bottle's topic in Box Office Discussion
We should've just let Greinke keep going. He was red-hot. But I'm not sure it would've mattered unless he went all 9. -
Classic Conversation Thread
Menor the Destroyer replied to Water Bottle's topic in Box Office Discussion
That was the most gutting baseball game I've ever watched. Can't win 'em all but I really thought in the 7th that we'd get it, then everything just fell apart so quickly. And with Cole leaving next year + possibly Correa...it kinda feels like this was the shot. And it missed. -
I think it's less discussed due to age but I always see those sentiments like "TDKR drags down the trilogy" which I vehemently disagree with. The scene where Bruce climbs out of the pit is possibly my favorite in all three movies, and it's overall a thrilling, well-directed, and emotionally powerful blockbuster.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
So F2 is expected to go on sale Monday right? Seeing showtimes popping up -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Ah. That would explain it. I am pulling showtimes from each individual theater's page so that wouldn't have come up for me. -
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker 558m OS 1.073B WW
Menor the Destroyer replied to Jamiem's topic in International Box Office
People act like a finale bump is some automatic thing. There have also been many finales which dropped from previous installments. Imo TFA provided a stronger hook to TLJ (hugely discussed cliffhanger with Luke) than TLJ to TROS (marketing hinges on Palpatine which is out of left field and new characters who aren't as strong a draw as the OG). I think there will be a slight drop or flat OS. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I don't have Fan Events as the movie ID is different (will fix that) but that shouldn't be the source of the issue as your show count is lower than mine. Maybe we can take this to PM as Porthos suggested. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I will recheck mine as well. Maybe I made an error in the show count somewhere. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I have 2991 shows vs your 2820. Maybe that explains some of it. Also, does your script account for loveseats and dbox vs regular seats? -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Fwiw I have 139k for Cinemark previews (will post tomorrow morning). I wonder what the discrepancy is. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Definitely not IW, and since RO was around the same level not RO as well. We have data from @Porthos and estimations from chains to show that TROS was ahead of IW day 1. And the timing should be similar for all 3, more likely the reason that it was ahead of TFA was because TFA crashed Fandango. -
Classic Conversation Thread
Menor the Destroyer replied to Water Bottle's topic in Box Office Discussion
Taubman needs to go, and if they really want to make this right then Osuna should too. I was pissed that he was signed in the first place and still am. Of course that won't happen, and there will always be a stink on this season. Just so disappointing (but sadly not surprising) that they chose to handle the situation this way. And it sucks, too, because this team's players are so much fun to watch. And there really shouldn't have been an asterisk on what will be an exceptional season, perhaps one of the greatest all-time seasons if they take this series. But if they can't manage to find some morals, then unfortunately an asterisk is what they deserve (and hopefully the MLB will come down hard on this). -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I don't think the trailer views will be released. Too low to make a good headline unless. Agree on the TLJ number though. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Only thing is @keysersoze123 number is not 100% of AMC either. So it just depends on how much coverage they have. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
This looks believable. I suppose with presales starting so far out chains will be a much higher %. However I only cover 75-80% of Cinemark screens, so perhaps up my estimate to $11 min, $5.5, $5 and perhaps @keysersoze123 by a similar ratio. That will get $22 million rather than $18 million. Although I suppose reserved seating theaters would naturally have a much larger portion of presales so hard to say exactly how much to adjust. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Fandango presales 1st 24 hours. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
A 2-year gap in Atom means I basically have no idea if this is good or bad. I'd have been surprised if it landed anywhere but this spot. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Well that was a different extrapolation method, and was also all presales as opposed to just Thursday. It's possible my multiplier of Cinemark sales to nationwide is off for some reason (I'm not sure why that would be), but I'm reasonably confident that the 68% of Endgame is correct. Edit: That was also from MT which is a very, very rough indicator. Looking at various datasets I find it hard to believe that Endgame did only $30 million overall on day 1. It's not normal for AMC to make up 50% of presales, and I In fact for TROS AMC is barely 1.5x Cinemark, and adding Regal would almost certainly push it below 50% even without factoring in various smaller chains. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
So my computer is having all kinds of issues. But before everything went haywire Thursday preview sales looked to be in the 130k range at Cinemark, which translates to about 13 million nationwide and about 68% of Endgame's first day. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Yeah that's what I do. Unfortunately there is no way to tell the kids ticket proportion so I just adjust the nationwide estimate based on the kid friendliness