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Everything posted by Menor the Destroyer
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
https://fantasymovieleague.com/chatter/board/fml-main-chatter/topic/462064 the one I use is called Fandango Pulse Purchase history -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Just find the ratio of Pulse sales to other movies (these numbers are found in one of akvalley's spreadsheets), then multiply by their actuals to see what the range looks like. The trick of course is to use the right comps. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Spot on once again -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Hard to tell with the comps telling a lot of different stories but with hotel Transylvania and Grinch probably around 2-2.5 -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Pulse still shows 4.5-5. Pace of sales is marginally better than Godzilla but it's starting from a significant deficit -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Lego 2 along with Dragon 3 were extremely Pulse-heavy compared to most animated movies. I wouldn't be too shocked if it did open 40 million or close to it, after all the previews don't look to beat Hotel Transylvania 3 by all that much, which did 44 million I believe. It's been outselling that movie but the late June/July 2018 comps for Pulse tend to overestimate by a significant amount. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Idk, the Pulse sales seem to be suggesting a stronger multiplier than Godzilla, and by a significant margin. Maybe because this movie had such bad buzz some of the fanbase wasn't that excited to see it on Day 1, but will still see it throughout the weekend. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Gonna guess 4.5-5 based on Pulse for DP's previews. Don't have the energy to do a full set of comps like usual but that seems to be the approximate range. For some reason the Saturday/Sunday ratios against Godzilla are way stronger than the Thursday/Friday, maybe this will have a stronger IM than we think. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
It's normal for big CGI-driven movies to get mixed reception. Endgame (and the MCU in general) is the outlier here. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Oh definitely, just because it'll probably beat Phoenix doesn't mean SLOP2 is doing great -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Doubt it since SLOP2 will have much higher walkups/same-day presales -
Tuesday Numbers:Big increases...
Menor the Destroyer replied to efialtes76's topic in Numbers and Data
The conclusion, no spoiler, hype, seasonal effect has been discussed but Endgame also has huge barriers to entry compared to TFA. People who weren't all that into SW would be more likely to watch and be able to enjoy TFA than people who know nothing about the MCU (I know some did, but in the aggregate). Thus, after it's dried up the people who were super hyped (which was a gigantic amount and a testament to the way the MCU has grabbed audiences), there wasn't much room for it to grow. This led to poor legs (yes I know it added quite a lot after the OW, but it undeniably had pretty bad drops that prevented it from nabbing TFA/Avatar's records).