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Menor the Destroyer

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Everything posted by Menor the Destroyer

  1. Menor the Destroyer
    The only way I could see this is that rule that some on here said that 3 hour movies tend to have weaker weekdays and stronger weekend bumps. Hopefully that would come into play, though I'm not gonna bet on it. I was thinking $80 million a couple days ago but now more like BP's third weekend
  2. Menor the Destroyer
    I guess part of the confusion was from the enormous trailer views of the first trailer. I do think those views show a decent level of curiosity/interest in the franchise, so had the marketing been better and the reviews been glowing, it could have broken out a decent bit more. So I don't think the appeal of the premise is the problem, more so issues specifically related to this movie (mediocre reviews/looks like meh WOM, marketing not breaking out other than trailer 1, Endgame breakout/crowded May)
  3. Menor the Destroyer
    I mean today especially a bunch of people just randomly started raining doomsday predictions even though absolutely nothing has changed from the expectations a couple days ago
  4. Menor the Destroyer
    I'd be surprised if TLK couldn't get 1.5 billion. The film is way more beloved than Beauty and the Beast and much, much more of a four-quad than that film.
  5. Menor the Destroyer
    I've never expected huge numbers for Pika but I don't get why some are suddenly calling it a bomb already...we haven't even gotten any numbers yet
  6. Menor the Destroyer
    They still haven't even announced ticket sales yet right? So selling hundreds of tickets a day seems pretty great to me
  7. Menor the Destroyer
    Widow is a very popular character though, so I could see a breakout pretty easily. But I think the true MCU wildcard is Eternals, if the rumors about the kind of movie it is pan out then I think it will be massive
  8. Menor the Destroyer
    Forgot about Fast 9, that should probably be the favorite WW, but I think WW1984 or either MCU has a decent shot
  9. Menor the Destroyer
    Why is this even being released at this point
  10. Menor the Destroyer
    Even considering the evening start, it was ~8600 vs 5983 in the same time period, and as you said Endgame would reduce the Pulse #s due to the cap.
  11. Menor the Destroyer
    Because it had larger previews than a similar sized family movie would have, that's why it dropped on Saturday.
  12. Menor the Destroyer
    I have a scraper for Cinemark but it's kinda annoying to run tbh.
  13. Menor the Destroyer
    I'm not gonna get into the whether there is a hardcore fanbase discussion again but @VanillaSkies is correct that Pika's performance today looks more like a normal Monday-before-release boost than a huge surge, although the incomplete data from Sunday makes comps kinda annoying.
  14. Menor the Destroyer
    Pika's doing quite well on Pulse today, will finish well above Shazam. I think 70-80 may be possible.
  15. Menor the Destroyer
    Yeah this is definitely beyond what I expected given that Captain Marvel had a great amount of hype already. With these numbers and the trailer about to pass 1 million likes in <12 hours, I'd say FFH is definitely getting a sizable Endgame boost.
  16. Menor the Destroyer
    8 CDT is when it first appears on the akvalley tracker. So if we take the sales until 2 CDT for an apples to apples comparison it removes about 2200ish, which puts FFH at about 8600 or so.
  17. Menor the Destroyer
    Hmm, guess we have different experiences then. I'm not a massive Pokemon fan but several of my friends are and are quite excited for this. We'll see how it goes I guess.
  18. Menor the Destroyer
    Yes it does since FFH was included in his update.
  19. Menor the Destroyer
    It's the first live-action Pokemon movie and has a shit ton of Pokemon in it. No matter what the premise hardcore fans will be hyped.
  20. Menor the Destroyer
    CM day 1 from whenever it started presales (I believe it was sometime in the afternoon) to midnight was 5,983. At a similar timeframe FFH was at at least 8,000.
  21. Menor the Destroyer
    The expectation that it'll play like a family film is essentially an argument that the presale multiplier will be more like a Pixar release than a superhero film right? That's where the hardcore fanbase comes in. Something like Coco doesn't have a dedicated group of fans who are gonna buy presale tickets the way Pokemon does. That's my argument for Shazam being the comp, I'm not disputing the fact that it's daily grosses played more like a normal CBM.
  22. Menor the Destroyer
    It was much more family-oriented than your usual superhero movie though. The reason why I feel like Shazam is a good comp is that it has a hardcore fanbase (like Pika) but is targeted more toward a family demographic (like Pika). It comes the closest to approximating that odd mix.
  23. Menor the Destroyer
    Ah rip, would've been useful especially with Pulse's recent issues. But from what I can see DP seems to be tracking a bit above Shazam on Pulse and MT, so 60+ looks pretty good so far.
  24. Menor the Destroyer
    Did we ever get a Shazam number from DW? Feel like that's the best comp for Pika.
  25. Menor the Destroyer
    Is Coco really a great comparison though? Pokemon has a dedicated fanbase, and Coco had superior reviews/WOM which drives walkups.
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