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RJ 95

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Everything posted by RJ 95

  1. Isn't $9.05mn too high with lower avg ticket price ? Around ¥1300-1350
  2. Isn't 50k usual location equal 100m yen. So 450k means 900m right ?
  3. 449-452k today for Frozen 2, ¥900m/$8.3m. Fantastic. 176% increase over yesterday. With Friday, current total should be $11.3m.
  4. Presale for Frozen today is really really massive (170k), 93% bigger than TS4 presale ( 88k). TS4 manages to follow this 88k presale with 274k Saturday. With this multiplier F2 will get 529k today. Unreal number but probably will frontloading a bit.
  5. It's 161k now, will increase 1-2k more for for today. Approximately 10% bigger than TS4 friday. TS4 increase 87% from it's Friday, with same increase, Frozen 2 will make 300k on Saturday and probably will increase a bit on Sunday.
  6. should be around $3.4m if it has same avg tix as TS4. It will be 5th biggest Friday this year if i remember. Very good but Frozen is 2nd highest grossing movie in Japan. So expected number imo. Edit : I forget Weathering with you, Conan, AEG and One Piece have bigger Friday lol.
  7. yup, it will increase much more compare to afternoon. Lets see if it can reach 170k.
  8. Good enough if it compared to TS4 but will need to know full day number to better comparing with TS4 and to make prediction of Saturday and Sunday number.
  9. https://mimorin2014.blog.fc2.com/ Same as all user here use since 2013 Frozen first run. Approximately cover 70% of entire market.
  10. I'm not living there, so I don't know about that but from filmarks.com audience review seems good enough.
  11. 51k at 2pm local time. TS4 with 42k at that time, with same multiplier Frozen 2 will get 177k for today.
  12. Also i just know that TS4 OW inflated by Monday holiday. That's why it's evening business was much stronger than usual and why Sunday increase 54% over Saturday. It's Fri-Sun 146-274-422 on mimorin. Anyway Frozen 2 just started it's first day, let's see if today can get 200k admission from mimorin number. With Joker I usually just multiply it with 20 ( ¥1500 yen avg Tix) to get it's daily gross but animated movies should have different avg ticket price I guess.
  13. Yeah, don't know why it doesn't keep March release. Probably doesn't want to let Japan as it's biggest market has to wait 5 months to watch it. Still if it release in March it will get spring break for students and Golden Weeks to push late legs like first movie.
  14. Joker with 698.9m OS, increase 2.9m from Sunday. Should get 5-5.5m weekdays and 7.5-8m weekend OS. Frozen 2 will impact it's legs with but 720m finish still safe. Should aim 725-730m if late legs is good.
  15. Possibly ? I also only know weekend data only in Insidekino only. Need someone who know this market well.
  16. Seating arrangement/capacity already released for tomorrow and Frozen 2 seating total is really massive. 90% bigger than TS4 Friday for comparison. Wow. Maybe 20m+ Fri-Sun ? Or 25m maybe ?
  17. In Japan, this movie strangely recover it's early insane drops that showed in first 5 weeks (15-25% drops). Frozen surely will impact it but when previous week showed that it might stop only in 45-46m. I think now it have real chance to reach >47m. Awesome legs 9.75x multi is possible. P.S : Well Frozen 2 might hit harder than expected with Joker only got half seating total of last weekend. So possibly 45-47m finish
  18. Joker surpassed it in admission number, not yet in total gross.
  19. Portugal, Greece, Finland, Lithuania, Egypt, Croatia already did that and Poland ( still waiting confirmation if it did that last weekend or need another week). Spain and Switzerland have a chance to join too.
  20. Even though Joker is big in Europe and Japan, let's not undermine it by saying only in Europe. It's already/will be highest grossing solo SH in Mexico, Brazil, Argentina and become #1 DC movie in Latin America despite tragic currency. In Africa it's also doing very good like in UEA and Egypt. Let's say only in Asia it's doing normally what average SH done. Even then it's result in Southeast Asia and East Asia still respectable enough. In SK for example it matched AQM, also no way we can know for sure what it can make in China. Even if we use WW number in China it still will win over CM ,AQM , SM FFH and potentially CA:3 for WW total. With much lower budget, no 3d, R rating and far lesser action. Also why would we compare admission number in Asia and Europe. Of course in Asia it will sell much more, 4.5B people compare with 740m in Europe and also of course with same admission in Europe it will make lesser because Europe average economy is far more developed and Asia still catching with huge GDP percentage increase each year. Lastly why pointing out Europe and Japan helping Fantastic Beast 2 reach 500m, with HP franchise success. That's expected number. Lets not pretend how many average or shit movie that helped by Asia-Japan to even greater heights than expected mostly by China. Ex. last year alone : Rampage and The Meg.
  21. Based from Mojo number and Insidekino number to help knowing its weekend to weekend drop, possible/realistic finish in $ , OW and multiplier for Europe countries ( in some countries that isn't listed on Mojo but only in Insidekino, i try to compare with SM:FFH and use its number and currency to come with possible total.). Please correct me if there is anything wrong with SH movie rank that i use : - Bulgaria 710k total, 146k OW and 4.86x multi (2nd biggest SH this year) - Croatia 1.25m total, 265k OW and 4.71x multi (#1 SH movie ever and #1 movie this year) - Czech 3.8m total, 723k OW and 5.25x multi (#1 solo SH movie ever) - Finland 4.98m total, 744k OW and 6.99x multi (#1 SH movie ever) - France 47.5m total, 10.49m OW and 4.48x multi (#4 SH movie ever behind AEG, SM1 and SM3 in admission) - Germany 41.5m total, 8.91m OW and 4,65x multi ( #4 SH movie ever behind SM1, AEG and '78 Superman in admission) - Greece 7.5m total, 1.17m OW and 6.34x multi ( #1 SH movie ever) - Hungary 2.03m total, 512k OW, 3.97x multi (#2 SH movie this year) - Iceland 560k total, 142k OW, 3.94x multi - Italy 32.7m total, 6.87m OW, 4.75x multi (#2 SH movie ever ) - Lithuania 1.1m total, 169k OW, 6.5x multi (#1 SH movie ever ) - Netherland 12.7m total, 2.2m OW, 5.7x multi (#2 SH movie ever) - Norway 6.5m total, 1.3m OW, 4.76x multi (#2 SH movie ever) - Poland 11.5m total, 1.44m OW, 7.96x multi (#1 SH movie ever) - Portugal 5.5m total, 945k OW, 5.82x multi ( #1 SH movie ever ) - Romania 2.6m total, 488k OW, 5.32x multi (#3 SH movie ever behind AQM and AEG) - Russia 31m total, 10.2m OW, 3.03x multi (#1 DC movie ever) - Serbia and Montenegro 512k total, 130k OW, 3.93x multi - Slovakia 1.37m total, 335k OW, 4.08x multi - Slovenia 620k total, 110k OW, 5.36x multi - Spain 33m total, 4.89m OW, 6.73x multi (#1 SH movie ever in gross and #3 in admission) - Switzerland 8.8m total, 1.63m OW, 5.38x multi ( #1 SH movie ever) - Turkey 6.35m total, 1.39m OW, 4.53x multi - Ukraine 2.85m total, 1.16m OW, 2.45x multi - UK 75m total, 15.48m OW, 4.84x multi ( #1 solo SH movie ever) Total 341.4m total, 71.94m OW and 4.74x multi This doesn't include Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Israel, Estonia, Latvia and etc. With that countries possibly will reach 360m total from Europe.
  22. In Portugal, Joker already with total €4.55m after €160k weekend, just dropping 33% from LW and winning 7th consecutive weekend in Portugal. It's already 7th biggest movie in Portugal since 2004. In Switzerland, Joker also already accumulated 451.797 after this weekend. After dropping just 33% and made 20k admission this weekend. Now just 43k more to reach Avenger Endgame to become biggest SH movie in there. https://ica-ip.pt/pt/downloads/box-office/ http://www.filmdistribution.ch/top10adm.shtml So far with confirmation there are already 2 movie where Joker record 7th consecutive weekend win, Portugal and Argentina. Depending on the result Netherland and Finland still have chance to join.
  23. Very nice drops, I think they underestimate OS weekend. Here's how much left I think it still can get from current 11 biggest Joker OS market : UK = 3.7m more Mexico = 0.4m Japan = 4m France = 5m Germany = 3.2m SK = 0m Brazil = 1.8m Italy = 1m Spain = 2.5m Australia = 1.3m Russia = 0.2m Total 23.1m more only from this top 11 market and 34.3 from all OS market I predict.
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