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Everything posted by RJ 95
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"IMAX further reports that Tenet has shown positive signs of a lengthy theatrical run with strong pre-sales spread out well beyond opening weekend. The time-bending film is expected to see stronger than normal midweek grosses and shallower week-to-week drops, as audience moviegoing habits adapt to the current situation." Hopefully this was true, I really hope it can reach 4x multiplier in many of Europe markets. WOM isn't in Interstellar or Inception level I guess but repeat viewing and lack of competition will surely help. Outside of China and US, Japan box office seems already back to normal. So hopefully it can join China, US Germany, UK, and France as a potential +$20m market
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Actually with those 4 big market made $23m this week and if we assume that Spain and Italy made $5.5m combined. Also with probably $2-2.5m from Australia. Then there are still $21m from rest of the world, which is very good given Covid still run rampant all over the world. Europe also will probably get around 3-4x multiplier even if the WOM is average or only good enough. Repeat viewing and lack of competition surely will help. There are also still Russia, Japan, Mexico and Brazil for more big markets. I think there are still chance for +$450m, it depends much on US and China though.
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Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
RJ 95 replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
Presale for Tenet OD increase by 34% today, a bit better than yesterday but still it needs avg of 67% increase each day to reach ¥30m. Number of shows still only 30k, don't know if it can reach 100k with strong competitor still going around. -
Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
RJ 95 replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
Presale for OD ¥2.9m only increasing 28.8%, with 29k shows. Number of shows only increasing litte today. Probably starting from Monday will increase rapidly. With The 800 still perform amazingly so far, will this reach 100k shows for OD ? -
When this movie announced, I really really look forward for it's performance here and China for obvious reasons. When inception on 2010 already got $42m and Interstellar with $72m . Even Dunkirk got $22m here. The way this movie probably only will make $15m max really hurt so much. I know Covid and typhoon impact it but still...
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BO Germany/Austria: Deadpool&Wolverine #1
RJ 95 replied to IndustriousAngel's topic in International Box Office
One of regular member in there predict around 65k admission for Friday, do you guys think that will made 350-400k for this weekend possible ? Also how much increase from Fri-Sat usually for this kind of film ? They also seem predict around 4-5x multiplier for Tenet. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
RJ 95 replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Can't open the article but nice. How big percentage for theater in California ? Around 10% of USA total ? -
Probably unlikely in US as that ticket only count with early access. $ 30-35m opening should be already good in this situation. In Australia, Dunkirk made 4.7m OW and Interstellar did 3.6m. In UK, Dunkirk made 13m OW and Interstellar with 8.5m. 2.5m-3m OW in Australia and 7-8m in UK should already be good imo. Let's see if it can goes higher.
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So we have to wait until weekend then to get the number then. Tenet seems like stable in 4.1 rating in Allociné, is that good ? Also how is the response/reaction in social media ?
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Presale for tomorrow in cgv seems very low right ? Maybe only 60-70k for tomorrow. More on the weekend maybe ? If it gets 137k, 60k, 90k, 200k and 190k like MI:6 multiplier for first five days then only $5.2m + $800k for preview. So $6m then. Really hope it can increase more on the weekend.
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Tenet OD : 137k admission, $830k
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Seems like restriction in Seoul really taking big effect into it. Seoul probably at least account half of SK theater. I just hoping it can get on the upper end.
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Yeah lifetime, don't know if lack of competitor in next few weeks gonna affect that but so far I think that's the target. For Tenet seems like it needs to have good run in Europe, fortunately OD in many Europe big market is very good. Just hope that it will have good rating from audience in China. If China can deliver then maybe over 400m finish still likely.
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Yup, don't think it's bad but still good I guess. Review in Naver has many 9 or 10 but those 1 or 2 reviews that drag the number down. Seems like for some they really like and love the action and the spectacle. Few of those who rate 1 or 2 seems hate it because they think the movie is over complicate many things. Need to see if many are curious to see or many like to see this again. For now I guess $15m is the most realistic finish with $20m is the target.
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Seems like the response is good but a bit mixed, seeing few 1 and 6 that drag the rating down. Hope it stays above 8.5 at least for audience rating.