RJ 95

Haha I actually mean admission, I kind of forgot them. Yup sorry, will correct it. Do you think 700k still to far too reach ? Also probability for Joker at least reach 5m ?

From Insidekino data, in Spain after last weekend. Joker only 16k total admission to become 3rd biggest movie this year and 3rd biggest SH movie of all time. Although it still need around €2m more to pass Avengers Endgame there but discount days 2 week ago must have massively increased admission number that makes the gap the way it is. Probably already pass that admission total in Mon-Thu. In Poland, Joker also just needs 100k admission more to surpass Avengers Endgame after 97k weekend and 195k weekly admission. It will comfortably pass that this weekend. In Poland, Joker also never drop more than 30% on weekend. In admission: 1st WE : 271k 2nd WE : 244k (-10% from LW) 3rd WE : 186k (-30%) 4th WE : 126k (-26%) 5th WE : 119k (-6%) 6th WE : 97k (-18%) Current Total 1.73m, crazy performance. in terms of drop, I don't think any Joker markets have collection of drop as impressive as this. For some perspective in Poland, Joker 6th weekend there bigger than SM:FFH 2nd weekend, 80% of CM 2nd Weekend, 95% of AEG 3rd weekend and bigger than Shazam first weekend. https://insidekino.com/BO/E2019.htm https://insidekino.com/BO/PL2019.htm

So probably 8m weekday and 13m weekend. Armistice day inflated weekdays number by 10% I guess.

Yup I know, that why I it's multiplier.

With multiplier like last 2 weeks, then it will get 8.7-9m for weekdays and 13.5-14m for weekend.

With this weekend OS actual come, here is current multiplier for 11 biggest OS market and I only count with its original weekend. For example in SK it opened on Wed but I use usual SK weekend ( Fri-Sun), same like in Japan (Sat-Sun). I still use each country estimate from yesterday, probably won't change much : ( From lowest to highest multi ) 1. Russia 2.89x OW 2. Mexico 3.17x 3. France 3.8x 4. Australia 3.83x 5. South Korea 3.94x 6. Germany 4.02x 7. UK 4.37x 8. Italy 4.56x 9. Brazil 4.82x 10. Spain 6.02x 11. Japan 8.18x Australia and France surely will exceed 4x OW. Brazil will get into 5x multi and Japan also will reach 9x OW. If we combine with all OS market, only Spain and Japan in top 10 best multi with Lithuania, Uruguay, Greece, Finland, Netherland, Slovenia, Portugal, Poland and Argentina join them. I may miss some European markets because Insidekino and Mojo don't have their data. All top 10 also have >5x multiplier.

That's actually for me second most impressive OS weekend, first one is last weekend. I really thought it will drop by at least 50%. This just sort of confirm that it will have great chance to drop sub 40% next weekend or maybe back to usual 35% weekend drop. It's weekdays also increase from estimate. 35.3 OS weekly, 21.4 weekend and 13.9 weekdays. Even after inflated holiday this movie drop simply outstanding.

For total gross ? What you really mean is that Joker will reach those in 2 weekend right ?

With Monday holiday in France and Poland. Also Friday holiday in Brazil. Let's aim back for sub 40% drop. Personally 40-43% drop already good enough but for a chance to finish >1.075m WW. OS needs to back dropping in 35-40% range. Japan probably won't help again with 15-25% drop but this movie always perform better than what we expect so who knows. Anyway next weekend if I had to predict from this number alone, will be. 984.7 + 20.1m OS + 9.2m Domestic = 1014m

Joker continued its march towards the $1bn global box office mark, earning $20.3m from 79 international markets to land at a muscular $671.2m, and $984.7m worldwide. France generated $2.4m for $39.9m after five sessions, Germany $2.2m for $35.9m after five, and top market the UK $2.1m for $67.7m after six. After six weekends, Japan has produced $40.9m, Spain $29.5m, Brazil $35.1m, Italy $31.4m, and Australia $25.3m. Mexico has generated $42.8m. That means 55.7% drop in France, 50% drop Germany and 28% drop in UK over the weekend. Spain probably with 55% weekend drop, Italy with 60 % weekend drop, Japan with 43% weekend drop and Australia with 32% weekly drop.

First time it's weekend become totally what I expect it will get but it's become easier when number is lower to predict. Less margin of error lol. 33.5m OS weekly this time. Nice 47.4% drop, next weekend it will pass Iron Man 3 OS-China. Also of course as we all know will pass billion mark too. I still think it will get 55m OS more. 50 million at least

After some disaster weekdays in Japan where Joker drop in 40-45% weekly. Finally a respectable drop on Saturday with 31.5% drop from LW, not as good as first 5 weeks but still much better from those weekday drops. Tomorrow should drop worse simply because last Sunday inflate by strong evening business. Probably 49% drop. Looking at Japan 40% weekend drop, Germany with 44% drop, France with 35% drop, and Italy with 60% drop. I think 45% OS drop is a good target because while I believe Spain and Portugal will drop big too like Italy because it's going flat LW. UK, Brazil and France will help to normalize it's drop.

Just in US, nobody care about that supposedly "controversy" in rest of the world. In Europe Joker's best market, it's purely WOM and of course with Golden Lion win in Venice. Even more in Asia, they don't even know if there is any controversy to begin with. Just look at some Europe site where audience put their review and compare Joker's audience rating with other SH movie. In those countries, Joker consistently at least in top 3 of best SH movie. What will you describe this ?

Isn't that just an estimation if we calculate by percentage of domestic/international ?

Isn't that 250k prediction for this WE also seems a bit too high, if that 25k for Thursday is true ? maybe multiplier is higher ?

I think he already made a prediction, it will get 4m but not much more. Also in Insidekino they predict 4m. 5 million is too far.

It's not melon chart, it's melon trending keyword. In melon currently, that song ranking is 42. Here is melon chart : https://www.melon.com/chart/index.htm

From Thursday number seems so, but it's expected. Last week Friday was really inflated, so this is really shouldn't be much surprise. It still can get below 50% though, we don't know it's drop from many markets like UK, Brazil, Spain, and France.

This weekend drop will be pretty bad if we look Thursday number at Germany (-70% from LW), Japan (-43%) and Italy (-77%). It's ok though last weekend is holiday and still enough for 700m OS.

Usually they update around this time Just look at in here https://www.screendaily.com/news

Maybe but I doubt it, last week they post 14m weekdays. Ten when Monday comes, actual weekdays shows 24.8m. So if it follows same pattern like last week it will get 13.7m but anything above 11m already good for me. Let's wait for Screendaily usually what they reported is closest to actual weekdays.

I just notice this, with $0.82m Mon-Wed, only dropping 5.8% from LW. Good hold. Seems like holiday help this.

Yup, there is also next week Monday holiday to help actually. Let's see they always underestimate but I think this week they will be close to actual.

In Poland, Joker back to #1 again last weekend with 119k admission. Only dropping 5.6% last weekend. It's weekend also have one of the best drop around Europe : 1st WE : 271.277 admission 2nd WE : 244.490 3rd WE : 175.540 4th WE : 126.005 5th WE : 119.000 It also never drop above 30%. Very nice legs.

Weekly Actual 30 Oct - 5 Nov Joker 776k (-22% from LW) Abominable 585k (-26%) Mal 2 554k (-28%) Zombieland 2 297k New Terminator DF 274k (-39%) Doctor Sleep 148k New As expected for Mal 2 and Abominable to drop higher in weekdays (Mon-Tue) than other movie after school holidays. Joker also only get 81k this week dropping from 260k last week, but that's also a bit expected I guess because last 3 week school holidays really help it's weekdays to never gone below 200k ( 250k, 280k and 260k last week). Next week forecast 6 -12 November Joker 505k (-35%) Mal 2 220k (-60%) Abominable 205k (-65%) Zombieland 2 150k (-50%) Terminator DF 140k (-50%) Doctor Sleep 75k (-50%) Next week there is Monday holiday in France. So let's hope they underestimate again like last weekend. http://www.cine-directors.net/boxoff.htm http://www.cine-directors.net/boxbis.htm