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JWR

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Posts posted by JWR

  1. 20 hours ago, pepsa said:

    Elemental vs TGD, WEEK 3:

     

    SK up to $17.3m after a $7.7m week, increasing more than 30% week to week and up 38% on FSS. Already up $9.2m vs TGD, looking like it will beat it by over $30m.

     

    Mexico: After no being able to open to 100m lc last week (only 80m lc), it had a great week and added another $5.2m (89mish lc), totaling $9.9m. Only need $3.35m more to match TGD. It will probably clear $18m confidently. (up $5m from TGD).

     

    Argentina: Added another $900k for a $4m total, down 10% on last weekend. With school holidays comming up it's looking good for atleast $7.5m, $10m very doable. TGD only made $5.35m so might gain $4.5m on it.

     

    France: Elemental added another $3.4m to $6.1m, still $400k behind TGD closing the gap by $100k. TGD ended it's run with $18.05m, still looking hard to beat but possible. Might come short a few milion USD.

     

    Australia: After a $1.1m OW and a $1.1m full second week, it added $2.2m this week doubeling it's previous total. TGD made $10.3m in total. After an OW of $1.1m it seemed impossible to match that but with an amazing week and more school being out the comming week it might be close to $7m by next weekend and matching TGD seems possible now.

     

    Italy: It added another $2.1m this week, the weekend was down only 13% from last weeks FSS. Elemental was behind $300k last week and is now ahead by $100k. TGD finished with $6.45m, Elemental should atleast match that, might gain a $1m on it in the end.

     

    Germany: It added another $2.2m this week totaling $4m. Admission increased 19% over last weekend. Elemental opened $500k higher and extended its lead to $1.5m. TGD ended with $5.6m, Elemental should be aiming for atleast $10m + so another $5m over TGD.

     

    Brazil: After a terrible OW of $1.5m Elemental added $2.5m this week for at total of $4m, increasing on the weekend (quite rare in Brazil). TGD finished its run with $11.9m, will be hard to match but if next weekend can stay close to flat or increase it might have a shot. Might lose $2-3m here.

     

    Colombia: Opened to $980k last week, added another $1.4m this week for a total of $2.4m Increasing over last weekend. Just shy $400k from TGD total of $2.8m. Should also gain a $2-3m on TGD in the end.

     

    It's clearly beating TGD that ended up making $209m OS-China. Adding china gets up to $225m and this movie should try to get $75m more than TGD for an OS total of $300m (will need a decent UK, Spain and Japan for this) meaning WW we might be looking at $430m. Obviously it only dropped 5% OS from last weekend and if it keeps holding this insanely higher is definitly possible but curently a total a bit over $400m seems where it's headed.

     

    Probably the best scenario Pixar could have hoped for. The movie clearly had staying power and is resonating with audiences. It shows that the Pixar brand still has pull with families. Feels like a movie that will perform extremely well on Disney+ and have a good shelf life on home video.

     

    But more importantly, I feel that the goodwill from Elemental bodes well for Elio and Inside Out 2.

    • Like 9
  2. 4 minutes ago, AniNate said:

     

    Looks like it's turning into something of a mini-Coco with its performance. It's kinda remarkable how the world is embracing this after they totally rejected Lightyear

     

    Probably because it has more of that traditional Pixar heart than Lightyear while still being colorful and fun enough for kids.

  3. 5 minutes ago, dudalb said:

    Universal got burned badly a few years ago when they spent massive amounts of money to try to save 'Battleship"and just added a lot or the red ink. Since then,Uni has been more cautious then most studios about 'Hail Mary" attempts to save a film they see as having little chance of sucess.

    And their judgement was right concerning Kraken. "Elementals" is filling that niche quite nicely.

    You have to know when to cut your losses/ You can't spend huge amounts of money to try to save every film that comes along.

     

    Especially when Mario is still making billions and you can afford to take an L. 

    • Like 1
  4. 19 minutes ago, Godzilla said:

    Even though this movie flopped I do think it's playing an important role in bringing back audiences to watch Pixar in theaters. People seem to be really enjoying it and maybe this movie had to flop so other Pixar films in the future can thrive. I'm going to watch it this week with my niece and I'm excited to. I hope Elio is great and becomes a hit. 

     

    Hopefully legs will be enough for this to only be an "underperforming" film than a complete catastrophe like Lightyear. 

    • Like 1
  5. 16 hours ago, LegionWrex said:

    Anyways about to see Indy 5 in the next couple of hours or so. Looking forward to it, will report back once I do see it!

     

    Box office wise it seems to be fucked, no ways around that. It's got the 5-day weekend so I will wait until after the 4th of July to pass full judgment on it's legs (movies on these dates can be hard to predict sometimes) but the preview numbers aren't encouraging and Post-Trak scores are in line with Crystal Skull which indicates similar feelings to that film. Between this and Quantumania disappointing there are definitely going to be some hard looks into Disney's output over the next couple of years I think, though thankfully they seem to be understanding that Elemental's legs are nothing to be scoffed at, that will likely be a small success story even if it will sadly struggle to make a profit in theaters.

     

    On the other hand, lost in the midst of this, is Ruby Gillman's complete and utter lack of anything. The fact it cost $70M makes me think this could end up being on the bigger bombs that DreamWorks have put out in recent memory, and I wouldn't be shocked if many animation fans/families just opted to see much buzzed about Elemental or even Nimona on Netflix (which is getting raves, can't wait to watch that!). DOA might be too kind to it cause it was barely even alive, it sort of just was there, already dead.

     

    Sad for the people behind Ruby Gillman. Universal showed practically zero faith in it and are putting out digitally on July 18.

  6. 21 minutes ago, Claudio said:

    Elemental might still be a flop. But its reception, WOM, legs and upcoming “not as disastrous as we thought” box office total prove that there’s still audiences for Pixar in cinemas. Families are coming back to cinema again and Pixar doesn’t deserve to be dumped in streaming that quick. 

    As long as the qualities are there (like what Pixar usually does) and Disney not fucking up the streaming date, Pixar can still be successful. Elemental gives that idea. Hopefully it also gives Disney some confidence and lessons to delay it to streaming for another 6 months. If Disney does that then I believe Elio and next Pixar projects will be successful again like Pixar used to pre pandemic.

    Elemental will be *that* one movie that dug Pixar out of the grave. It earns the audiences trust back, taught Disney lessons and perfectly captures the enormous worth of Pixar brand that’s still left in Cinema industry.

     


     


     

     

     

    It's a vital first step in getting Pixar (and Disney Animation in general) back on track.

    • Like 2
  7. 1 hour ago, ZattMurdock said:

    It’s not a contradiction, it’s a misconception. From an executive standpoint it might look like having a Spider-Man film and Iron Man showing up (which was more like a feat than an actual team up tbh) might mean ‘omg money’. But for a world building and gaining good will aspect, it’s about setting apart the MCU’s Spider-Man from all the others, giving the sense that Spider-Man is part of this much larger world. I always liked the double meaning of Homecoming too. The high school party aspect of it and also the meaning that Spidey was finally home. This video when it was announced that Spider-Man was going to finally be part of the MCU is unforgettable to me:

     


     

    It gives me chills every time. We came a long way since this.

     

    Fair or not, Superman: Legacy will have to pay for the "sins" of the DCEU. People will understandably be hesitant to give this brand another chance after 10 years of occasional ups and mostly downs. However, if the movie is good (or even great), it will be able to overcome that stigma and baggage.

    • Like 1
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