If (and that's a major if) this movie crosses the $200M WW threshold, it'll be from overseas markets. That's where these movies are typically dominant.
The fact that Romulus was meant to be a Hulu original tells me the budget was relatively modest. So hopefully, it shouldn't have a high break-even point.
That's a little hard to answer. Alien as a franchise has always been pretty niche. If reviews are positive, it could land somewhere between $125-175M WW. Maybe $200M+ in the best case scenario.
The bar is so low for a Fantastic 4 movie. Even with Marvel being shaky at best, lately, I can't imagine them screwing up worse than the previous attempts.
May or may not go anywhere. But thought it was worth posting here since it seemed relevant:
https://njtoday.news/2024/02/13/lisa-mccormick-demands-justice-for-warner-bros-coyote-vs-acme-tax-scam/?amp=1