Cheddar Please

Is that what tracking is indicating right now? Because a flat Thursday with Haunted Mansion previews stealing screens would be huge, especially in terms of its ramifications for the weekend

It would have to be o/u 4x for that chance to be 50/50, which I think is a much different expectation than sub 5x

6 hours ago, across the Jat verse said: 23.5 and 10.6 can someone tell me why 90m is considered "possible" by reliable sources? I see no way this movie misses 90m short of it seeing no increase from Monday - Friday

If it actually hits 26m 3 days in a row, I think that's about as strong an indication as any that this movie is being held back solely by capacity limitations due to having to share screens with Oppenheimer

Flat from Monday

You know, I remember someone asked me at the start of this year when TFA's record would fall and I jokingly replied Barbie would take it down...

Also, given that there is now the remote possibility of Barbie going 10 days over $20m I would like to say that currently only 2 movies have accomplished that so far: The Force Awakens Endgame Yeah we're getting into unjnown territory at this point

With the latest news from Jat and Empire implying flat Wednesday, I'ma say highest non-holiday Wednesday is looking like 50/50 now lol. If it holds, that would imply that the sky is basically the fucking limit for this movie

Barbie has the potential to take #2 today - Here are the top non-holiday Wednesday grosses: Endgame: 25.25m Jurassic World: 19.90m Incredibles 2: 19.74m The Dark Knight: 18.38m Finding Dory: 18.09m The Lion King: 17.04m Infinity War: 16.97m Top Gun Maverick: 14.82m Black Panther: 14.69m Dead Man's Chest: 14.15m The Dark Knight Rises: 13.77m The Avengers: 13.61m Minions Rise of Gru: 13.57m Toy Story 3: 13.46m Fallen Kingdom: 12.27m Yes I used this as an excuse to make a list, but it would not surprise me if Barbie ended up closer to #1 than #2

Imo if this movie does not break 400m nothing else this year will, which I would consider to be a massive disappointment for the box office

tbf all indications seem to suggest that it's suffering from being underbooked on screenings, so a large sat jump may not be out of the question

It would be really funny if it pulled a BatB and held flat on Saturday

As much as I think SMB is a pretty great success I think it would be a great shame if no movie this year manages to break 600m DOM, as we've had at least one every year since 2017 not counting lockdown (not to mention 3 movies in the top 10 opening just within a year of each other)

Oh I thought we were talking about DOM only

About the same chance as SMB making over 600m lol

Anyways, I don't intend on making myself a pariah here so I think I'll leave it there. If people want to call me out for my opinions go ahead, but I feel like I've deviated from talking about BO for long enough

GOTG3 still decreased from its predecessor, and to your second point, yes, I would indeed like it if those movies made more of the box office

I think the issue is that there's nothing that has deviated from the expected norm as of late. TLM is following almost the same trajectory as Aladdin, while ATSV Hit an impressive but relatively predictable OW haul with a multi that will probably land it somewhere between GOTG 3 and Shrek 2

I mean Thor 4, JWD, and DS2 all previously underperformed my expectations but at the very least all have the excuse of being below average movies. GOTG3 and ATSV were arguably about as good as they could possibly be yet neither of them were rewarded for their quality as much as they should be IMO

Yeah unfortunately this movie had the dubious honor of releasing right after SMB broke out. This movie would have had to do ~150m to match breakout expectations imo

As someone who does love this film and Guardians 3 seeing both do just ok relative to my expectation is really diminishing my interest lol

Is this from who I think it is

OW deflation is definitely been a thing since NWH. The last 3 films that grossed over 500m have had over 3.5x multiplier and the last 4 films that grossed over 90m ow (SMB, GOTG3, TLM, and ATSV) are all on track for over 3x multi

Why is it the case that I2 had such a back loaded IM compared to other animated/superhero movies?

do we know if ATSV's previews are due to insufficient screenings or just lower demand?