Mickiland16

If presales doesn't improve I guess the high end ($155M) is going to be lower this friday? Because so far on last pages nothing indicates that it will open higher than the last movie.

Weeks ago I'd say it could surprise people by making over $800M because the poster reveal pulled a pretty high buzz. But now, Guardians of the Galaxy 3 presales on the tracking thread are making me worry.

How dare you to ignore the actual best show of the decade AKA Santa Clauses starring lord, savior and king Tim Allen?? #PapaNoelsweep.

So looking at fandango "most anticipated movie" the last 10 years. And their actual result... 2013 - Catching Fire #2 OW #1 DOM 2014 - Mockingjay P1 #1 OW #2 DOM 2015 - The Force Awakens #1 OW #1 DOM 2016 - Rogue One #3 OW #1 DOM 2017 - The Last Jedi #1 OW #1 DOM 2018 - Infinity War #1 OW #2 DOM 2019 - Endgame #1 OW #1 DOM (pandemic) 2022 - Wakanda Forever #2 OW #3 DOM 2023 - Guardians of the Galaxy 3 ???? With the exception of Wakanda Forever, their poll got right either the number one opening weekend or the number one movie (or both) and even there it was top 3 on both rankings (also to be fair it was only 6 million away from Doctor Strange 2 opening). Now, looking at the presales, could 2023 be the one where they're the most off and maybe not even top 3? Also worth sharing, The lowest grossing since 2013, Mockingjay Part One, opened with $125M and ended with $337M on the full run while all the others got over $150M OW and $400M DOM.

What are you thinking for Fast X now? I know the comps are most likely going down since Dominion was more walk-up heavy but could it stay flat from Fast 9?

Not sure if this is the right place to post about this but via Jeff Sneider: Dave Filoni is getting his own STAR WARS movie tmrw, and furthermore, Lucasfilm is trying to codify the SW universe around the worlds that Filoni and Jon Favreau have created, which is why other movies and shows are being killed. Filoni = New Lucas. On a side note, if this true and given this is Disney after all, Grogu cinematic debut would be inevitable I guess (toys=$) maybe jedi academy with Rey post The Rise of Skywalker?

True, story wise it would have a problem with his personality, but box office wise there's a difference: WDAS it's not Warner Animation, if it's 3D animated and gets the kind of marketing that they give to their other movies I find it hard for it to go under $500M. Also if we're talking about cinematic universes, it has potential, Donald, Goofy, Minnie and Daisy aren't on his level but still more popular than like 95% of cartoon characters specially the first three.

Seriously I kinda want them to make a Mickey Mouse movie just to see the box office. He's by far the most recognizable cartoon character and WDAS is a strong brand (for now Strange World seems more like an exception rather than a law to me) so it should be a success but by how much? How much can he sell on THE BIG SCREEN?

I don't want this to fail but I also like some drama so...who's gonna post this on the box office subreddit?

I mean the social media engagement the teaser had doesn't come out of nowhere, there is interest from the GA part, I know there are cases where this kind of stats mislead but we can't ignore them totally. Fast X which has kinda the same audience has less likes on the youtube trailer besides more views. With the Pikachu precedent though, a second trailer should make clear what the hype is, if it has still more social media engagement than others like Guardians or The Flash i'd say we're heavily underestimating it's worldwide gross tbh.

In other news with the announcement of live-action Moana I guess they can do with the Memorial Day what they're doing (or plan to do) with December between Avatar and Star Wars, in fact they were kinda doing it before COVID but only Aladdin was a big success on the later years while Pirates 5 was a dissapointment (compared to other movies and the budget), Alice 2 flopped and Solo too. The way I see it going is: 2023 - The Little Mermaid. 2024 - Planet of the Apes 4. 2025 - Hercules. 2026 - Moana 2027 - Planet of the Apes 5(?)/Untitled Pirates of the Caribbean. 2028 - Princess and the Frog (rumor)? 2029 - Planet of the Apes 6 (?) This is going by last year report of Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes setting up a new trilogy.

Good point, maybe I overreacted, but it would probably still mean under Guardians 2 which is not as bad as under Ant-Man 3 but should be a warning on Marvel since that would mean less interest on the brand overall. But again it's early so let's wait for the first 24 hours.

Considering that minus China the OS markets for Guardians has been almost or less than the domestic total, even with better legs opening under Ant-Man 3 would mean like under/barely above $600M(?). As someone who loves the previous two really hope it can get better. As you say it's early.

People on Twitter noticed that on the new video promoting the statues there's the voice of a T-Rex at the end which may indicated that his Beast Wars version is on the movie.

Yep, I've heard BALLAD OF SONGBIRDS AND SNAKES is very good as well. From ViewerAnon. Also idk how reliable is Grace but she says the trailer is coming very soon while talking about Blue Beetle's and Spider-Verse's ones next week.

If this means what I think it means they missed an opportunity by not releasing the trailer on the first movie's anniversary. Anyways I'm both excited and curious about this. The poster looks good.

Unrelated but assuming that it is and considering that she has Snow White four months later it would be an interesting plot twist if after these numbers she becomes the next star of her generation. I mean it's not impossible, her demand in Hollywood would certainly go up quite a bit as the lead in two big blockbusters back to back even if she probably isn't the main reason for their success.

"The Little Mermaid’ Trailer Earns Most Disney Live-Action Views Since ‘The Lion King’ (Exclusive) Over The Flash (97M), Indy 5 (79 million first two weeks), the first teaser (104 million) and just a bit behind Gotg 3 second trailer (133M).

Frozen would of course make way more money but that's getting a sequel probably by either 2025 or 2026. P&F, Tangled and Moana only have tv shows. Moana is too early for the moment since it's not even 10 years but considering that Hercules will release over 4 years since the announcement and The Huchback got annouce on 2019, this probably wouldn't came out untill 2028 which is already 19 years after the original assuming the rumor is true but again the source is not highly reliable.

Charlie has spoken...$3.5M previews

Saw it in reddit and it was removed for low quality source. However it shouldn't be really surprising since their oldest IP are going to Disney + (Bambi next?) and the Renaissance movies are coming to an end with Hercules and The Hunchback (Pocahontas is too controversial). This one feels like the right next step unless the Lilo and Stitch remake goes theatrical (unlikely at this point but Stitch merch sells).

And they're back! That was fast and probably won't last for too long but it's what it is.

Curious about the new songs

The Hunchback of Notre Dame remake was also in the works if I remember well so yeah counting Mufasa and Aladdin 2 there's remakes untill...2026? Before they jump on Princess and the Frog/Tangled which will be 17-18 years old.

Love them! Also nice to see that, going by the marketing material and coments about the test screenings, other bots seems to be getting more spotlight and not just Optimus and Bumblebee.