BOfficeStats

Amazon Prime Video only allows you to rent it, like all the other platforms.

Late response but I'm going with $22M OW. For my total prediction, I think it will end at $40M. Compared to The Eras Tour, the older audience and December season will boost legs but the low admissions for opening weekend (likely ~1 million) combined with higher competition for screens will largely cancel that out. I wouldn't be surprised if Renaissance falls out of the top 5 by its 3rd weekend then basically ends its run by Christmas day.

When is the earliest that another Hollywood blockbuster stopped reported weekend INT/WW grosses?

The earlier weak tracker numbers were alarming but we should have accounted for them underindexing. The Thursday tracker comps increased by the final day (compared to the previous days and weeks) but Renaissance still outperformed them by 12% ($5.06M vs $4.52M).

https://deadline.com/2023/12/box-office-renaissance-a-film-by-beyonce-godzilla-minus-one-hunger-games-1235647651/ Key takeaways: - ~$5M Thursday previews - Could have the best opening weekend for a movie during the first weekend of December (The Last Samurai with $24.2M in 2003). - 100% All/Top Critics (17 All reviews, 12 Top reviews) AND Verified Audience score on Rotten Tomatoes (100+ VA reviews) - Early Posttrak Thursday score (5 stars, 99% positive, and 90% definite recommend). - 70% female - 51% Black, 20% Caucasian, 20% Latino and Hispanic and 6% Asian. - The biggest demo were those 25-34 which repped 45% of the audience. Over 25 showed up at 53%

Godzilla (2014) made €5.09M but Minus One will barely make anything. It's sad to see.

My original OW prediction was 20%-25% of The Eras Tour OW but it might not even come close to 20% ($18.6M) if this is very frontloaded and walkups are terrible like they were for The Eras Tour.

Final Thursday preview tracking predictions/comps for Renaissance: Average Prediction: $4.29M - abracadabra1998 ($3.7M-$4.3M) - keysersoze123 ($4.3M-$4.5M) - Porthos ($3.5M-$4.5M) - TheFlatLannister ($4.5M-$5.0M) Average Comp: $4.52M - abracadabra1998 ($3.73M) - jeffthehat ($5.5M) - Porthos ($3.7M) - TheFlatLannister ($5.14M)

How do they compare to Titanic's 2023 re-release?

Where do you get your Austria data from?

NTCs?

Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour broke into the Domestic 2023 Top Ten (in-year releases) on its 37th day (November 18th) with $174.6M, kicking out Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny ($174.5M). It might have made a lot less than some people predicted but it is still a huge financial success and one of the most surprising box office successes of the year!

I'm still sticking with my $18.6M-$23.2M prediction because it seems to have almost 0 appeal to General Audiences but it will still make some money.

Renaissance Thursday preview comps/predictions as of November 21st: - abracadabra1998 ($2.87M) - Hilts ($1.99M) - keysersoze123 ("thinking 5m previews and high 20s OW. ") - Porthos ($2.49M)

You almost got me

Looks like Momoa has some direct competition this Christmas.

Many of the most successful films in the Soviet Union during the Cold War were from other countries, some were even from the USA.

The MCU's current marriage of factory production + slow overall narrative momentum + risky bets has been a financial disaster. If Captain America: Brave New World, with big crossovers, was coming out this weekend with rave reviews then it would be boosting the MCU's momentum but The Marvels is just adding more fuel to the fire.

I think Disney might be wary of Rise-Of-Skywalkering the next Avengers film. That seems way too on the nose.

How does that compare to other films?

Also locked DOM to be the 2nd biggest PG-13 film of 2023 with a 30+ year old blonde woman in the lead role.

Captain Marvel got a 91% on CGV while Black Widow has a 96%.

Which market?

Chinese presales seem to indicate a $10M+ finish.

The Marvels social media embargo lifts on Nov. 7, 9PM PT while the review embargo lifts Nov. 8, 9 AM PT. It seems like the Hunger Games social media embargo lifts on Nov. 5, 10 AM PT while the review embargo lifts Nov. 9, 11 AM PT.