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Filmovie

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Everything posted by Filmovie

  1. 1) Will San Andreas open to more than 40 million? YES 2) Will San Andreas have an opening day of more than 15 million? YES 3) Will any film, in more than 2000 theaters, fall less than 42%? NO 4) Will AOU fall less than 56.3%? YES 5) Will Pitch Perfect 2 make more than Tomorrowland? NO 6) Will Mad Max fall less than 50%? YES 7) Will Poltergeist fall more than 59%? YES 8) Will Hot Pursuit increase more than 50% on Saturday? YES 9) How many films will make more than 400K on Thursday? 5 10) Will any film fall more than 30% on Sunday? YES 11) Will any film increase more than 110% on Friday? YES 12) Will Mad Max increase less than 27% on Saturday? NO 10/12 3000 11/12 5000 12/12 7000 What finishes in spots: 6 aou 7 POLTERGEIST 9 FAR FROM THE MADDING CROUD 11 HOME 15 ADELINE 2000 for each spot right, bonus of 3000 if all spots correct. Bonus 1: What will be the Friday accumulated gross for the top 3 films? 26,456 Bonus 2: If you add up the drops for the films that finish in spots 2-3-4, to three decimal spots, what is your total? 151%
  2. Well. His hands are more bound than what you think: He can't change Dom totals, he can't change the movies in WW chart, he has already the positions (!) For example, next movie that will come out is San Andreas. Honestly I didn't change my mind on any WW prediction and I still think what I tought a month ago but let's suppose there were news that have just come out that tell us that is going to be a sure 750 m hit. Could B take advantages of that? Well, given the fact that he can't alter the positions, not so (but really not so) much. He really can't change his mind that much on a movie since that decision would affect basically the all chart. His leeway is really very small. Even if he would alter, he couldn't. Well he could actually alter them by adding/removing 20-30 M but not in a considerable way. The game lasts 4 months and that wouldn't affect it that much. Moreover I noticed already when I started playing 2 year ago that this game attaches more importance to which movies you choose (and their order) instead of what are the totals that you put on them. Then guys, you decide, I said mine.
  3. IMHO you should add them. 1. Since you don't have nor MM, neither PP2 or Tomorrowland, they only movie which has come out is AOU (and having it at a lot more than a Billion OS, since it had already been released in half markets at the beginning of the game, would have been already quite stupid at the end of April, so it doesn't amaze me at all (and I believe you) if you tell me that you had it at "only" 1,6 B, ). Basically no problem. 2. We play only because you "let" us to (and you spent and spend a lot of time to give us this opportunity). You forgot once, we owe you more than this favour and you don't have basically any (big) advantages in doing that now (since movies are already chosen). Do it.
  4. Aloha San Andreas Entourage Insidious 3 Spy Dope Inside Out Magic Mike 2 Terminator Genisys You have 8 possible SOTM questions to choose from. Your choices are: What will have the best OW (this will include any 5 day openings). What will have the best total? INSIDE OUT What will have the best opening day? INSIDE OUT What will have the best midnight/early shows from the day before the official release? What will have the best legs (multiplier...note, multiplier will count from a three day OW only)? What will have the smallest opening weekend? DOPE What will have the smallest opening day? DOPE Name at least two films that will make more than 150 mill (if y ou do not think there will be two, that can be your answer as well)
  5. 1) Will Poltergeist have at least 1.5 mill in previews? YES 2) Will Poltergeist have an opening day of more than 7 million? YES 3) Will Tomorrowland be number one for the 4 day weekend? NO 4) Will Tomorrowland gross more for the three day than Poltergeist does for the 4? NO 5) Will Pitch Perfect 2 fall more than 45%? YES 6) Will Max fall more than 40%? NO 7) Will any film in the top 10 increase for the 4 day (compared to last weeks 3 day)? NO 8) Will Avengers have a Saturday increase of more than 60.5%? NO 9) Will Home remain in the top 10? YES 10) Will F7 get past 350 mill after Monday, so Monday's gross will count for this question.NO 11) Will Mad Max have a better Thursday drop % wise than PP2? NO 12) Will Age of Adeline have a better drop % wise than Woman in Gold? YES 10/12 3000 11/12 4000 12/12 7000 (I think the questions have a good degree of difficulty this weekend. Question 13: ABSTAIN Bonus 1: What finishes in spots: 6 HOT PERSUIT 8 PAUL BLART 9 ADELINE 12 WOMAN IN GOLD 3000 each and a bonus of 3000 if all four correct. Bonus 2: What will PP2 and Tomorrowland combine to make for the 4 day? 77,456 m Bonus 3: What will Age of Adaline make on Saturday? 0,923 m
  6. Wait a minute: who will be first in $? AOU or F7? I need AOU to pass F7 for my BSG
  7. Pitch Perfect should be lower. "Pitch Perfect 2 hit all the right notes this weekend, adding $26.9 million from 29 markets to raise its overseas tally to $38.1 million and already tracking 174% ahead of the original." This WE ww it has made 70,3+26,9=97,2 M
  8. Disney machine can't launch anything outside Animation, Pixar, Marvel (and SW)
  9. I've just realized that this, SA or Pan will be the highest grossing movie OS and WW for WB. Luckily they had American Sniper earlier this year
  10. 4 out of 4 for me! China was pretty predictable. Russia, Germany and Portugal had ER to deal with.
  11. In the last Week it has made: -155 M in China -53 M in other OS countries. 770+120 M China + 55 M OS + 25 Jap= 960 M OS?
  12. 1) Will Pitch Perfect make at least 20 mill more than Mad Max? NO 2) Will Pitch Perfect make more than 49 mill OW? YES 3) Will PP have previews of more than 4 mill? YES 4) Will PP have an OD of more than 17.5 mill? YES 5) Will PP be number one this weekend? YES 6) Will Mad Max open to more than 30 mill? YES 7) Will MM have previews of more than 2 mill? YES 8) Will MM drop more than 25% on Sunday? YES 9) Will Avengers drop more than 45%? YES 10) Will Avengers increase more than 58% on Sa turday? YES 11) Will Age of Adeline fall more than 25%? YES 12) Will the top three films combine to make more than 115 mill? YES Question 13: Abstain. Bonus 1: What finishes is spots: 4 Hot Persuit 7 Ex Machina 8 Paul Blart 11 Cinderella 12 UInfriended 2000 each correct, 5000 bonus for all 5 correct. Bonus 2: What will PP and MM combine to make this weekend? 101,234 M Bonus 3: What will Avengers make on Sunday? 11,456 M Good luck!
  13. Disney gave my numbers. I don't think they simply look at the totals and made a brief comparision. They considered country by country and so their comparisions are far more precise than those you made by simpy considering totals. TA2 is running 7% above TA and 6% above IM3 in the same countries and taking into account the number of days it has been released in every country.
  14. oh God. +44%/+24% on TA/IM3 was when considering local currencies. On a dollar basis it would have been more like +17%/10% respectively. And when they said +7%/+6% they took out the OW of China in both movies (otherwise it would have been down something since both TA and IM3 were above 440 M after 2nd WE OS)
  15. Almost everywhere is a holiday. Friday will be inflated and so 200 M WE are possible
  16. 1) Will Avengers make 600 million domestic? NO 2) Will Avengers make more than F7 internationally? NO 3) Will Avengers make more than F7 in China? NO 4) Will Avengers make more than F7 in any of these countries: Brazil, Columbia, Portugal? Yes
  17. 1) Will Avengers make more than 22 million for previews? YES 2) Will Avengers make more than 85 million OD? YES 3) Will Avengers make more than 93 million OD? YES 4) Will Avengers fall more than 22% on Saturday? YES 5) Will Avengers fall more than 28% on Sunday? YES 6) Will Avengers make more than 200 million? YES 7) Will Avengers make more than 210 million? YES 8) Will Avengers make more than 20 million for the OW in Mexico? 9) Will Avengers make more than 1 million OW in Portugal? NO 10) Will Avengers surpass 600 mill at the WW box office, according to Mojo, Sunday estimates count only. YES 11) Will The Cinemascore for Avengers be at least an A? YES 12) Will Deadline's Friday report at any time contain the phrase, "Not a record"? NO 13) Will RTH's last Friday report in the forum be within 5% of the studio estimated Friday number (if RTH for some reason doesn't show up this weekend, everyone's answer will be correct)? YES 14) Will F7 fall more than 55%? YES 15) Will any film in the top 10 fall less than 50% YES 16) Will Paul Blart fall less than Get Hard? YES 17) Will the top ten films gross more than 260 million? NO 18) Will Age of Adeline have a Friday increase of more than 135%? NO 19) Will F7 gross more than 40 million WW for the weekend? YES 20) Will Get Hard stay in the top 10? NO 21) Will any film increase more than 55% on Saturday? YES 22) Will the weekend gross of F7, Blart and Adeline gross at least 10% of what Avengers does? YES What films place in slots: 6 Ex Machina 7 Cinderella 9 Unfriended 12 Get Hard 2000 for each correct place 5000 bonus if all four are correct Bonus 1: What will Avengers gross for the weekend? 219,231 Bonus 2: What will the cume be for the films that finish in slots 2-6? 27,432 Bonus 3: What will F7 gross on Saturday? 4,211
  18. 21) Will Avengers gross more than the first one? DOM or WW? Edit: Ok, DOM more probably.
  19. What's your prediction for it? Do you think it can crack 200M$ in this market?
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