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Filmovie

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Everything posted by Filmovie

  1. I hope you're talking about this Summer/year and not making a general speech about the future of the industry (that would be one of the dumbest I've ever heard of)
  2. Quite depressing end of the Summer. I hope at least SOC and MFU will open solidly next week
  3. ) Will Vacation drop more than 25% on Thursday? NO 2) Will Mission Impossible make more than 60 million? YES 3) Will MI5 make more than 5 million from previews? NO 4) Will Pixels finish with more than Ant-Man? NO 5) Will Minions fall more than 50%? NO 6) Will Vacation make more than 30 million for the 5 day? NO 7) Will JW increase more than 48% on Saturday? YES 8) Will IO finish ahead of JW by more than half a million? NO 9) Will Trainwreck drop less than 30%? NO 10) Will any film increase more than 60% on Friday? YES 11) Will any film increase on Thursday? YES 12) Will Papertowns drop more than 58%? YES 10/12 3000 11/12 4000 12/12 6000 What film finishes in spots: 5 <PIXELS 7 SOUTH 9 IO 11 MR HOLMES 2000 each and 3000 bonus for all 4 right Bonus 1: What will Ant-Man and Minions combine to make? 26,345 M Bonus 2: What will MI5 gross WW? 116,456 m
  4. TOP 5 WORLDWIDE WEEKEND: JURASSIC WORLD 524,1 M AVENGERS AGE OF ULTRON 359,3 M MINIONS 240,0 M INSIDE OUT 131,4 M SAN ANDREAS 118,5 M TERMINATOR GENESYS 116,5 M ANT MAN 113,6 M MAD MAX FURY ROAD 109,4 M PITCH PERFECT 2 97,2 M TOMORROWLAND 59,9 M Ant-man CHEWY 220 JAJANG 210,8 DRUV10 200 NUMBERS AKA 191 DAJK 170 NEO 160 FILMOVIE 142 CMASTERCLAY 130 actuals 113,6 GOFFE 110 JAKE GITTES ICEROLL CHASMMI EMPIRE OUT NARNIADIS SNOOPY DIPPER TREEROY ALPHA KALO GLOSSFAIRY BCF26 CEDAR CJOHN
  5. If your prediction is in GOLD, then you are the closest to the Actual OW. If your prediction is in BLUE, then you are within 10m of the Actuals OW. If your prediction is in GREEN, then you are within 20m of the Actuals OW. If your prediction is in BLACK, then you are within 30m of the Actuals OW. If your prediction is in RED, then you are over the film's actual OW by at least 30m and missed by a wide margin! TOP 5 DOMESTIC OPENING: Jurassic World 208,8 M Avengers: Age of Ultron 191,3 M Minions 115,7 M Inside Out 90,4 M Pitch Perfect 2 69,2 M Ant Man 57,2 M San Andreas 54,6 M Mad Max Fury Road 45,4 M Ted 2 33,5 M Tomorrowland 33,0 M Ant-man NEO 92 JAJANG 90,8 DRUV10 90 CJOHN 85 CHASMMI 84 THE PANDA 80 NUMBERS AKA 80 GREY GHOST 79 DAJK 77 EMPIRE OUT 76 ALPHA 75 SIMIONSKI 75 JANDREW 75 DARKELF 73 KAYUMANGGI 70 ICEROLL 70 CEDAR 70 GOFFE 68 JAKE GITTES 67,4 DIPPER 66,2 MOVIEMAN89 66 GLOSSFAIRY 60 actuals 57,2 M SNOOPY TREEROY MATRIX4YOU
  6. 1) Will Ant Man open to more than 70 million? yes 2) Will Ant Man open to more than 80 million? no 3) Will Minions fall less than 45%? no 4) Will IO finish ahead of JW? yes 5) Will Trainwreck open to more than 20 million? yes 6) Will Terminator drop more than 45%? yes 7) Will Spy drop less than 45%? yes 8) Will Self/Less be in the top 10? no 9) Will Baahubali fall more than 55% no 10) Will Ted have a Friday increase of more than 25%? no 11) Will any film increase more than 58% on Saturday? no 12) Will Minions have a Thursday increase? no 10/12 3000 11/12 4000 12/12 6000 What finishes in spots 5 jw 7 Magic Mike xxl 8 galllows 9 ted 2 2000 each 3000 bonus if all 4 are right Bonus 1: What will Ant Man make this weekend? 70,656 m Bonus 2: What will Minions make on Friday? 20,166 m Bonus 3: What will Trainwreck make on Friday? 12,343 m
  7. Honestly I don't think so: - DM and Minions are a monstre that came out of nowhere but it won't last forever - Lorax is based on a pre-existing material (as the Grinch will be) There is really too much competition in the CGI Animation genre to be always a winner (if you're not Pixar or, lately, Disney Animation)
  8. TOP 5 WORLDWIDE WEEKEND: JURASSIC WORLD 524,1 M AVENGERS AGE OF ULTRON 359,3 M MINIONS 240,0 M INSIDE OUT 131,4 M SAN ANDREAS 118,5 M TERMINATOR GENESYS 116,5 M MAD MAX FURY ROAD 109,4 M PITCH PERFECT 2 97,2 M TOMORROWLAND 59,9 M Minions THE PANDA 250 CHEWY 240 actuals 240,0 M GREY GHOST 230 DAJK 213 DAR 210 MATTREK 200 MOVIEMAN89 185 DRUV10 180 EXXDEE 180 JANDREW 180 NEO 164 KAYUMANGGI 160 FILMOVIE 157 NUMBERS AKA 156 CMASTERCLAY 150 AVI 141 FILMS 140 TELEMACHOS 140 DAMIEN ROC 133 GOFFE 125 ED baumer WRATH ALFREDSTELLAR MATRIX4YOU MICHAEL GARY SCOTT LAGUY BCF26 JAKE GITTES KALO 24LOST GRIM22 CHASMMI EMPIRE OUT ALPHA SIMIONSKI NARNIADIS GERALDINO TREEROY DARKELF SNOOPY DIPPER ICEROLL GLOSSFAIRY K1STPIERRE BLANKMENTS ETHAN HUNT
  9. TOP 5 DOMESTIC OPENING: Jurassic World 208,8 M Avengers: Age of Ultron 191,3 M Minions 115,7 M Inside Out 90,4 M Pitch Perfect 2 69,2 M San Andreas 54,6 M Mad Max Fury Road 45,4 M Ted 2 33,5 M Tomorrowland 33,0 M Minions actuals 115,7 M AVI 106 THE PANDA 105 FILMOVIE 104 MOVIEMAN89 103 DAJK 102 FILMS 100 JANDREW 100 DAR 100 SIMIONSKI 100 K1STPIERRE 97 BLANKMENTS 96 DRUV10 95 NEO 94 CHEWY 92 CMASTERCLAY 92 CHASMMI 91 ETHAN HUNT 90 GERALDINO 90 ALPHA 90 GRIM22 89 DIPPER 88,7 EMPIRE OUT 86 ED 85,3 BCF26 85,3 NARNIADIS 85 KAYUMANGGI 85 CJOHN 84 NUMBERS AKA 84 ALFREDSTELLAR 83 WRATH 83 ICEROLL 82 JAKE GITTES 81,1 DARKELF 81 MICHAEL GARY SCOTT 80,3 GREY GHOST 80 KALO 80 JAJANG 79,2 GOFFE 75 GLOSSFAIRY 75 DAMIEN ROC 74 LAGUY 74 TELEMACHOS 73 CEDAR 73 24LOST 72,5 EXXDEE 65 baumer TREEROY SNOOPY
  10. I agree. I am giving this a 300-330 M range. DM2 had a 83 M OW opening on Wed, it would have done a very similar opening to Minions if it had had a Friday release.
  11. If your prediction is in GOLD, then you are the closest to the Actual OW or WW Weekend. If your prediction is in BLUE, then you are within 10m of the Actuals OW or within 15m of WW Weekend. If your prediction is in GREEN, then you are within 20m of the Actuals OW or within 30m of WW Weekend. If your prediction is in BLACK, then you are within 30m of the Actuals OW or within 60m of WW Weekend. If your prediction is in RED, then you are over the film's actual OW by at least 30m and missed by a wide margin! TOP 5 WORLDWIDE WEEKEND: JURASSIC WORLD 524,1 M AVENGERS AGE OF ULTRON 359,3 M INSIDE OUT 131,4 M SAN ANDREAS 118,5 M TERMINATOR GENESYS 116,5 M MAD MAX FURY ROAD 109,4 M PITCH PERFECT 2 97,2 M TOMORROWLAND 59,9 M San Andreas JAJANG 198,1 NUMBERS AKA 164 actuals 118,5 M GOFFE 105 SIMIONSKI GRIM22 CEDAR Mad Max Fury Road CJOHN Tomorrowland JAJANG 152,3 actuals 59,9 M K1STPIERRE Jurassic World actuals 524,1 M DAMIEN ROC 307 CHEWY 300 THE PANDA 280 MATTREK 275 FILMOVIE 273 MOVIEMAN89 270 JAJANG 269,3 DAJK 269 KAYUMANGGI 265 DAR 260 NUMBERS AKA 254 GOFFE 250 GREY GHOST 250 DRUV10 240 EXXDEE 230 JANDREW 230 AVI 222 NEO 215 TELEMACHOS 214 CMASTERCLAY 200 FILMS 165 ED baumer KALO BCF26 JAKE GITTES CHASMMI ALPHA LAGUY EMPIRE OUT NARNIADIS DARKELF ALFREDSTELLAR DIPPER CEDAR MATRIX4YOU GRIM22 ICEROLL K1STPIERRE BLANKMENTS MICHAEL GARY SCOTT ETHAN HUNT SNOOPY TREEROY 24LOST SIMIONSKI WRATH GLOSSFAIRY GERALDINO CJOHN Inside Out GREY GHOST 220 TELEMACHOS 196 EXXDEE 175 JANDREW 175 THE PANDA 150 MATTREK 150 KAYUMANGGI 150 DAR 140 actuals 131,4 M AVI 129 DAMIEN ROC 124 FILMS 90 DARKELF GERALDINO ALFREDSTELLAR BLANKMENTS CJOHN 24LOST LAGUY CEDAR Ted 2 MOVIEMAN89 140 actuals 53,2 M ETHAN HUNT SNOOPY
  12. If your prediction is in GOLD, then you are the closest to the Actual OW. If your prediction is in BLUE, then you are within 10m of the Actuals OW. If your prediction is in GREEN, then you are within 20m of the Actuals OW. If your prediction is in BLACK, then you are within 30m of the Actuals OW. If your prediction is in RED, then you are over the film's actual OW by at least 30m and missed by a wide margin! TOP 5 DOMESTIC OPENING: Jurassic World 208,8 M Avengers: Age of Ultron 191,3 M Inside Out 90,4 M Pitch Perfect 2 69,2 M San Andreas 54,6 M Mad Max Fury Road 45,4 M Ted 2 33,5 M Tomorrowland 33,0 M Jurassic World actuals (208,8 M) MOVIEMAN89 133 LAGUY 125 GLOSSFAIRY 122 NEO 121 THE PANDA 120 FILMOVIE 117 CHEWY 115 CMASTERCLAY 115 KAYUMANGGI 110 GREY GHOST 110 DAJK 110 NUMBERS AKA 107 K1STPIERRE 106 JANDREW 105 DRUV10 105 GRIM22 102 BLANKMENTS 100 JAKE GITTES 97,3 FILMS 97 DARKELF 96 ALPHA 95 DAR 95 KALO 95 EXXDEE 95 DIPPER 93,2 EMPIRE OUT 93 GOFFE 93 CHASMMI 92 ALFREDSTELLAR 92 ICEROLL 92 AVI 91 CJOHN 90 SIMIONSKI 90 CEDAR 90 ED 89,5 BCF26 89,5 JAJANG 89,3 WRATH 89 ETHAN HUNT 89 DAMIEN ROC 89 24LOST 88,5 GERALDINO 86 MICHAEL GARY SCOTT 85,5 TELEMACHOS 84 NARNIADIS 80 baumer SNOOPY TREEROY MATRIX4YOU Inside Out AVI 101 actuals 90,4 M GOFFE 81 DAR 80 FILMS 79 BLANKMENTS 78 JAJANG 75,8 CHEWY 75 FILMOVIE 75 K1STPIERRE 75 EXXDEE 75 THE PANDA 75 KALO 75 GRIM22 72 NARNIADIS 72 BCF26 72 24LOST 70 LAGUY 70 WRATH 68 CJOHN 68 TELEMACHOS 68 DARKELF 67 JAKE GITTES 66,3 DAMIEN ROC 66 GERALDINO 65 CEDAR 65 baumer TREEROY MATRIX4YOU Ted 2 ETHAN HUNT 87 AVI 81 CMASTERCLAY 75 DAJK 73 MICHAEL GARY SCOTT 65,4 ED 61,4 ALFREDSTELLAR 58 actuals 33,5 M
  13. 1) Will the Woman in Gold drop less than 18%? YES 2) Will Entourage cross 32 million when actuals come out? YES 3) Will Spy drop less than 25%? YES 4) Will Avengers have a Saturday increase of more than 40%? NO 5) Will JW finish second? YES 6) Will IO finish second? NO 7) Will Minions have an OD of more than 35 million? YES 8) Will Self/Less make the top 5? NO 9) Will any film increase more than 48% on Saturday? NO 10) Will more than 2 films increase on this Saturday from last Saturday? YES 11) Will Gallows make more than Self/Less YES 12) Will JW have a better Saturday gross than IO? YES 13) Will Minions make more than 100 million opening weekend? YES 14) Will any film in the top 10 drop less than 15%? NO 12/14 4000 13/14 5000 14/15 8000 What films finish in spots: 2 jw 3 IO 4 GALLOWS 5 TERMINATOR 8 MAX Bonus 1: What does Minions, Gallows and Self Less combine to gross this weekend? 120,333 M Bonus 2: What does Avengers, Spy and Ted combine to gross this weekend? 9,9000 M
  14. 1) Will Ted 2 make 105 million? NO 2) Will Ted 2 have a Thursday July 2nd increase of more than 15%? NO 3) Will Ted 2 fall more than 30% on Saturday July 4th YES 4) Will it gross more than 400 million WW NO 5) Will Ted 2 fall more than 42.8% in it's third weekend (weekend after July 4th) NO 6) Will Ted 2 increase more than 10% on any Tuesday in July? YES 7) Will Ted 2 fall by more than 22% on any Wednesday in July? YES
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