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MovieMan89

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Everything posted by MovieMan89

  1. MovieMan89
    Problem being 3D/IMAX/PLF throws a monkey wrench into everything from the last decade.
  2. MovieMan89
    Surprised the embargo has lifted this early if reviews are gonna be this ho hum. Really not a good strategy, the last thing this needs is more time for more bad buzz to build.
  3. MovieMan89
    Oh man, now there was a flop. Only managed a 2.3x multi back when that was still pretty unheard of for anything to go that low.
  4. MovieMan89
    If this ends up rotten on RT it will absolutely kill it at the box office. If people think WiT's critical reception affected its box office, that's nothing compared to what it will do for a movie like this.
  5. MovieMan89
    This movie seems like it's just narrowing into a niche bracket more and more with everything we hear about it. Never known that to pay off big at the box office, but we'll see.
  6. MovieMan89
    Needs better than that to counter-act the ineffective/at times outright bad marketing.
  7. MovieMan89
    The Proposal has to be the last traditional romcom to be a real box office hit right? That's almost a decade ago.
  8. MovieMan89
    You could be right, though I can't imagine why anyone would have expected much more than 100. Jack Black only had like one 100m+ live action grosser to his name.
  9. MovieMan89
    It was? I seem to remember it was supposed to bomb hard and ended up legging it out to something respectable.
  10. MovieMan89
    Only if she suffered a head trauma recently and thinks she's living in the early 00's. Those have been dead at the box office for ages.
  11. MovieMan89
    JC was a PG-13 sci-fi film going for 4 quad appeal. Not the same thing as a PG fantasy one targeted at families. Also, more importantly, JC didn't appeal to females. Females are probably the strongest demo for WiT.
  12. MovieMan89
    Seriously though, the Sat hold for WiT was strong to comparable titles: Oz: +37% WiT: +33% The Jungle Book: +27.5% Tomorrowland: +22% Pete's Dragon: +21% Cinderella: +18% Alice 1: +8% Maleficent: +6% Alice 2: -7% The BFG: -12%
  13. MovieMan89
    Lmao, just realized Levi Miller is in both Pan and WiT. Uh oh. Maybe he's the child equivalent of Kitsch at the box office.
  14. MovieMan89
    Ok, there is actually a precedent for that 2.3x multi for a family film that opened with at least $10m: Pan. But that did open to less than half of WiT so audiences were rejecting it quite a bit more from the start. Among live action Disney ones, Tomorrowland is the lowest with a 2.81x.
  15. MovieMan89
    If WiT's WOM was that god awful we would have seen it already in the Sat and Sun holds, which were actually better holds than most comparable Disney live action family films.
  16. MovieMan89
    Those weekend holds seem much too harsh for BP with such little competition. It should hold onto its TC very well until at least April 13 like you said, which is still a ways off. Also c'mon now, that WiT multi is ridiculous and you know it. No family film that opened above $10m has ever done anything remotely like that for a multi. 2.7x at worst, which would already be unprecedentedly nasty.
  17. MovieMan89
    @redfirebird2008 What do you think BP needs to gross to safely assume it beats TA/TDK/SM1 in admissions? 720ish?
  18. MovieMan89
    http://www.boxofficemojo.com/yearly/chart/?yr=2018&p=.htm Lmfao @ the gap. Gotta take the all time record for biggest gap between #1 and #2 at any given point on a yearly chart. It could grow to 600m between 1 and 2 before IW comes out.
  19. MovieMan89
    Well that takes us back to the point that I really don't believe Spielberg has had true box office draw power for a decade or so. His box office record this decade attests to that. Also, for the book supposedly being so popular, I had never even remotely heard of it prior to this movie's announcement. Definitely not like something like Da Vinci Code, Twilight, Hunger Games, Gone Girl, 50 Shades, etc which I had definitely heard lots about the books prior to the films' announcements.
  20. MovieMan89
    God I hope WiT somehow has a 3.5-4x multi or something just to piss these idiots off.
  21. MovieMan89
    BP starting to pull significantly ahead of JW now. $6m ahead through the same point with a $12m bigger weekend. 675+ should happen. Also, the 4th weekend hold was better than Wonder Woman's.
  22. MovieMan89
    PR is teetering right on the edge of Rotten and it might get nearly a 5x multi. Paddington 2 is the best reviewed movie of all time and could barely manage a 3.5x. Clearly reviews don’t matter that much with that audience. Besides, Gnomeo got similar reception to PR and didn’t look any better than Gnomes.
  23. MovieMan89
    I think Gnomes might hit 80+. The trailer reception is always very similar to how it was for Peter Rabbit when I've seen it in an audience with kids, and they've pimped the hell out of it, attaching it to any movie with a PG rating for months. If PR could do so well, I see no reason for Gnomes to do so much worse. Especially now that WiT isn't providing any stiff competition.
  24. MovieMan89
    Wow, awesome! He really needed that, poor guy's entire filmography is filled with movies that failed to make a profit.
  25. MovieMan89
    Gnomes is locked to make more than Uprising. That thing is going sub 15m. 10m wouldn't even surprise me. Gnomes will probably be high teens. If BP manages something like a 30% drop next weekend and then a 35% drop the following weekend, then it might be able to stay on top for 6 weekends. Assuming Tomb Raider isn't doing more than high 20's.
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