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MovieMan89

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Everything posted by MovieMan89

  1. MovieMan89
    Illumination’s success has been pretty astounding thus far. Not quite on the level of Pixar’s first 8 years, but not terribly far off either. And in some ways it’s more impressive than Pixar’s success because Pixar needed universally acclaimed release after universally acclaimed release to pull it off. Illumination has done it with a slew of either mixed or poor reception films.
  2. MovieMan89
    Poor guy. Apparently no one keyed him in he was making a sequel no one asked for to a 5 year old Transformers wannabe that may have lost money at the box office itself.
  3. MovieMan89
    Lmfao at him referring to himself in the third person in a fucking tweet.
  4. MovieMan89
    More like Disney bombs with live action non-Star Wars/Marvel/fairy tale/Pirates/Narnia/National Treasure/historical drama/musical/sports drama/family comedy/ah fuck it.... Disney rarely bombs. Sci-fi is their Achilles heel though, live action or animated. I thought WiT was enough fantasy to combat that, but nope. They need to stay far away from Sci-fi if it's not Star Wars.
  5. MovieMan89
    Stop motion is in desperate need of something that can at least crack 50m DOM and 100 WW, so I really hope Isle of Dogs can do it.
  6. MovieMan89
    Ok? Besides the last part, they're all facts so not really sure what to say...
  7. MovieMan89
    As I've been suspecting for a few weeks, Jumanji is gonna cut it right down to the wire for beating Spider-man. Needs a 4.6x multi off of this weekend. Not impossible for a family aimed film that should play for awhile yet, but not easy either. Gonna be close. Meanwhile, TGS passes Chicago for #3 all time live action musical DOM in what will be its last notable box office milestone.
  8. MovieMan89
    Yeah, I must say it's looking to be a mega bomb OS. Rare to see a 90m+ DOM grosser do so bad OS, especially coming from a studio like Disney.
  9. MovieMan89
    Sub 30% for BP next weekend would be very hard b/c of Easter, but I think it can still hit the 30-35% range. Get Out was at a similar point in its run going into Easter and dropped 26%. Sure it wasn't grossing near as much as BP, but there's still definite parallels between the two in terms of release date, great WOM, and huge African American appeal. Not to mention BP and GO's 4th-6th weekend holds have been very similar.
  10. MovieMan89
    Statham on his own has yet to take a film over 45m DOM. I can't see him suddenly leading a 100m+ vehicle after all this time. All non-Jaws shark films have a history of under-performing at the box office (hell, that even applies to the Jaws sequels). Even The Shallows, which had great WOM, only managed to top out at $55m. Beyond all that, the odds of it doing the book justice seem pretty slim, and there's likely a higher chance of huge fan disappointment than satisfaction.
  11. MovieMan89
    Why on earth would it drop that much? It should still be ahead of TFA's TC next weekend (would have to lose 850+ screens, doubt it just because of RPO) and TFA faced a higher grossing opener in its 7th weekend than RPO is likely to be and still dropped 20%. 7th weekend drops have historically been some of the lightest for every single one of the top 10 DOM grossers, even TLJ. The worst one is JW's -37%. I don't see a drop of more than 30%.
  12. MovieMan89
    BP gets to 697m if it follows TFA's holds from here. Has held significantly better than that for the last three weekends in a row. I think it can still eek out 700.
  13. MovieMan89
    Ah well, win some, lose some. At least Disney has A Wrinkle in Time.
  14. MovieMan89
    Lol, I'd imagine the audience willing to pay money for PRU in the theater wouldn't need any convincing to see this one.
  15. MovieMan89
    Well fair point for Galaxy Quest at least. The Santa Clause...eh...if I put the nostalgia goggles on I suppose it's fine, but otherwise it ain't exactly quality filmmaking...
  16. MovieMan89
    Kind of for Tim Allen tbh. Why else did his made for TV caliber stuff like the first two Santa Clause movies, Galaxy Quest, Jungle 2 Jungle, and Christmas With the Kranks make that much in the late 90's/early 00's? All are 100-300m adjusted grossers.
  17. MovieMan89
    But it's not like any of those guys were exactly draws in '07 either...
  18. MovieMan89
    I still am dumbfounded how that managed to pull the OW and multi it did. Nearly 40m OW and 170m DOM, or like 55/225 adjusted.
  19. MovieMan89
    Yeah, China's performance is pretty lackluster considering its the sole reason the movie got made. Will likely only do $10-20m more than the first there 5 years ago. It's definitely not getting another sequel lol.
  20. MovieMan89
    There's nothing else in September and only Goosebumps in October for kids. Will probably be a PR situation at the box office.
  21. MovieMan89
    South Korea: 1. Infinity War - $80m 2. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - $41m 3. Mission: Impossible - Fallout - $38m
  22. MovieMan89
    Yeah, I was thinking more along the lines of 30m OW potential, but again I need to see a trailer.
  23. MovieMan89
    Oh good, Uni has come to their senses and stopped tracking Freed.
  24. MovieMan89
    Imma need a Crazy Rich Asians trailer to drop before the game starts. Feel like that's a potential wildcard, but I definitely need to see a trailer first. Also, only 3 weeks to gross for the game, so top 15 would be tough.
  25. MovieMan89
    MoviePass.
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