MovieMan89

Definitely, imo. The multi was very much on the low side for MCU films received that well. And that 3rd weekend drop is really the only reason for the lower multi, otherwise holds were very good. Think it could have challenged GotG1 and Homecoming DOM w/o JL.

Just insane that it will beat all non-Avengers CBMs worldwide.

Usually agree with your movie taste, so this is the first truly disheartening thing for me about this movie.

Ok, but it's a heavily marketed $70m budgeted movie opening to $17m. Failing to see where a $17m OW for something like that proves any kind of draw power. Would it really have opened much worse without her? Seems unlikely. ScarJo opened Lucy to $40m+. Now that's proving your draw power.

Red Sparrow sure is lucky it didn't open without a "movie star" like J Law. May have only done $15m.

Chicago was the second highest grossing musical ever for well over a decade and Into the Woods was fairly successful as far as modern musicals go. Marshall has at least proven to have a good box office track record with musicals. That seems like more assurance for this to do extremely well.

Robopocalypse is really not a promising route for him to go after RPO, if he actually does go through with that. Seems too much in the vein of RPO.

A lot were thinking quite a bit higher than that not that long ago. The late marketing has really made it look like a certified flop.

It's funny how there are more positive reactions than negative out there from the people who have seen it and commented on it, and yet this forum seems desperate to hate this one for whatever reason.

It won't move to August for the fact alone that it would be beyond stupid to pit a big budget Johnson action film against another big budget Johnson action film. And this would be the one most at the disadvantage coming second. Unless it moved to late August, but even that seems like too close of proximity to Skyscraper.

Didn't realize you just meant boxoffice.com's projections. I was talking actual tracking.

Yeah nevermind, just realized as I posted it I don't even know what that role was supposed to be. I can't exactly say she "excelled" in it anyways.

I would consider at least 2 of those 3 dramatic roles with a darker edge... Who knows what Passengers was, lol.

Pac Rim 2 is going to miss 20 on OW and 40 total. It's a mega bomb DOM (and everywhere not named China actually)

I feel like we've seen a bit more versatility from Stone at this point than Lawrence. I mean if you look at Stone's 4 titles that pop up in her "known for" on IMDB, those are all vastly different roles and she excelled at all of them. J Law is a bit too stuck to a certain kind of dramatic role, typically with a darker edge.

I though it was tracking between 34-37 last we heard?

What nostalgia are they selling it on though? The Iron Giant fans?

I mean Jumanji 2 is a completely different case then I2 though as far as sequels go. Sure they're both first sequels with big release gaps, but Jumanji 2 was its own new thing entirely far more than it was any kind of sequel. That meant it could basically throw the rule book out the window as far as admissions increase laws go. I2 is very much a sequel to the first, regardless of the release gap.

Well you certainly weren't wrong about it not being appealing, but I feel like the marketing was very clearly targeted at families. They just rejected it.

Impossible for I2 to make 500 if even Dory couldn't. Doesn't matter how little competition there is or how good it may be, it's not going to get that absurd of an admissions increase from the first.

Lol, what? You certain you didn't mix the two film's marketing up? That's word for word what I'd say about RPO's marketing. BFG was very clearly marketed to families and it looked like a Disney fantasy film visually. RPO looks niche as hell and the Oasis CGI is uncanny valley to the max and not visually appealing.

I'd give I2 no chance at all to beat it and JW2 maybe like a 5% chance. Would basiclly require everything to go as wrong as it possibly could for IW's reception and everything to go as right as it possibly could for JW2's.

Ironically enough though, this Spring should set the record now considering BOM counts all March and April releases towards the Spring season. IW should take the cume above 2017's record $1.87b haul. http://www.boxofficemojo.com/seasonal/ It's also going to lead to a very deflated summer cume now that the season just lost its biggest grosser. Could very well go under 2017's decade low now. All assuming BOM doesn't change the rules on us and decide to include IW as summer after all.

Spielberg's brand of blockbuster is dated, and that shows in the marketing for this (and The BFG). Not saying it's "bad" or "wrong", but it's not the kind of tentpole filmmaking that sells these days.

The next 3 weekends will be rough for its TC though with 12 new wide releases. We've been using NATM as a comparison, however that stops being applicable soon as NATM's late late legs simply aren't feasible today. It played until July and had several sub 10% weekend holds and even weekend increases after weekend 12. That's not going to happen for J. So yeah, if J did keep following NATM, it would be headed for like 413m, but 405 has to be about the ceiling with how it's going to start bleeding screens soon. Going to be very close for SM1, imo.