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MovieMan89

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Everything posted by MovieMan89

  1. If HC hits 135 or so for OW, then the battle between it and WW for the summer crown could be extremely close. 4 of MCU's non-sequels have had 3x+ multis, and the other 3 have had at least 2.7x. If reviews are any indicator, HC should get at least close to 3x. That multi off a 135m OW would put it around 405, right around where WW currently looks to be heading. That would also make the battle between it and SM1 for highest grossing Spidey film a tight race.
  2. True, though 413 is a lofty goal yet. We'll need like a 20% drop or two in there along with nothing much worse than 30% or so for the rest of the holds.
  3. Even though it keeps defying all rules, WW still probably can't get to 4x, which would be 413m. If it did though, the only other 30m+ opening summer films to do that this decade are Inception, Grown Ups, The Heat, and Ted. 3 of those are comedies and all 4 opened waaaay lower than WW.
  4. I legitimately can not get over that hold though. All of a sudden HC's opening has taken a backseat to WW's SIXTH weekend.
  5. When all is said and done, both TDK films and both Avengers films may be the only CBMs that escape Wondy's lasso at the DOM B.O.
  6. Holy mother of Gadot, that WW hold in the face of HC is factually insane. 400 is basically locked. Moreover, 4x may actually happen and it's likely winning the summer DOM now. Just nuts.
  7. Humor and a strong cast really elevate Homecoming. I didn't think the plot or the action were particularly memorable, but really liked the characters and performances. Holland is completely perfect in the role. Take this cast with a script up to par with SM2 and it will easily be one of the best CBMs ever. 1. SM2 2. SM1 3. Homecoming 4. SM3 5. TASM 6. TASM2
  8. I would be shocked if Thor misses 300 after all the hype and attention that teaser generated. It was pretty much on par with The Last Jedi's teaser. Obviously I know it's just the internet, but still interest for Ragnarok seems far more on par with CW then it does either of the first two movies. If marketing stays as strong and it has Tomato Law in its favor, I say 350 will happen.
  9. I'm sure they will. BP could even have a shot if it's well liked since it has some Wonder Woman potential to be a landmark for the genre, which would continue MCU's streak through IW.
  10. Knew that tracking was way too low. With that preview number and sure to be good WOM quickly spreading, my $150-155 prediction may be right on.
  11. I want WW to hit 400 so bad. It would be the lowest Friday opening 400 grosser since Avatar, and then Titanic.
  12. HC will open to 135m+ regardless of whatever tracking is right now, mark my words.
  13. It was absurd even if it sucked quite frankly. It's Spidey and Iron Man, 300 was always happening. Even TASM pulled that adjusted.
  14. Not gonna lie, Tomato Law...and absolutely nothing else...brought me to this one and I was not let down at all. Bites off about half a dozen genres to chew at the same time, while somehow managing to acutely avoid the regurgitated mess it could so easily be. Worked on every level for me. Surprised it possessed such a strong beating heart underneath all the sleekness too.
  15. Yeah, April 19 would be a good spot for it to move to. EDIT: Nevermind apparently another Dinsye live action fairytale is scheduled for the end of March. So yeah, don't really know where a good spot for it would be even if it does move to 2019.
  16. The theme of 2018 at the box office could certainly be cannibalization. Summer and holiday stretches could be bloody. In the case of the Holiday it's the family aimed films that are insane (Mulan, Grinch, Beasts 2, Ralph 2, animated Spidey, Mary Poppins 2).
  17. Deadpool 2 decreasing should be inevitable regardless, but that schedule 1000% guarantees it is inevitable. Could decrease significantly even if the schedule stays the same. Smack dab in the middle of 4 other releases that are literally locked for 300m, 3 of them probably locked for 400.
  18. It's going to get absolutely massacred with that schedule late May/June is quite frankly ridiculous, some stuff needs to move. There's no way Han Solo, Deadpool 2, Jurassic World 2, and Incredibles 2 isn't waaaaaay too many mega heavy hitters in less than a month span. Then you have stuff like Bumblebee and Ocean's Eight in there too. Not to mention Infinity War at the beginning of May will already have done huge business. JW should move to July 13 (Hotel Transylvania needs to GTFO summer), Deadpool 2 should move away from Han Solo and into JW2's spot (June 22), and Bumblebee can go to August where it might actually have a chance of outperforming expectations.
  19. DM3 is officially the first Illumination film I've ever over-predicted. Usually I have one of the highest predictions for their films on the board and it still ends up being underpredicting.
  20. I don't know, MI was the more successful of the two at the box office (admissions). Yeah, a sequel for MI likely would've performed a little better than MU did, so I agree it's not entirely a fair comparison. Again, I'm definitely expecting I2 to do better than MU, no question about that.
  21. Certainly not on the level of TS/Nemo. I mean 270m for MU vs 415/485m for TS3/Dory pretty much says it all.
  22. To me The Incredibles is very much akin to Monsters Inc. Both big hits in their day, but neither were ever near the juggernauts of TS/Nemo with the enduring generational appeal of those. Incredibles 2 should certainly be a better movie than Monsters University and definitely has more demand than that ever did, so again I can see 350. 500 is insane though, imo.
  23. People are getting so carried away with that one, imo. I know it's because its release has been wanted and hyped to high heaven on the internet for years, but that doesn't necessarily equal huge box office especially for an animated film, whose primary demo is kids. I just don't see it as a Toy Story or Nemo in terms of the original still having huge appeal to the kids of today. I'm sure 350 can happen if its well received, but beyond that I'd be very weary.
  24. If this is great too, 2017 could easily go down as the best year in CBM history. Logan, GOTG2, WW, Homecoming, Valerian. Unless, Ragnarok marketing is wildly misleading to how good it looks, it will practically be a perfect year for quality in the genre. I say practically because surely Snyder will fuck it up from being completely perfect.
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