MovieMan89

Ugh, this is exactly what I was afraid of with this movie. I too loved Prometheus and its ambition, and I really believe there were some fantastic paths open for the sequel to go in. But no, 75% of the fanbase had to nitpick stupid supporting characters and that the movie didn't answer enough questions. So now we get a brainless Alien horror film instead of Prometheus 2 (with apparently even stupider supporting characters). Hope I feel differently than you, but I doubt it based on what I've seen so far. Such a waste of potential.

Part A: 1. Will Guardians make more than $130M? 1000 YES 2. Will Guardians make more than $150M? 2000 YES 3. WIll Guardians drop more than 15% on Saturday? 3000 YES 4. Will Guardians make more than 80% of the total gross of all films reported on BOM this weekend? 4000 YES 5. Will Friday account for at least 40% of Guardians' weekend gross? 5000 YES 6. Will Fate of the Furious drop less than 55%? 1000 NO 7. Will The Circle drop more than 60%? 2000 NO 8. Will Latin Lover stay about Baahubali? 3000 YES 9. Will Boss Baby increase more than 85% on Saturday? 4000 YES 10. Will the top 11 films all make more than $1M? 5000 NO 11. Will Gifted's PTA stay above $1,000? 1000 YES 12. Will Going in Style stay aboe Smurfs? 2000 YES 13. Will Free Fire make less than $75,000 for the whole weekend? 3000 YES 14. Will Logan stay above Colossal? 4000 NO 15. Will Power Rangers cross $85M by the end of the weekend? 5000 NO 16. Will Life have a PTA above $400? 1000 YES 17. Will Case for Christ have a PTA above $600? 2000 YES 18. Will CHuck have a PTA aboe $3,000? 3000 NO 19. Will 3 Generations have a PTA above $7,500? 4000 NO 20. Will Ghost in the Shell have a PTA above $500? 5000 YES 21. Will Guardians' Actuals be Higher than the official final estimates for the weekend on BOM? 1000 YES 22. Will Fate of the Furious' first Deadline weekend estimate be within 500k of the actual total? 2000 YES 23. Will any film in more than 100 theatres drop more than 80%? 3000 YES 24. Will the whole weekend total of every film be above $185M? 4000 YES 25. How many Hobbits will ride Groot into battle during Guardians 2? 5000 one to rule them all Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Guardians 2 make for its 3 day OW? 156.555m 2. What will Baahubali's Saturday gross be? 3. What will The Circle's percentage drop be? Part C: There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 3. Latin Lover 5. Baahubali 8. Going in Style 10. Gifted 13. Lost City of z 16. The Promise Because I realised bonuses are stupid... 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000

The internet has been asking for I2 for years. That's a huge difference than saying "audiences" in general have been asking for it, and internet demand is always tricky at best to translate to box office. I maintain that the original is not what you would call a "staple" in the viewing habits of kids today. It's certainly not forgotten among them, but I don't think it has TS or Nemo status in terms of continued popularity with kids. Much more Monsters Inc level, which is why aiming a bit higher than MU adjusted is the smart bet for I2.

I don't see any problems with the MCU, Pixar, and WDAS films. Just because they're brands doesn't mean there's not a lot of new and fresh ideas that can be done and have been done with those films. My only issue lies in the live action remakes of the animated classics, because a lot of them have been far too similar to the animated ones, except not as well suited to live action. If they're going to churn them out like this, make them more like Alice and Maleficent. Didn't care much for either, but at least they brought something new and different to the table from the animated ones. Now that Jungle Book and BATB have been some of the biggest box office hits ever, it does feel like Disney wants to just milk these dry with minimal creativity involved.

Predicting that kind of admissions increase for a Pixar sequel doesn't make much sense though. Only TS2 has really increased in admissions over its predecessor, and only by like 5%. 500m for Incredibles 2 would be a 25%+ admissions boost. No way I see that. And remember, nostalgia is only one part of what made Dory and TS3 huge after all those years. The biggest part was that they still had huge appeal with kids today. Not so sure about that with Incredibles. I think 300-350 is a perfectly realistic range for I2. A little more successful than MU adjusted (and Monsters Inc was more successful than the first Incredibles).

Mary Poppins Returns is a pretty huge wildcard. If it's well received, 350-400 wouldn't shock me. The original adjusts to 700m and has pretty much been passed down through the generations in a timeless manner ala Wizard of Oz. That release date is also perfect too for it to dominate the Xmas/New Year stretch. Incredibles is being overestimated. As much as I'd love all these 500m predictions to come true, I'd say there's no way that it will end up Pixar's biggest movie even adjusted for inflation. I'll be happy with anything over 300 quite frankly, I'm highly doubtful the first has the kind of popularity with today's kids of say Nemo or Toy Story.

What purpose would it being PG serve though? That implies it's a movie aimed at a family audience, and there's nothing kid friendly about Arrival even if it isn't "inappropriate" for them.

PART A: 3. Snatched - $85M OVER 5. Everything Everything - $26M UNDER 6. It Comes at Night - $39M OVER 7. Captain Underpants - $93.5M OVER 8. All Eyes on Me - $49M DOUBLE 9. Rough Night - $80M UNDER 10. Cars 3 - $180M OVER All you have to do is predict whether the predictions above are too high, or too low. You can choose to predict for as many or as few films as you wish. If you wish to go further, you could also choose to wager that a film will make less than half or more than double the above predictions. These predictions have bigger risks and bigger rewards. Predictions will be scored as follows: Correct High/Low Prediction - 8000 points Correct Double/Half Prediction - 20000 points Incorrect High/Low Prediction - Minus 6000 points Incorrect Double/Half Prediction - Minus 15000 points PART B: Here are 10 questions: 1. Which film not called Lowriders will be the lowest grossing? Everything, Everything 2. Which non-animated film will be the highest grossing? All Eyez On Me 3. Will a non-animated film on that list make the main games Domestic Top 15 list? YES 4. Will any film double its predicted gross? YES 5. Will any film fail to reach half of its predicted gross? NO 6. Will the actual combined total gross for the 10 films be higher or lower than the predicted total gross? HIGHER 7. Percentage wise, what will be boxoffice.com's best prediction? 8. Percentage wise, what will be boxoffice.com's worst prediction? 9. Will 3 or more of these films open in the number 2 position? 10. Will 2 or more of these films open in 5th or lower?

TOP 15 ETC PREDICTION TEMPLATE Below is a helpful template to use for making predictions. All Players who use this template for their predictions will receive 10,000 bonus points for making my life easier when I have to score everything at the end of the game. A: Domestic top 15: 1) Guardians of the Galaxy 2: $425M 2) Despicable Me 3 $365M 3) Spiderman Homecoming: $345M 4) Wonder Woman $285M 5) War for the Planet of the Apes: $245M 6) Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales: $235M 7) Dunkirk $215M 8) Cars 3: $205M 9) Transformers: The Last Knight: $170M 10) The Emoji Movie: $170M 11) The Mummy: $150M 12) Alien: Covenant: $120M 13) All Eyez On Me: $115M 14) Baywatch: $113M 15) The Dark Tower: $110M B: Top 7 Domestic OW: 1) Guardians 2: $180M 2) Spiderman: $147M 3) Wonder Woman: $140M 4) Despicable Me 3: $112M 5) Pirates 5: $80M 6) Transformers 5: $78M 7) War for the Planet of the Apes: $77M C: Worldwide top 10: 1) Despicable Me 3: $1.175B 2) Guardians of the Galaxy 2: $1.05B 3) Pirates 5: $1.04B 4) Transformers 5: $950M 5) Spiderman Homecoming: $900M 6) War for the Planet of the Apes: $825M 7) Wonder Woman: $775m 8) Cars 3: $600M 9) The Mummy: $570M 10) Dunkirk: $555M D: China: 1) Transformers 5: $315m 2) Pirates 5: $200m 3) Guardians of the Galaxy 2: $150m 4) War For the Planet of the Apes: $145m 5) Spiderman Homecoming: $135m 6) The Mummy: $95m 7) Wonder Woman: $90m E: No More Heroes: South Korea Transformers 5 Russia Pirates 5 Brazil Despicable Me 3 Mexico Despicable Me 3 Australia Despicable Me 3 Italy Despicable Me 3 F: Total Grosses: Top 15 Dom) $3.3b Top 7 W/E) 815m Top 10 WW) $4.65b RFQ1: Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following milestones domestically by the end of the game: A: 100M Captain Underpants B: 200M Cars 3 C: 300M Wonder Woman D: 400M Despicable Me 3 E: 500M Guardians of the Galaxy 2 RFQ2: Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following milestones Worldwide by the end of the game: A: $1.5B Despicable Me 3 B: $1B Pirates 5 C: 800M Apes D: 600M Cars E: 400M Alien RFQ3: Predict the top grossing film of each month: A: April (28th releases only) The Circle B: May Guardians of the Galaxy C: June Despicable Me 3 D: July Spiderman E: August The Dark Tower CHASMMI’s 15 1) Tell me which of these will be the highest grossing film of the summer domestically: 1) King Arthur 2) Alien Covenant 3) The Mummy 4) Dunkirk 2) Tell me which of these will be the lowest grossing film of the summer domestically: 1) Snatched 2) The House 3) Annabelle 2 4) Diary of a Wimpy Kid: Something Something Blah Blah Blah 3) Will at least 3 films make more than 300M domestically by the end of the game? YES 4) Will at least 3 films make more than $1.1B worldwide? NO 5) Will at least 3 films make more than 120M OW domestic? YES 6) Would at least 4 of the March 2017 releases have made it into the Domestic top 15 for the summer game if their runs had been eligible (So if I made a combined top 10 list of the summer Game releases and the March releases, would 4 or more be from March?) YES 7) Will at least 3 sequels, prequels, reboots or anything similar go on to be the highest grossing in their franchise domestic (A film must make at least $20M to qualify)? YES 8) Will at 3 sequels, prequels, reboots or anything similar go on to drop more than 60% domestically from its previous franchise installment? (For this question purpose: Spiderman Homecoming is following ASM2, Despicable Me follows Minions, Wonder Woman follows Suicide Squad, Annabelle 2 follows Conjuring 2, I can’t think of any more that aren’t obvious right now) NO 9) Will any film in the top 15 have a multiplier below 2.3? YES 10)Will Sci-Fi films (anything that BOM lists as Sci-fi or XXX/Sci-fi [so that means GOTG2 for example is not Sci-fi for this question) combine to make more than 700M domestically by the end of the game? NO 11) Will the domestic top 8 make more than $1B combined in China? YES 12) Will at least three out of Luc Besson, Christopher Nolan, Michael Bay, Ridley Scott and Edgar Wright have their highest grossing film not involving Batman or Transformers this summer (obviously with Michael Bay I mean will his 5thTransformers film outgross every non-transformers film he has done?) NO 13) Will Warner Bros have exactly 3 films in the top 15 domestic this summer? ABSTAIN 14) Will a film finish in the top 10 WW, but fail to make the top 15 domestic? NO 15) Will any film spend 3 weeks at number one domestic this summer? NO JJ8's 14 Q1) Comic Book Adaptions Domestic vs International Grosses (4 films, 8 grosses - positions only) (5k Correct, -3k incorrect) 1) Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 International 2) Spider-Man: Homecoming International 3) Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 Domestic 4) Wonder Woman International 5) Spider-Man Homecoming Domestic 6) Wonder Woman Domestic 7) Valerian International 8) Valerian Domestic Q2) Will Wonder Woman be the #1 opening weekend of the comic book adaptions this summer (Domestically)? NO Q3) The current top 6 "All Time May Open Weekends" (Domestically) occurred on the 1st weekend of the month (in the respective year). In what position will Guardian's of the Galaxy Vol. 2 open in (in the top 6)? (If you don't think it will open in the top 6 then put 7th - remember 6th is Iron Man 2 @ 128m)? 3RD Q4) Will Wonder Woman collapse in it's second weekend with a greater than 60% drop like the 2 previous DC Extended Universe Films (Domestic)? YES Q5) Will the total of all the Marvel films make more than double the DC films this summer (Domestic only)? YES Q6) Will Valerian's final total (domestic gross) be less than all of the opening weekends of the other 3 films (Domestic)? NO Q7) Will the total gross of ALL Comic Book adaptions this summer make less than 850m (Domestic)? NO Q8) Will any of the Comic Book Adaptions make 200m or more internationally than the domestic gross? YES Q9) Will a Comic Book Adaption make more than 1 billion worldwide this summer? YES Q10) Will a Comic Book Adaption be the #1 film overall (and it must be released during the game) in ANY of the following markets - United Kingdom, Australia, or China (only 1 is needed) ? YES Q11) Will at least 3 weekends during the summer be led by an animated film (Domestic only)? ABSTAIN Q12) Will less than 4 animated films make the top 15 films this summer domestically? YES Q13) Both Pirates & Transformers are up to the 5th Film. the 4th film in both Franchises made more than 1 billion worldwide. Can the 5th film in both franchises repeat this performance? NO Q14) Will a film released domestically make more in an International Market (must be a single market such as China, United Kindom, etc) this summer (Both markets must release during the game and be elegible for the top 15 domestic - ie. as per the list of films Chasmmi has posted) ? YES DO NOT ALTER THE TEMPLATE! JUST ADD IN YOUR ANSWERS AS REQUIRED. FOLLOWING THIS ONE SIMPLE INSTRUCTION WILL LAND YOU 20,000 BONUS POINTS

Woah @ Sing. Might end up with 300m after all if it pulls near 45 this weekend. I wish Moana had gotten its release spot now. Studios are going to be taking note, as Sing is proving that is a very viable blockbuster release slot.

Who was arguing the holds this week would be poor though? I definitely wasn't. I just thought the numbers would be lower going into this past weekend. Hence why after the first Monday # I said sub 450 was pretty much dead. It's last week it did much better than I expected in terms of holds, not this week.

A lot more than just Holiday legs though, WOM is incredible. Not every movie can do something like that, hence why Moana is the only one doing it.

These Moana #'s since Monday are simply amazing. I wonder how high it will go this weekend? It will be nearly double its gross from last Thursday going in.

I think it has a chance, but I don't think that first trailer did anywhere near as much as it should have.

"I have to tell you something...there's a reason we woke up early." Last line of the trailer. Of course they were pitching that "edge" to audiences.

No, because they know that doesn't sell today. Needed some kind of edge for modern audiences

Lol, you know they're desperate when they go as far to use CS in actual tv spot.

It's basically starting to hold like Frozen did over the xmas-new year stretch. Fingers crossed that it can quickly gain some of those 900 screens back, there's no reasons some of AC and WH's shouldn't go back to Moana asap.

They certainly are amazing sets, and nothing will convince me this movie existed for any other reason than to have beautiful sets occupied by beautiful people.

Poor Todd Fisher right now.

Moana would be making a play for 300 if not for Sing and the tc loss.

Well I never suggested sub 400 after the OW happened at least.

Don't forget When Harry Met Sally, considered one of the most iconic rom-coms for sure.

The AMC theaters by me do that too today, for stubs members only though. Mostly how I've been seeing movies for the past several months, even did a Tuesday double feature with a friend a few weeks ago for $10.

If it's going to have an effect at all on the movies, it will be for R1. E8 will be all about Hamill's presence.