MovieMan89

The fact that these sequels exist solely to sell toys? It's certainly not because Cars 2 was so profitable at the box office or because anyone asked for another.

Ugh, as we all suspected looks like this is indeed Cars 2 all over again; just another merch cash grab.

Great hold for GotG and drops should stay pretty good for it now till July but will prob just miss 400. Could see it ending 390-395.

This is basically unprecedented since SM1 is old enough to be considered an entirely different era of how box office worked, and the other two weren't Friday openers.

Yep, WW shaping up to have a CBM multi for the ages. And practically no direct competition next weekend either. Look out BvS!

Yeah, I think Spidey is just an 80%+ tomatometer away from breaking out big.

Even if this is surprisingly good, (which I have high reservations about), I think this is opening extremely low for Pixar. Probably Ratatouille 45-50 range.

See, now I would've guessed you were quoting Mel Gibson.

Weekly Questions will have 15 questions, except for the following weeks: GOTG2 Weekend 25 questions Pirates and Baywatch Weekend 20 questions Transformers Weekend 20 questions Spiderman Weekend 25 questions Dunkirk Weekend 20 questions Final Weekend 25 questions Part A: 1. Will The Mummy Open to more than $35M? 1000 NO 2. Will It Comes at Night Open to more than $10M? 2000 YES 3. Will Will Meagan Leavey open to more than $4M? 3000 YES 4. Will the three main openers combine to more than $50M? 4000 NO 5. Will My Cousin Rachel open to more than $1M? 5000 YES 6. Will Wonder Woman drop more than 55% 1000 NO 7. Will Captain Underpants drop more than 45% 2000 NO 8. Will Alien Stay above Everything Everything? 3000 NO 9. Will Snatched have a lower percentage drop than King Arthur? 4000 YES 10. Will Baywatch cross $50M by the end of the weekend? 5000 YES 11. Will the Boss Baby stay above 3 IDiotas? 1000 YES 12. Will Miles have a PTA above $3,000? 2000 YES 13. Will Pirates have a PTA above $3,250? 3000 NO 14. Will Wonder Woman's domestic total overtake Boss Baby's Domestic Total by the end of the Weekend? 4000 YES 15. Will it turn out that the Mummy was Johnny Depp in disguise all along and that we are just not aloud to have any nice things in cinema anymore? 5000 ARGHHHHHH Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will The Mummy make for its 3 day OW? 28.555m 2. What will be Wonder Woman's PTA this weekend? 3. What will Wimpy Kid's Percentage drop be? Part C: There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 3. Captain Underpants 5. Pirates 8. Megan 10. Alien 13. Snatched 15. Beauty and the Beast Because I realised bonuses are stupid... 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000

True, but DOM it is pretty much a dead franchise. Both POTC6 and TF6 are likely going to have to struggle to 100 DOM if they get made.

Considering Pirates has always been a good parallel for this franchise at the box office, they're probably seeing how POTC5 has done and throwing everything against the wall in desperation at this point. Just to show what I mean: POTC 1 vs TF1: 305 vs 319 POTC2 vs TF2: 423 VS 405 POTC 3 vs TF3: 309 vs 352 POTC 4 vs TF4: 241 vs 245 POTC5 vs TF5: 150 vs ???

This looks sickeningly gorgeous. And the creativity of the visuals is top notch.

Yikes. If Mummy does that bad then those 60m predicts for WW may actually happen. I mean even just by default, the summer money has to go to something non-animated before July. Maybe Transformers will actually do surprisingly well, though I still doubt it does much better than Pirates 5. On the bright side, this is great news for Spidey, Apes, and Dunkirk. All three might breakout big if WW has been the only non-kids movie keeping summer afloat for weeks.

Yeah, that seems like a reach for sure, but 53-55 wouldn't surprise me.

I think 300 looks really great. It will be at at least 200m after this weekend. That's more than enough in 10 days for 300 to happen with summer weekdays (plus no direct competition at all in its third weekend).

IF that happened, wouldn't that be the best CBM second weekend hold since SM1?

I desperately want WW to beat Suicide Squad and BvS DOM, but I know how hard that multi would be to achieve. Though I firmly believe in the potential for WOM to be off the charts.

We truly have been spoiled with the CBMs this year. Logan, GotG2, WW...hard to whine about the saturation of them when they're this good. Kinda feel bad for Homecoming though, even if it's good I highly doubt it will be up to par with the bar set this year.

Wow, Zack Snyder himself is gracing our board with his presence.

Go Gal go! Really hope this movie defies all odds in terms of multi, ala GotG 1. It really has a very weak June to its advantage.

Sherlock Holmes wasn't a very easy sell though to a modern and domestic audience. I think Charlie and the Chocolate Factory and Alice would have been successful with anyone in those roles. Not as successful, so Depp still had some pull, but I don't think it was as attributed to something like SH for RDJ or any of Leo's recent films.

A household name because of Jack. Was he really ever a big draw outside of that franchise? I think that's debatable, at least domestically. Worldwide he was definitely a big draw outside of Pirates.

Nah, I'd say both were primarily family driven at the box office, and that audience can absolutely make a film a ton of money. Maybe Alice's OW had a decent amount of adults sans kids, but I don't think it would have held as well as it did afterwards if it wasn't mostly families going.

Both films were based on beloved children's classics. Had a lot of built in appeal already. I'm sure Depp helped, particularly in the case of Alice, but they were primarily kid's films and do kids care that much about what actor is in a movie?

It's interesting because he was never much of a draw DOM outside of Jack, despite all the fuss made about him being the biggest actor in Hollywood for a while last decade. But when you look at it, Charlie and the Chocolate Factory and Alice in Wonderland are his only real DOM hits outside of POTC. And I'm not so sure you can even attribute most of their success just to Depp's draw power.