MovieMan89
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Everything posted by MovieMan89
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Lol, absolute best case scenario much?
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WHY RTH??? Great, now the club is going to be way too endangered.
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The casual hype just never seemed particularly strong to me, hence the sub 450 predictions. I was pushing 1b for TFA back in March of last year, so it's certainly not like the pre-sales or my opinion of the film are what caused my predictions.
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I have to admit, I am extremely happy it won't be reaching the 170m+ heights a few posters who know who they are were being so condescending about being "locked" this past week.
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So then I'd say the OW range is 130-150
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ROTK had phenomenal WOM. TFA had phenomenal WOM. Until I see some amazing multi, nothing will convince me R1 is getting phenomenal WOM.
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What followed was phenomenal because of the opening. Unless you can find me another 150m+ opener that has ever hit 3.4x. Only one other 115m+ opener has ever hit that mark, and it was animated.
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Lol, imagine how fast I hit 25.
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The nostalgia factor would be part of the WOM as well though. That's part of what made the WOM so great.
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TFA would have been very lucky to hit 3x had the WOM been average. The multi we saw was 1000% due to astronomically good WOM unseen since probably Avatar.
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I said I'm not saying I know it will have bad WOM. All I ever said about the WOM is I may vomit if it has good WOM, and I still might.
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Opening to half of what that would be for R1, and not having bad WOM despite what some here might want you to believe. Not saying I know this will have bad WOM, I'm saying even with good WOM 3.4x would be a very hard multi to hit off of an OW like that.
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That's very premature. A 70m OD would indicated around a 150m OW. No way we can then assume a 3.4x multi as being a lock off of an OW that high, even if it does in fact have good WOM.
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Ah that makes sense. Well 65 " top end" would make me feel comfortable about sub 450 finish.
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I think rth is saying the number has gone either up or down from his 65 estimate 3 hours ago, unless I'm misinterpreting his post.
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Just please tell me it's still in the 60's!!!
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Alternatively, if kids don't like it families could flock to Moana and Sing instead.
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DH2 and TFA both hold that record right with about 48% of OD share?
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Does that mean it would be totally appropriate for me to break out into a rousing rendition of "How Far I'll Go" whenever I want?
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It's nearly outpacing Rogue One. Oh but if you meant in reality, Deadline think it's on track for a crazy amazing 20-25% drop.
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The denial about the low quality.
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Maybe the Friday will end up either 55m or 84m and rth can say 55m but tell us to guess if that's true Friday or Friday total.
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I'd laugh if he dropped off a 35m figure without specifying true Friday. Obviously we'd all know, but still.
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I feel like Rth got my back on this one, what with his whole reckless abandonment of this non-event.
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It's quite literally impossible for a movie to make 500m+ just because of diehard fans' repeat business.
