MovieMan89

If this only does around 3x multi that is poor WOM for December. No other way to cut it. If it truly has this amazing WOM some of you are saying it will, 4x should be a breeze given the time of year and how much lower it's opening than TFA.

Never lied about an audience's reaction being different just to line it up with mine before. Why start now?

30m in previews makes it impossible to say. That's a little more than half of TFA's preview, so if that held all weekend it would probably be something like $130m. But if it's less frontloaded then TFA then maybe $150m. Don't ask me why a spin off film would be less fan frontloaded.

All I can tell you is we are total geeks in Colorado in that I have been to way too many films here with roaring applause at the credits. Not even a golf clap tonight.

Next to no audible laughter in my screening, and that is not a hyperbole. No applause at the end. No one I went with gave it better than an "it was OK." I know I'll be far from the only one underwhelmed by this lifeless trudge. Maybe everyone won't hate it as much as me, but this is not going to be a WOM movie. Furthermore, the only reason the critics like it is because of an ending that breaks the blockbuster "norm", until you realize that you already know the ending if you've watched the OT, so there go any points for that.

There are no words for how much I hate this man: Only this hack could take a franchise as full of life and energy as Star Wars and completely suck every shred of entertainment value from it. This is one of the longest, driest films I've ever had to sit through. From the first five minutes things felt deeply wrong to me for a Star Wars film, and it was all downhill from there. My mind wandered the whole film, and the last hour was nothing but desperate measures peeking at my phone to gauge how much more I had to sit through. There are literally about 5 minutes total of worthwhile footage in this hollow void. If this has amazing or even good WOM I may vomit. FUCK GARETH EDWARDS.

I wouldn't know admittedly. The group I went with we all bought as soon as they went on sale.

BWAHAHAHAHA. Even Rth can't be bothered with this peasant's film. NOT AN EVENT.

Lol, you really don't believe that this movie just doesn't have the TFA hype you think it does do you?

It's only an hour and a half from start time, I legitimately didn't expect half the auditorium to still be open. Especially since it's a popular theater.

Caved and decided to do an 8:15 tonight with some friends. So my tradition of seeing Star Wars on opening night doesn't end here after all. Amazingly there were still plenty of seats available. Everything is going according to plan....

Rogue One: $300-500m Collateral Beauty: $30-40M Fences: $60-80M Why Him: $80-100M A Monster Calls: $20-30M Silence: $60-80M Assassins Creed: $40-50M Patriot's Day: $60-80M Sing: $250-300M Passengers: $100-125M

All questions are related to the top 12, are for the 3 day weekend and are worth 1000 points unless otherwise stated. 1. Will Rogue One open to more than $130m? NO 2. Will Rogue One open to more than $150m? 3000 NO 3. Will Rogue One open to more than $170m? NO 4. Will Rogue One open to more than $190m? (Conditional Bonus!!!: 3000 if you predict YES and are correct) LMFA-NO 5. Will Rogue One drop less than 37.5% on Saturday? 2000 NO 6. Will Rogue One make more than 6 times it's Thursday Preview number for its full weekend (including aforementioned Thursday number)? NO 7. Will Collateral Beauty make more than $9M? NO 8. Will Collateral Beauty make more than $12M? 2000 NO 9. Will Collateral Beauty make more than $15M? NO 10. Will Collateral Beauty make more than 7.5% of Rogue One's Weekend total? 3000 NO 11. Will Fences have a PTA above $32,500? YES 12. Will Fences have a PTA above $47,500? YES 13. Will Dr. Strange stay above Nocturnal Animals? 3000 NO 14. Will la La Land's PTA stay above $50k? YES 15. Will Moana stay above $12M? YES 16. Will Office Christmas Party have a lower percentage drop than Bad Santa 2? 2000 YES 17. Will Allied cross $40M by the end of the Weekend? NO 18. Will any film in the top 20 drop 75% or more? YES 19. Will Manchester by the Sea drop less than 20% this weekend? YES 20. Will any film increase more than 75% on Saturday? YES 21. Will any film not called Star Wars decrease on Saturday? 3000 NO 22. Will Fantastic Beasts' PTA stay above $2000? YES 23. Will Hacksaw Ridge stay above Miss Sloane? 2000 YES 24. Will Rogue one make more than 80% of all money at the box office this weekend? NO 25. Will trolls drop more than 20% on Sunday? YES 26. Will Loving make more money than Jackie this weekend? YES 27. How many films will make more than $8M this weekend? 2000 4 28. Will 2nd through 5th make more than Rogue One's Saturday? YES 29. Will Collateral Beauty outgross Moana every day of the weekend? 3000 NO 30. Will Darth Vader be killed off in Rogue One only to be regenerated as a Clone in a shock twist that turns everything we know about Star Wars on its head? NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO Bonus: 18/30 2000 19/30 3000 20/20 4000 21/20 6000 22/20 8000 23/20 10000 24/20 12000 25/30 15000 26/30 18000 27/30 21000 28/30 25000 29/30 30000 30/30 35000 Part 2: Closest predictor wins 5000 points (Added bonus: If prediction is within 10% win 6000; 5% 7000; 2.5% 9000; 1% 12000) 1. Predict Rogue One's OW. 127.588m 2. Predict Collateral's Saturday Gross. 2.775m 3. Predict how much money Disney conglomerate films (with BOM reported Dailies) make on Friday. 54.115m 4. Predict Fences' PTA 77k 5. Predict Office Xmas party's Percentage Drop -52.555% Part 3: Predict the films that place in the following positions: 2. Moana 5. Fantastic Beasts 7. Arrival 10. Manchester 13. Hacksaw Ridge 15. Jackie 3/6 2000 points 4/6 5000 points 5/6 8000 points 6/6 13000 points Special Prize Alert!!! The highest scoring player this weekend not called chasmmi, will be given the chance to create their own SOTM!! (Terms and Conditions apply)

Under 130m is in the air. All is going according to plan.

This has been bugging the heck out of me, which word out of the two "live"s is it supposed to be in Live By Night?

I also saw the 90's re-releases in the theater, I may have even done midnight for some of them.

Not seeing this tonight, which officially makes it the first SW of my lifetime I'm not at the midnight/late night for. Mom let me go to the midnight TPM when I was 9.

I have no opinion at all on when TFA's DOM haul can go down. Maybe longer than 15 years.

Age of Non Eventron.

My opinion has always been based on Star Wars having a huge fanbase that will inflate the pre-sales, the casual interest not being super strong, and December openings. Nothing else.

I wonder what you will say then when it opens below 165m hmm?

Did we have more extensive data then? Because I'm 99% certain the 100m+ presale stat had been brought up here much sooner than day of release.

You sure? I could've sworn we were all freaking out about the 100m+pre-sale announcement as early as like the Monday before release.

I'm saying all the "Anthology" films were greenlit as cash grabs, nothing more nothing less. Whether or not they actually turn out worthwhile is entirely dependent on the people involved. Disney head honchos really don't care, these exist to make the money they know they will no matter what.