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MovieMan89

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Everything posted by MovieMan89

  1. Well, it might help to see both of them first before you make up your mind on which one is so much more deserving in your eyes.
  2. Very strange considering Scorsese's domestic box office track record this century is impeccable (75-140m grossers). You'd think they'd throw a little money in the way of marketing for this.
  3. I think 300-330 right now, but potential for as high as Pets if WOM is great.
  4. I'm actually starting to consider the possibility of this beating Pets, especially if Moana disappoints. I think once again Illumination is just absolutely hitting it out of the park with creating appeal and awareness in their marketing.
  5. The "animals" in Zootopia are totally humans through and through though. Pets' anthropomorphic animals did at least seem more animal-esque.
  6. It's more similar to a sequel like Thor 2 or Cap 2 than it is an Thor 1/Cap1/Ant-Man judging by that OW. GOTG isn't a good comparison for anything, that move was its own separate beast.
  7. Those last 4 are way too old to have any relevance, box office pattern has shifted too much for the genre. As I said already, AM wouldn't have had a good multi with this high of an OW. It's OW was as weak as it gets for MCU and as such allowed for some actual WOM to show in the legs. As for GOTG, that was a true WOM phenomenon with the general public not just the MCU base, and I don't think DS is the same kind of film. I think it's much more Civil War in that all the established base will love it but everyone else isn't going to be convinced. 2.6x multi tops.
  8. If DS was going to have significantly stronger legs than Thor 2 I don't see why it would already be off to a worse start in terms of IM (2.61x estimate vs 2.68x for Thor 2)? MCU is just super frontloaded now, I really don't think 2.5x+ is achievable anymore unless you get a disappointing OW like Ant-Man. Had AM opened to this much it would have likely finished with a weak multi instead of such a strong one.
  9. After this Strange and Peculiar election the U.S. will Never Go Back as the country spirals into an Inferno run by Trolls and Accountants who are the Origin of Evil.
  10. I've never seen one either, but if a panda tries a judo chop on me I'll be sure to report on it.
  11. DWA needs to budget with the expectation that their films will make 125-150 dom. So give them 75-100m budgets then that gives them enough room to be profitable with whatever OS is. Then they might actually be successful again. Their days of being able to give everything a 125-175m budget are behind them for the time being.
  12. We don't seem to have a solid number yet, but anywhere between 40-45 would be good for it considering up until recently I don't even think 30m was looking likely. It will probably end up as Peanuts 2.0 at the box office, which is at least better than Penguins of Madagascar 2.0 it looked like for awhile.
  13. Much better. Would have been really troubling for this to be as frontloaded as several MCU sequels.
  14. Well it looks to be following Thor 2 fairly similarly so far, except possibly more frontloaded if late night is any indication. So since Thor 2 barely made 200, this certainly could miss it. You would think WOM would be significantly better though, but then again as I said I'm not sure WOM is really showing in MCU legs anymore.
  15. On the bright side, if DS is this front-loaded then that confirms to me that CW did in fact have good to great WOM but it doesn't matter anymore with MCU.
  16. I still think that's really frontloaded for the late nights. Thought OD would be mid 30's going by that.
  17. So some recent non-huge ensemble MCU IM's with rth's range put it at Thor 2: 77-83 Ant-Man: 75-80 Cap 2: 74-79 GotG: 72-77
  18. 75 is awfully low for those late nights. The level of front-loadedness with MCU this year seems to be hitting a fever pitch. I'm really unsure if these films can do above 2.5x anymore regardless of WOM.
  19. 1. Where will Dr. Strange's OW rank all time for films taking place in the Marvel Cinematic Universe? 10 2. Where will Dr. Strange's Domestic total rank all time for films taking place in the Marvel Cinematic Universe? 9 3. Where will Dr. Strange's Worldwide total rank all time for films taking place in the Marvel Cinematic Universe? 9 4. Where will Dr. Strange's 3 Day Multiplier rank all time for films taking place in the Marvel Cinematic Universe? 6 5. How many weeks will Dr Strange's 3 day weekend totals finish in the top 12? 7 6. How many weeks will Dr Strange have a Weekend above $1M? 8 7. How many days will Dr Strange spend at number 1 in the US box office? 9 8. How many different days will Rogue One gross more than Dr Strange's Opening Sunday total? 4
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