MovieMan89
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Winter Game Week 3 - Dr House learns to do magic
MovieMan89 replied to chasmmi's topic in Chasmmi's Infamous Box Office Game
All questions are related to the top 12, are for the 3 day weekend and are worth 1000 points unless otherwise stated: 1. Will Dr Strange open to more than $75M? YES 2. Will Dr Strange open to more than $85M? 2000 NO 3. Will Dr Strange open to more than $95M? NO 4. Will Trolls open to more than $30M? YES 5. Will Trolls open to more than $37.5M? 3000 YES 6. Will Trolls open to more than $45M? YES 7. Will Hacksaw Ridge open to more than $10M? YES 8. Will HAcksaw Ridge open to more than $15M? 2000 YES 9. Will Hacksaw Ridge open to more than $20M? NO 10. Will Dr. Strange's Pure Weekend (Sat and Sun only) gross be more than the combined 3 day weekend gross of Trolls and Hacksaw? 3000 NO 11. Will the three main new entries combine to more than $125M? 3000 YES 12. Will Madea stay above Inferno? NO 13. Will the Accountant cross $70M domestic by the end of the weekend? NO 14. Will Dr Strange be the highest grossing total Domestic gross in the top 16? 2000 NO 15. Will Ouija have a Saturday gross above $1M? YES 16. Will Girl on the Train stay above Miss Peregrine? $3000 NO 17. Will Storks cross $70M domestic ON Friday? YES 18. Will Jack Reacher remain in the top 6? NO 19. Will The Joneses have a Saturday increase above 40%? NO 20. Will at least 2 films fail to increase 100% on Friday? 2000 YES 21. Will Moonlight enter the top 12? YES 22. Will Trolls' PTA be closer to Dr Strange or Hacksaw Ridge's PTA? 3000 DS 23. Will Loving have a PTA above $6,500? YES 24. Will Ai Di Mushka Hai have a higher Sunday PTA than Madea? NO 25. Will The Handmaiden stay above Suicide Squad? YES 26. Will Mag 7 stay above Middle School? YES 27. Will any film drop over 1000 screens and remain in the top 10? 2000 NO 28. Will Dr. Strange's Actual Weekend total go up from the final BOM.com Estimates? 3000 YES 29. Will Deepwater Horizon cross $60M domestic by Saturday? YES 30. Now that I have put the idea in your head, will you be able to hear anything other than Hugh Laurie's Dr House when you go see Dr. Strange now? I plan on watching the film on mute in my local theater Bonus: 18/30 2000 19/30 3000 20/30 4000 21/30 5000 22/30 7000 23/30 9000 24/30 12000 25/30 15000 26/30 18000 27/30 21000 28/30 25000 29/30 30000 30/30 40000 Part 2: Closest predictor wins 5000 points (Added Bonus: If prediction is within 10% win 6000, 5% 7000, 2.5% 9000, 1% 12000) 1. Predict Dr. Strange's OW. 79.666M 2. Predict Trolls' Saturday Gross 18.780M 3. Predict Hacksaw Ridge's Sunday Gross. 5.625m 4. Predict the top 3 films' combined 3 day gross. 143.075M 5. Predict Inferno's Weekend percentage drop -49.450 Part 3: Predict the films that place in the following positions: 3. Hacksaw 6. The Accountant 8. Ouija 10. Girl on the Train 13. Deepwater Horizon 17. Kevin Hart 3/6 2000 points 4/6 5000 points 5/6 8000 points 6/6 13000 points -
I wonder if this will end up as the main competitor to La La Land for awards season? It just seems like such a weak field overall and it looks like this may be one of the decade's best reviewed films at this rate. This decade has made bigger leaps and strides for getting sci-fi recognized among the top industry awards and accolades than the last several decades that came before combined.
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Weekend Numbers: Thursday Previews - INFERNO: $800k
MovieMan89 replied to Alli's topic in Numbers and Data
Welp, there goes my winter game prediction with Inferno. Kinda crazy to think that Sully is one of the biggest non-300m hits of the year now DOM. -
Miss Peregrine's Home For Peculiar Children | 9/30/16
MovieMan89 replied to ddddeeee's topic in Box Office Discussion
I thought the first two acts or so of this were surprisingly well done and carried a nice intriguing heft that left me genuinely invested. Unfortunately the third act was a real letdown for me, as it devolved into very juvenile, generic territory. I honestly was mildly reminded of the Disney Chanel movies I used to watch as a kid with that act. But this would still be Burton's best since Sweeney Todd, despite the underwhelming finish. -
Here is the first set of weekly questions. The deadline for these questions will always be midnight on the Thursday before the weekend questions are designed for. All questions are related to the top 12, are for the 3 day weekend and are worth 1000 points unless otherwise stated: 1. Will Jack Reacher open to more than $19M? NO 2. Will Jack Reacher open to more than $22M? 2000 NO 3. Will Madea open to more than $15M? YES 4. Will Madea open to more than $18M? YES 5. Will Ouija open to more than $10M? YES 6. Will Ouija open to more than $12.5M? 3000 NO 7. Will Keeping up With the Joneses open to more than $10M? NO 8. Will Keeping up With the Joneses open to more than $12.5M? NO 9. Will Keeping up With the Joneses open to more than Ouija? 2000 NO 10. Will Ouija and Joneses combine to more than Jack Reacher? YES 11. Will the top 3 films all be new entries? 3000 YES 12. Will the Accountant drop less than 48%? NO 13. Will Miss Pereguine pass $77.5M total Domestic? NO 14. Will Kevin Hart drop more that 52%? 2000 YES 15. Will Max Steel have a weekend above $2M? NO 16. Will The Handmaiden have a PTA above $6,500? YES 17. Will I'm not Ashamed have a PTA above $8,000? 3000 YES 18. Will Storks still be in the top 11 at the end of the weekend? YES 19. Will Birth of a Nation stay above Sully? NO 20. Will Jack Reacher inevitably go back during the course of his film? NEVAH Bonus: 14/20 2000 15/20 3000 16/20 5000 17/20 7000 18/20 10000 19/20 14000 20/20 20000 Part 2: Closest predictor wins 5000 points (Added Bonus: If prediction is within 10% win 6000, 5% 7000, 2.5% 9000, 1% 12000) 1. Predict Madea's Friday total. 2. Predict Ouija's Sunday PTA 3. Predict the total gross of the 5 highest new openers. Part 3: Predict the films that place in the following positions: 1. Madea 3. Ouija 6. The Blunt on the Train 8. Kevin Hart 11. I'm Not Ashamed 15. Sully 3/6 2000 points 4/6 5000 points 5/6 8000 points 6/6 13000 points Deadline is Thursday 20th at midnight, good luck
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Weekend Thread: Peregrine: 28.5| Deep: 20.6| M7: 15.7 pg 22
MovieMan89 replied to efialtes76's topic in Numbers and Data
Yeesh, October looks bleak. Chance of no 30m opener. -
INFERNO | 10.28.16 | Sony | final gross ● 34.34 M
MovieMan89 replied to kayumanggi's topic in Box Office Discussion
The book was one of the bigger ones in the last several years, Hanks is on a real comeback streak, and A&D was a huge 500m WW grosser despite most predicting gloom and doom for that at the time too. Yeah, I'm going with like 100/400 dom/ww for this. -
Miss Peregrine's Home For Peculiar Children | 9/30/16
MovieMan89 replied to ddddeeee's topic in Box Office Discussion
That would be truly peculiar if this opened to nearly the same as M7. -
This felt so boring and lifeless to me. Denzel and Pratt ooze charisma and yet it seemed nearly absent here. It was just one of those films where I knew everything that would happen next so it felt really pointless to be invested. And it just slowly trudged through that runtime throughout, even the big fight scene went on way too long. Hawke was easily the highlight though and continues to be one of the most underrated in Hollywood.
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Miss Peregrine's Home For Peculiar Children | 9/30/16
MovieMan89 replied to ddddeeee's topic in Box Office Discussion
Burton just can't seem to make worthwhile films this decade. He had such a solid track record too prior to Alice, Apes and maybe Mars Attacks aside. -
Shrek 3 is a bottom 5 worst all time animated film for me, and ST is probably bottom 10. Bee Movie, Sinbad, Home, and Madagascar 1 are also flat out bad and Flushed Away, Shrek 4, Monsters vs Aliens, and Madagascar 2 are all borderline bad. Then you have a whole slew of mediocre films from them, which is almost everything else outside of the KFP/HTTYD franchises and Shrek 1 and 2.
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Miss Peregrine's Home For Peculiar Children | 9/30/16
MovieMan89 replied to ddddeeee's topic in Box Office Discussion
I legit just saw this is rated PG-13. What the actual fuck? I was 1000% under the assumption it was a PG family Burton film ala Alice. Lol, yeah this is beyond hope at the box office. Was thinking a Goosebumps type run could happen, but not as PG-13. -
The thing is they're basically guaranteed to make at least that range with Denzel regardless of how appealing or unappealing the movie is, and how many other actors can say that? M7 was an unusually expensive Denzel film, probably because the studio put faith in Pratt adding an additional draw for the film. Most of the time Denzel's films aren't more than 60m and they turn a profit. Unstoppable and The Taking of Pelham have been his only ones to not be profitable the past decade. In fact, he seems to have a remake curse, since if this doesn't make a profit it will join Pelham and Manchurian Candidate as some of his only films to take losses.