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MovieMan89

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Everything posted by MovieMan89

  1. MovieMan89
    You paid 15 bucks for 15 minutes of RPX worthy material then.
  2. MovieMan89
    I kinda feel the same way, but for the opposite movies.
  3. MovieMan89
    Again how/why though? Nothing should have indicated that based off the first's performance and the movie that we got. Just strange.
  4. MovieMan89
    Dragon 2 missing 300 is still more inexplicable than even MJ1's OW for me. And then missing 200 as well?!? I mean god damn, how?
  5. MovieMan89
    No, but this whole year underperforming might...
  6. MovieMan89
    Well if it really is the entire movie-going market going south domestically, at least by this time next year we should be well prepared in time to lower our SW7 predictions.
  7. MovieMan89
    Shit, all AOU would have to do is miss 200 OW and this board would be in full panic mode. I can already see a 190m OW being dubbed about the worst opening since John Carter.
  8. MovieMan89
    TH3 should have a real chance at matching AUJ's gross. It has no real chance at going much higher though, only slim hopes that it wildly overperforms. However, this WHOLE YEAR has been built on slim chances of movies to wildly overperform or underperform coming true (LEGO movie, Dragon 2, GOTG, MJ1).
  9. MovieMan89
    By the way guys, if this year is meant to signal that audiences are truly abandoning going to the movie theater, next year is going to be the most brutal thing ever as we watch some of the most hyped releases in years/ever get massacred in under-performance. I may need a defibrillator by next December.
  10. MovieMan89
    TH3 winning the year would be glorious retribution to all the PJ haters here who laughed and mocked AUJ's domestic underperformace to no end.
  11. MovieMan89
    Oh, I had no idea that happened!
  12. MovieMan89
    Although, if MJ1 can decrease 40m between installment OWs, who's to say Hobbit can't increase 20m on OW over installments? A 95m OW would indeed put it in the race for #1.
  13. MovieMan89
    Dunno about that, but I think JW will have a bigger OW than MJ1.
  14. MovieMan89
    It has everything to do with how it won't drop over 60%. Unless some SM3 level WOM is incoming.
  15. MovieMan89
    That makes no sense right now. CF dropped 53% releasing the same time of year and making nearly 40m more on OW (and dealing with a certain other box office juggernaut I might add). WOM will truly need to be toxic for it to fall 60%+ next weekend.
  16. MovieMan89
    Exactly. IF (and I do say if) this has a better multi than the first two that will 100% confirm to me the utter lack of any marketing was at fault for such a massive OW drop. If it has a shitty multi, then I honestly have no explanation for its performance.
  17. MovieMan89
    1st Sat holds: CF: -25.8% MJ1: -25.8% 1st Sun holds: CF: -34.4% MJ1: -36.8% Yep, clearly we can prove the WOM is already horrid compared to CF.
  18. MovieMan89
    Um, it followed CF's OW holds nearly to a fault, except for a slightly larger Sunday drop. So again, enlighten me on these facts that WOM is so clearly worse. That remains to be seen.
  19. MovieMan89
    Well I don't think 2.5x would be a "good" multi at all for this franchise, so that's why I went that low.
  20. MovieMan89
    Multi will be between 2.5-2.8x, of that I'm sure. Too bad that still sucks with that OW.
  21. MovieMan89
    "Mockingjay can't catch 'Fire'" Oh Ray.
  22. MovieMan89
    The better question is how can Twilight be before Star Wars? What alphabet is that?
  23. MovieMan89
    I'm inclined to agree, but even still it would be stupid to assume that as fact. It could very well have at least a huge opening after Skyfall's success. It's coming first too and has the only two weeks of the season without huge competitors, so it doesn't have the market fatigue to worry about.
  24. MovieMan89
    Yep. That's why I said earlier this one really should not have been a two parter. I mean yes they make more money either way, but it's just going to look so underwhelming if both of the last two movie only do around 330m compared to the first two. And all it takes is Bond continuing off from Skyfall's momentum (which I don't think it will but is possible) and that could totally upstage it in November. It may not even be the #1 November movie now!
  25. MovieMan89
    Disney will probably find some BS way to get GOTG ahead again if MJ beats it by just 1-2m.
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