MovieMan89

Don't doubt Disney/Marvel though. Right now I'd say 75% chance it decreases, but 25% is still certainly room for reasonable doubt that it doesn't.

Not putting much stock in Variety over Rt-holiness, but if it does only open to 50m today I'm coming for the studio execs over at Lionsgate. That marketing was a disgrace.

I think it's more likely to miss 500m DOM than to open under 200.

Not that an OW in the 135-145 range would even be bad or anything, but god it's been a boring year at the box office though. We better have an Age of Ultra Huge Numbers next year so the Box Office Awakens.

Such heresy is against the Law.

If it hits low 60's then late nights is literally all that decreased from CF's OD. Which could be good, because that means the series is becoming even less frontloaded.

Yes but if it hit 60 and you take out late nights for all 3 that would put it just 3m behind CF's OD and 5m behind THG's. Not a disaster by any means. Just would mainly mean the late night turnout decreased.

I could handle 60m. 55 would be a bit panic inducing.

Nobody said it was easy. It's such a shame for us to part.

No. I am asking Numbers for Rth however.

There is definitely a theme of dysfunctional character dynamics/relationships in all three, so I get why some would compare them. I feel like DOR grew up in a really dysfunctional family or something, lol.

Wow, I believe it's been quite some time since all of the top 3 were so overestimated in estimates. What was up with that?

I'm still recovering from the Scream 4 fiasco.

That's not what he said we should all agree on. He asked us to agree that it makes everyone feel emotions they never felt before. I think that's an even mightier statement than saying it's the best film of all time.

Well that's a mighty statement. Kinda like asking "can we all just agree Citizen Kane is the best film ever made?" No. No we can't.

Looks like Gone Girl could be in a tight race with Seven for Fincher's highest grossing adjusted. Has to hit 186.5m to beat it. With Holidays and maybe an awards season expansion, I could see it happening.

Yep. That's why Dumb and Dumberer and Son of Mask got made. Because he refused doing proper sequels to them at the time. In fact, Ace Ventura 2 was the only sequel to one of his movies he ever did before this. And that was made before/right around the time he was becoming a big star.

I'm 99.9% sure The Mask 2 and Ace Ventura 3 are imminent now. Maybe he won't do any others, but I bet money those two are coming.

Also now that Carrey just scored his first real (live action) hit in over a decade, I'm bracing myself for the incoming desperate sequels to the Mask, Liar Liar, Bruce Almighty, and a third Ace Ventura. If he does a Truman Show sequel though, so help me....

Damn, Gone Girl just will not quit. Heading for a 5x multi at this rate and the best WOM of the year (so far). Also yay for The Maze Runner hitting 100. One of, if not the biggest pleasant surprise I had at the movies this year.

I didn't think audiences would go for a movie like IS. When sci-fi gets too far-fetched/complicated, the GA tend to bail.

I never in a million years would have guessed IS would drop sub 40% this weekend. Good for it.

Replace IS and Into the Woods BP noms with Foxcatcher and Theory of Everything. No way Theory of Everything would be completely snubbed. BP, Actor, Actress, and A. Screenplay are pretty sure bets for it (hell, Redmayne is probably the only one who can upset Keaton). Score is a maybe. And IS has about 15% chance at a BP nom, no chance at McConaughey, and a very slim chance at Chastain. But no chance for her either really since they'll pick Meryl any day over her, and the other 4 seem pretty locked in (Arquette, Stone, Dern, Knightley).

I am starting to think Unbroken can make a run for 200, especially if it ends up the clear Oscar favorite. And since there's tons of family programming this Xmas, but not a whole lot of super appealing adult movies. It could really capture that audience. But 300+ would require an even bigger breakout than The Blind Side and I can't see that. Especially since I expect Annie and The Hobbit to be big grossers in December as well. MJ1 will have already been huge. Box office can only support so many big grossers in a short period. Anyways, that IS number is about the best I would have ever expected. A drop below 50% this weekend is better than I thought for sure. DADT OD is good, especially for poor Carrey who hasn't really been able to open a live action comedy since Bruce Almighty. I expect subpar legs though, and 100m is probably the best it can get to with a mid 30's OW. BH6 jump is awesome, and if it keeps following the Brother Bear/Madagascar 2 trajectory (both had Tuesdays on Veteran's Day) we can expect another huge Saturday jump of possibly 100%+. It has been particularly following Madagascar 2 all week, which jumped 107% on that Saturday after a 320% Friday bump. So it could still win the weekend as well.