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stripe

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Everything posted by stripe

  1. stripe
    Last couple of years demonstrated that Christmas is an incredible place for tentpoles. Almost every year there was 1-2 films with a lot of buzz. That's why I am surprised the studios didn't place something more meaty. Imagine what could happen if Dune 2 or Indiana Jones 5 land there.
  2. stripe
    Slowly, the market recovers and has more mid-range movies. The best news is the success of Cocaine Bear, M3gan, Jesus Revolution, A man called Otto, Air, 80 for Brady. I hope this list is engrossed with April fims Evil Dead Rises and Are you there God?
  3. stripe
    Problem with March's agregated gross was the lack of more wide openers in the 3rd and 4th weekends. Also, weak numbers from February holdovers
  4. stripe
    For me, the main problem is that both Wonka and Aquaman2 look a bit underwhelming BO wise. Migration should do well, but the rest have weak points. Still early, though
  5. stripe
    Crazy things to remember: -Just two months ago some were thinking that 2023 could be the first year since 2014 with no movie over 400M DOM (not counting 2020 for obvious reasons). -Looking at release schedule, no one thought that 2023 would have a juggernaut DOM run like Maverick or Avatwo. -In Christmas many claimed that animation was theatrically dead. -April 2023 schedule was considered to be weak.
  6. stripe
    November schedule looks solid, but December really needs more tentpoles. It just has a schedule with Wonka, Aquaman2, Migration, and The Color Purple.
  7. stripe
    April 2023 gross (585M) already over April 2022 total gross (571M) Month to date, April 2023 is the highest grosser ever right now. Eyeing around 900M Yearly, 2023 right now is -17% behind prepandemic 2019 and 37% ahead of 2022 Encouraging recovery
  8. stripe
    Next year: a tecnologically advanced teddy bear toy with Nic Cage voice begins to kill everyone to protect a boy that accidentally snorted cocaine.
  9. stripe
    LOL at that 58-66M range for SMB... That gross for an animated movie after almost 10M Thursday? No way
  10. stripe
    No, it just needs 80M second weekend to reach 340M. After 9.6M Thursday SMB will be at 260M
  11. stripe
    You have to look also to competition. BatB faced huge competition in 3rd and 5th weekend (Boss Baby, Fast8) and SMB wont. The gap with that movie should slowly increase. Incredibles 2 faced Jurassic World 2, Ant Man 2 and Hotel Transilvania 3. Puss in Boots delivered huge legs due to lack of competition. SMB could do something similar, but in a smaller scale.
  12. stripe
    SMB will be around 340M after 2nd weekend. It should avoid 50% drop despite opening in an inflated Easter holiday weekend. No new competition and strong rewatchability will help with legs from now on. Compare this 340M with other movies' gross after 2nd weekend. It's 20M higher than BatB and only 10M less than Incredibles 2. It should reach 550M.
  13. stripe
    Sure! It only reflects that SH movies are still at the top of GA awareness.
  14. stripe
    More impressive, Aquaman is over The Flash, a June tentpole with original Batman and trailer released.
  15. stripe
    Hunger Games in 8th is quite impressive IMHO. Feeling confident that it will surprise many. Even possible that ends grossing more than Mockingjay part2
  16. stripe
    It will be dificult. SH movies are not as strong as they were 2-3 years ago. Still, I can see The Flash and Guardians 3 reaching 400M DOM
  17. stripe
    I hope so. At least, there could be films that challenge it. Not many thought a month ago that SMB (an animated movie) would gross more than 500M DOM. The same surprise can easily happen with many other possible breakouts. Little Mermaid Indiana Jones 5 Mission Impossible Elemental Barbie Hunger Games Wish...
  18. stripe
    20M would be great but I am expecting midteens opening, as BOpro suggests. Not enough tracking data for this, though 70M SMB 15M Renfield 10M Suzume 8M Air 8M JW4 8M D&D 7M Pope Exorcist 3M Mafia Mamma 2M Nefarius 2M Scream 130M+ top10
  19. stripe
    April month to date gross: 368M with 20 more days to go. This number is in line or even better than prepandemic Aprils.
  20. stripe
    That's sad... Crossing fingers it can recover from this start.
  21. stripe
    Many toxic sequels? NWH was loved Wakanda Forever was well liked AMQ and DSMoM were a mixed bag. Expectations were too high because of concept (multiverse) and villain Thor 4 is probably the only MCU sequel lately that really met polarizing reactions, but not worse than those received by Thor 2 or Iron Man 3.
  22. stripe
    Are you expecting Book Club 2, Hypnotic (a Robert Rodriguez movie no one has still heard of), or Love Again to have an impact on GotG3? it's quite possible that the sum of all 3 openings is less than half the gross of Guardians 2nd weekend. Guardians going to drop hard for sure because it's the classic upfront demand of a tentpole. Even JW4 dropped over 60+
  23. stripe
    All this "MCU is doomed" noise is becoming really annoying. So Guardians 3 first day of presales doesn't match expectations and people freaking out without considering that we are a full month away from the OW and that the presales have begun in the middle of a tentpole's huge opening
  24. stripe
    April schedule looks stronger and stronger with every new day. AIR, Renfield and Evil Dead already receiving solid reviews. SMB presales on steroids at this moment. New wide releases anounced/confirmed (Sisu, Nefarious). Some prestige films with good early WOM (Chevalier, Beau is Afraid)... Quite confident now with 700M agregated gross for the month.
  25. stripe
    If OW finally is around 40M, I can see DnD grossing close to 150M DOM, and that would make Paramount quite happy. As someone already said, a month ago not many were thinking 100M was possible for DnD
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