While I don't have any numbers for it, it's doing really well in Sweden. I think it should do at least 2.5m for OW, probably more.
Doubling Tangled though? That's a stretch. It would need to sell as many tickets as Finding Nemo did for that to happen, which is possible of course, but not probable.
Carly's Hallelujah was incredible. One of the best performances of the season for sure. She really should win it with that performance, but we all know it's gonna be Tate.
77k tickets in Sweden for OD. Closest comparision is POTC3 which sold 75k on OD and went on to sell 312k for the 5-day. So it would put Hobbit at about 320k for the 5-day. Which would mean 6.5m+. Hopefully it could do more, presales are really good for the weekend.
Don't know how it will be recieved, so hard to say how the legs will be. But if it gets anywhere close to ROTK in terms of ticket-sales, I guess at least 30m, possibly 35m.
Can't beleive CeCe is still there, she has been one of the worst every single week. Anyway, Carly Rose truly is in a league of her own in this competition, she just has to win this.
So, if it made 46m friday-business, that would mean around 93% of Spidey 3's day business. If it follows Spidey's drops it would go on to gross around 152m for the weekend. That's the high end, I think, basing on these numbers.
New Moon didn't increase. It decresed about 10%. Then you have to remember it played on a lot less screens than The Hunger Games also, so it definetely isn't a safe bet that it will increase.