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Dale Cooper

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Everything posted by Dale Cooper

  1. This is not exactly true. If it drops 30% for the next 3 weeks just, it will be beyond $2.2b already. It's going to drop pretty hard this week, though, considering it still was holiday in many markets this week.
  2. To be honest, this is shaping up more and more like Avatar itself. It will not hold as well as that did, but I would not be surprised with something like $1.7b international at this point. Of course, that requires very good legs from here on, but it's looking quite good.
  3. Great numbers for all three movies. I think The Way of Water might hold better than expected on Sunday due to PLF/IMAX skew, which should mean that Sunday plays quite a bit better than Friday. But that might be an incorrect assessment.
  4. Avatar would certainly not be top tier Spielberg, but 20 movies are a lot. If you make a combined top 20 it could probably miss, though.
  5. No, I don't have any number. But there's really only one big theater chain in the country so it's fairly easy to get a decent feeling about what numbers it should be doing based on that.
  6. The Way of Water has done great this week in Sweden. Wouldn't be surprised if Friday is the second best day of its run actually. Should easily beat the fourth weekend record in local currency.
  7. 6.7 is a great number tbh. A 60% increase on friday should be enough for 40m weekend. With 50% around 36m. Both good numbers.
  8. Incredible if it was to hold with the increase. I am a bit surprised it holds this well, but on the other hand it is doing this in essentially all the big markets as well - just as the first one did.
  9. Yes, many markets do still have schools off this week. Friday is also a national holiday in parts of Europe.
  10. So it made 660k weekdays despite weak Monday? Seems quite good to me. Anyway, it seems the trend better on weekends than weekdays compared to Rogue One and it keeps improving compared to it. It made about 230% of Rogue One's third set of weekdays compared to 170% over the second set of weekdays. It did about 230% of Rogue One's third weekend. If it keeps improving in about the same rate it could triple Rogue One's third weekend for close to a million? Maybe that's too much to ask for.
  11. Seems more in line with what one should expect, still pretty good I'd say. My $39m is probably a little on the high end. Maybe $36m for the weekend?
  12. Yeah, but there's many numbers a whole lot higher than so that are thrown around in this thread. Anyway, I could easily see a few millions lower as well.
  13. I think we should not get too carried away with this number. It's obviously good, but I still see a weekend of around ~$39m. Maybe it can do bigger, bit maybe it will come back down after a great run the last 8 days.
  14. I think this is a plausible scenario. I'd probably have weekdays a few million lower and weekend ~40m but 38m is very reasonable I think.
  15. An important factor in that, though, is that Avatar premiered closer to Christmas, which means that the weekdays in the first week was more inflated. If you look at the dailies in Avatar's first weekdays, almost all movies are up compared to the previous week, not so much the same can be said for The Way of Water. Now, there's no way to really measure how much a difference it made, but it certainly played a big role (which is also why A2s second weekdays were bigger than A1s).
  16. Great numbers for The Way of Water. Anyone know the splits between IMAX/PLF and other formats for the last weekend?
  17. I mean, I get not liking the film, but at this point with the way it's holding it's pretty obvious audiences are enjoying it. If there isn't improved exchance rates when A3 releases, it's gonna need China to come big to outgross The Way of Water regardless of WOM really.
  18. Maybe, but not necessarily. Avatar was relatively bigger in Denmark compared to the other Nordic markets. It was by far the highest grossing film of all time upon release. NWH still sold more tickets than Endgame in Denmark despite late release.
  19. I think the pandemic (with cases really exploding after Christmas) might have played a big part for NWHs relative weak holiday figures last year and then stronger than usual legs afterwards (especially for that kind of film). It held very, very well after the holiday. If we look at something like the first Hobbit, it had 920k-ish after the holidays and got to 1100k or thereabout. Now, Hobbit opened much bigger and during the actual holiday I believe The Way of Water has played about as strong or even stronger. Hobbit also had much more competition during January and The Way of Water obviously will play very, very strong on the IMAX and premium screens throughout January.
  20. Should be possible. Let's see how it holds after next weekend.
  21. 550 942 tickets in Sweden now. I'm not completely sure if it's as of Sunday or Saturday, my guess is Sunday. Very good, and good recovery after dissapointing start. It's not going as strong this week as last here, but there's a public holiday on Friday that should see numbers rising from Thursday on. Could be at 750k on Sunday on its way to 900k+ total.
  22. Is it? It seems NYD isn't a strong BO day in the UK. The other films dropped like 40% and 25%. So I'd say flat is very, very good.
  23. Sure, it could be so. But the key difference here is that small to mid sized movies has that kind of trajectory around Christmas every year. Movies grossing $20m a day doesn't. Ever. Except, well, Avatar.
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