Dale Cooper

It did, but the reason it had a comparatively big drop wasn't really that it lost its PLFs, it was because it went up against a $140m opener with very much overlapping audiences. It posted a big drop against Thor as well, despite not losing as many PLFs. Ant Man will not be as big as either Dominion or Thor, and A2 will obviously be much smaller by then than what TGM were at those premieres. It really shouldn't be hit as hard. Wouldn't be too suprised if it holds very well, kind of what NWH did against Batman.

Wasn't it some sort of weather impact last year on SUN/MON of the MLK weekend as well? Seems most movies fell hard harder on the Sunday.

Do you know the number for Sweden? I can't find any number after the 550k two weeks ago, but I'd guess >850k.

I don't think this is true either. For exemple, the letterboxd rating is quite a bit higher for A2 than A1.

The thing is is that this clearly is not what people generally thinks. The General opinion is quite clearly that it is at least somehwat close to the first one.

Yeah I think it doesn't really make sense anymore to question the quality of the movie. It's having fairly great legs everywhere as of now. It certainly points towards people generally liking it quite a bit.

There seems to be quite a few numbers that are clearly lowballed this weekend. This might be one of them.

The estimate for M3GAN seems to be 20% drop based on the information in this thread.

I think it's underestimated by quite a bit. Disney is probably lowballing here.

I am not that surprised at the big jump, seeing the exact same pattern over here. Mediocre weekdays, so-so Friday, incredible Saturday and a quite good Sunday. Expecting this to get more and more like this the longer the run goes. Great numbers overall as well.

Babylon will probably take some screens, and split some. But a quick look tells me that Avatar is selling far, far better than Babylon which realistically would mean that it will just get whatever screens back that it lost IMO. Don't think it will hurt it too much in the long run. It's also seems to be already splitting Dolby with other films as it is.

It might have cut off some of its legs, but it would also have made its Opening Week slightly smaller. My guess is that if it had kept its original opening it wouldn't have made nearly as much damage to A2 as A2 would have done to it. But sure, we might have had a slightly lower multi, still pretty good though is my guess and clearly well above average. But I guess we will never know.

I am all for looking at Opening Weeks and all, but even looking at this nice graph it will land in the top 3 (discounting Alvin as it isn't really a relevant comparision). Aquaman's also is wrong, but that movie had premiere so close to Christmas it's hard to compare, although it probably would have been comfortably under 3 multi if it opened a week before. Anyway, to me it looks like it will be right around Fellowship of the Ring which is really, really good materless of premiere slot. Fellowship certainly had great legs itself. Looking at the graph it also seems to be centered around 2.5 (+-½) with a few upward outliers, where A2 sort of will be one of them.

I am just gonna write whatever I wrote in the other thread here instead. It's all fine to try and downplay A2's legs. But doing so while comparing it to Sherlock 2, a movie that opened almost $100m less, is just as a skewed look as equating Christmas legs to summer legs. They're clearly not really comparable. If we, for example, look at Fellowship of the Ring, one of the best movies ever made, their first weeks multis will probably be very close. That one clearly had pretty incredible legs. As for the long list of movies doing 5x multi with over 100m OW, I think this is operating under a couple of assumptions that aren't necessarily true. The first being that movies gross more overall if they're released with this slot, which is highly contestable. The second being that OW is considerably deflated, which clearly is true for the majority of movies but evidently not all of them (NWH and Force Awakens being two obvious example, even I Am Legend serves as one). There's certainly exists potential $100m openers which would have been able to pull it off, but I don't think they're that many.

Sure. It's still going to gross around $200m from its third Monday and on, which is pretty good for any movie. Unless it would have opened a lot bigger it would most likely have reached a 4x multi matterless of when released.

Yeah, and we all know that A2 overindexes quite a bit in Canada which relatively boosted its weekdays last week (because of holidays). I get that the days aren't great, but I would look at the weekend figures before making any conclusions.

People have been saying it all week, though. It's not like people were ecstatic over the Monday (or Tuesday) number.

But isn't that usual for bigger films though, that they fall more between Monday and Wednesday than smaller films? Wasn't it the same in its first set of weekdays, that just about everything increased (that didn't lose theatres) between Monday and Wednesday (despite the storm) and Avatar decreased 10%? There's probably still some spillover effect on Mondays for Avatar, considering how much of its business it does on PLFs, and how big the Sunday still was.

It seems to follow a regular weekday pattern though?

But, but, but it's performing remarkably close to Titanic though on the similar Wednesday, so it's not like it's performing comparaitvely way worse.

It's as if almost people prefer watching a 3 hour movie on the weekend. Who would have thunk.

Overreacting is fun and all, but this was surely quite predictable for Avatar? It was never supposed to be a weekday film because of its runtime. It's gonna do its money mostly on weekends.

Sure, it will be hard for better holds than that. But that is mainly because last week were still clearly boosted by holidays. This weekend to next weekend will see much lower drop (at least if it follows the same trend as it has had the past 2 weeks).

The point here though is that the reason it dropped that much is because last Sunday was much higher than it would have been with the calender configuration that A1 had.

That's because many overseas markets have 4-day weekends, and some even 5-day.