Sam

-67% from 174M of last weekend. Harsh drop. 2x this weekend gonna bring it real close to 400M OS. But then FK is coming earlier in the OS markets so 380M-390M more likely.

What was the China weekend? So Rth was being straightforward, we just over analyzed it. Understandable though, if it had been 25M weekend, that means IW drop is horrid for OS-China, that we have to try to reason it lol. So around 945M OS-China now. 1B is dead, even 980M gonna be tough, especially with JW:FK coming soon.

Using Rth’s Sat number. 16.49 - 4.26 - 6.5 = 5.73M Sun 20.10M 4-day means 3.61M Mon So they’re projecting a freaking 37% drop for IW on Memorial Day Monday? Hmm....

That’s a whole 5M increase from Rth’s early estimates. Great for Solo.

Hawkguy’s arrow is featured That looks real nice. Where is it from?

No numbers for IW yet either. Maybe Disney is figuring out how to move some dollars here and there to get Solo over 100M 4-day at least lol.

IW finally breached that 11M admissions! A first for MCU! DP2 continued to fall harder than I expected. Is it the R-rating that let to muted weekends? Solo made a whopping $1M OW lol.

Lol at those rounded estimates. Overboard is slowly but surely making good numbers. In fact, holdovers numbers for this weekend (except for DP2) have been good so far.

Lol it’s not a good weekend drop for DP2 but whatever the total is, it’ll be a good and respectable gross. Considering the floppage of Solo that is going on right now, it’s weird that some people have meltdowns over DP2 doing fine numbers.

That 66% drop for DP2 does put a damper on the 300M prospect. Still think weekdays will give it some recovery, but it looks like the movie is performing much closer to typical X-Men films than most expected.

So this indicates around 60M weekend for DP2. A bit of a steep drop but understandable (even with Solo flopping, it still took away screens) assuming at least 60M weekend, then OS total minus Wed/Thu is ~$270M. OS total up to Sun could be very close to $300M, how close is depending on how Wed+Thu did

Funny how even when Rth gives straight numbers without pictures, it’s still a riddle lol.

Tragic numbers everywhere for Solo.

If that’s 25-30M is OS with China (which is likely considering that’s how Rth reported the number last weekend) then OS-China is another 60% drop (actually closer to the 70%). 2B is not happening with that number. OS is falling way too fast for it to reach at least 980M OS-China needed for 2B.

Finally, a win for Solo over JL.

Boba Fett movie needs to happen. I wanna see how hilariously low the BO limbo bar can go.

About +15% from true Fri for Solo. Expected increase base on existing data but still terrible number in the grand scheme of things. About 83M 3-day and barely 100M 4-day (could very well miss 100M though) 250M total would then require 3x leg off of 3-day, so that’s dead. And without benefits of Christmas, over JL Dom outlook ain’t promising either. Tragic. Very weak increase for DP2 even factor in muted Memorial weekend Sat increase. Good for IW and Book Club. Looks like aside from Solo flopage and DP2’s bad drop, holdovers are doing solid to very good this weekend.

My local theaters matinees and early evening looking pretty good for Solo. Number of showtimes is on the lower side but that allow for more sell-outs. I think Sat increase over true Friday will be good. 20% or so sounds about right.

How likely is it that A:IW part 2 gonna be one of those JL/Solo and finally achieve the 2.1x leg you yearned for?

I love Aladdin but man, Guy Ritchie as Director is just unbearable. Considering how Memorial Day weekend has been treating Disney, that movie’s outlook is not so bright next year.

DP2 Friday number is indeed a bit puzzling. But base on its weekdays performance, maybe it’ll pull a reversed MCU and be stronger on weekdays as opposed to weekends. That could be good for $300M goal as summer weekdays are coming.

Coincidentally, I just rewatched Dumbo yesterday. If anything, I hope Burton goes all Burtony on that drunk Dumbo sequence. For better or worse lol.

DP2 holds haven’t been as good as I was expecting for the $40M mark. Probably closer to $35M finish from the look of it. On par with Kingsman 2 so that’s still good. IW so close to 11M admission, should hit it today in SK (Sunday). Shame it didn’t hold a bit better earlier in the run to push for $100M total. But great performance in SK nonetheless. Solo is...well...

Memorial Day weekend spread out the gross more so I think 75% Sat jump is not very feasible. But I can see it having the best Sat jump in the Top 5 with +50% or more. And Sunday won’t drop more than 10% so it’ll balance things out. 22M 4-day IMO. Pretty solid.

I tried. You do you.