Weekend estimates:Thor 2 $38.4m, TBMH $30.6m

[Accursed Arachnid!™]

It's kinda like that for most actors though.

 

 

Yes, there are only a select few that have that type of presence in films these days. And, even then, it's really only in certain roles. RDJ + IM = $$$$$. RDJ + SH = $$$. RDJ + Any other film = $ or less. The age when a star could do no wrong is fast leaving us.

[John Marston]

Early numbers from Deadline

 

 

 

1) Thor: The Dark World/ PG13/ Disney / Week 2/ Runs: 3841/ $10.527 Fri./ $15.264 Sat. 45% / $9.158 Sun. -40% = $34.949 Weekend -59%. Per Screen Average, $9,099. Total domestic gross $143.5 million.

2) The Best Man Holiday/ R/ Universal/ Week 1/ Runs: 2024/ $12.500 Fri./ $13.550 Sat. 10% / $6.353 Sun. -45% = $34 Million Weekend. Per Screen Average, $14,033. Total domestic gross $34 million.

3) Last Vegas/ PG13/ CBS Films / Week 3/ Runs: 3237/ 155 / $2.377 Fri./ $3.565 Sat. 50% / $1.961 Sun. -45% = $7.902 Wknd -28%. Per Screen Average: $2,441. Total domestic gross $46 million.

4) Free Birds/ PG/ Relativity/ Week 3/ Runs: 3510/ -226 / $1.743 Fri./ $3.485 Sat. 100% / $2.265 Sun. -35% = $7.493 Weekend, -33%. Per screen average: $2,135. Total domestic gross $41.4 million.

5) Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa/ R/ Paramount/ Week 4/ Runs: 3190/ 3 / $2.165 Fri./ $3.140 Sat. 45% / $1.884 Sun. -40% = $7.189 Weekend. -37%. Per screen average: $2,254. Total domestic gross $89.7 million

6) Gravity/ PG13/ Warner Bros / Week 7/ Runs: 2560/ -160 / $1.698 Fri./ $2.887 Sat. 70% / $1.588 Sun. -45% = $6.173 Weekend -28%. Per screen average: $2,411. Total domestic gross $240.4 million.

7) Ender’s Game/ PG13/ Lionsgate/ Week 3/ Runs: 3236/ -171 / $1.598 Fri./ $2.478 Sat. 55% / $1.487 Sun. -40% = $5.562 weekend. -46%. Per screen average: $1,719. Total domestic gross $53.1 million.

Eight) 12 Years A Slave/ R/ Fox Searchlight/ Week 5/ Runs: 1411/ 267 / $1.338 Fri./ $2.073 Sat. 55% / $1.244 Sun. -40% = $4.655 Weekend. -30%. Per screen average: $3,299. Total domestic gross $24.9 million.

9) Captain Phillips/ PG13/ Sony/ Week 6/ Runs: 2626/ -20 / $1.238 Fri./ $1.980 Sat. 60% / $1.089 Sun. -45% = $4.307 Weekend. -25%. Per screen average: $1,640. Total domestic gross $97.4 million.

10) About Time/ R/ Universal/ Week 3/ Runs: 1280/ 80 / $1.049 Fri./ $1.311 Sat. 25% / $0.786 Sun. -40% = $3.146 Weekend. -34%. Per screen average: $2,458. Total domestic gross: $11.3 million.

[Dementeleus]

So they're estimating a 197% Friday increase for THOR. My guess is that actuals will show a smaller Friday but better boost on Saturday.

[Accursed Arachnid!™]

Even though Cheadle is a brilliant actor and seems like a great person, I tend to enjoy Howard as an actor more, and he would have been a much better WM 

 

 

I actually agree with this, but it was his own greed and prima donna attitude that cost us the real Rhodey.

[Biggestgeekever]

 

Top 101) Thor: The Dark World/ PG13/ Disney / Week 2/ Runs: 3841/ $10.527 Fri./ $15.264 Sat. 45% / $9.158 Sun. -40% = $34.949 Weekend -59%. Per Screen Average, $9,099. Total domestic gross $143.5 million.

2) The Best Man Holiday/ R/ Universal/ Week 1/ Runs: 2024/ $12.500 Fri./ $13.550 Sat. 10% / $6.353 Sun. -45% = $34 Million Weekend. Per Screen Average, $14,033. Total domestic gross $34 million.

3) Last Vegas/ PG13/ CBS Films / Week 3/ Runs: 3237/ 155 / $2.377 Fri./ $3.565 Sat. 50% / $1.961 Sun. -45% = $7.902 Wknd -28%. Per Screen Average: $2,441. Total domestic gross $46 million.

4) Free Birds/ PG/ Relativity/ Week 3/ Runs: 3510/ -226 / $1.743 Fri./ $3.485 Sat. 100% / $2.265 Sun. -35% = $7.493 Weekend, -33%. Per screen average: $2,135. Total domestic gross $41.4 million.

5) Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa/ R/ Paramount/ Week 4/ Runs: 3190/ 3 / $2.165 Fri./ $3.140 Sat. 45% / $1.884 Sun. -40% = $7.189 Weekend. -37%. Per screen average: $2,254. Total domestic gross $89.7 million

6) Gravity/ PG13/ Warner Bros / Week 7/ Runs: 2560/ -160 / $1.698 Fri./ $2.887 Sat. 70% / $1.588 Sun. -45% = $6.173 Weekend -28%. Per screen average: $2,411. Total domestic gross $240.4 million.

7) Ender’s Game/ PG13/ Lionsgate/ Week 3/ Runs: 3236/ -171 / $1.598 Fri./ $2.478 Sat. 55% / $1.487 Sun. -40% = $5.562 weekend. -46%. Per screen average: $1,719. Total domestic gross $53.1 million.

Eight) 12 Years A Slave/ R/ Fox Searchlight/ Week 5/ Runs: 1411/ 267 / $1.338 Fri./ $2.073 Sat. 55% / $1.244 Sun. -40% = $4.655 Weekend. -30%. Per screen average: $3,299. Total domestic gross $24.9 million.

9) Captain Phillips/ PG13/ Sony/ Week 6/ Runs: 2626/ -20 / $1.238 Fri./ $1.980 Sat. 60% / $1.089 Sun. -45% = $4.307 Weekend. -25%. Per screen average: $1,640. Total domestic gross $97.4 million.

10) About Time/ R/ Universal/ Week 3/ Runs: 1280/ 80 / $1.049 Fri./ $1.311 Sat. 25% / $0.786 Sun. -40% = $3.146 Weekend. -34%. Per screen average: $2,458. Total domestic gross: $11.3 million.

 

It honestly took me a minute to realize these weren't your elaborate predictions, lol.

 

Thor 2 will probably see a higher Saturday increase than Deadline thinks, and I seriously doubt Best Man is going up 10% tomorrow.

[grim22]

So with no direct competition and a wide open week, Thor 2 will fall 67% Friday to Friday and 60% week on week. That is much higher than I expected.

 

With roughly 145M at the end of this week, it should reach 200-210M by the end of its run. 

Edited November 16, 2013 by grim22

[Empire]

So they're estimating a 197% Friday increase for THOR. My guess is that actuals will show a smaller Friday but better boost on Saturday.

Yeah, that would be my guess too since Marvel movies have been working like family films.

Edited November 16, 2013 by Empire

[Accursed Arachnid!™]

Early numbers from Deadline

 

 

 

1) Thor: The Dark World/ PG13/ Disney / Week 2/ Runs: 3841/ $10.527 Fri./ $15.264 Sat. 45% / $9.158 Sun. -40% = $34.949 Weekend -59%. Per Screen Average, $9,099. Total domestic gross $143.5 million.

2) The Best Man Holiday/ R/ Universal/ Week 1/ Runs: 2024/ $12.500 Fri./ $13.550 Sat. 10% / $6.353 Sun. -45% = $34 Million Weekend. Per Screen Average, $14,033. Total domestic gross $34 million.

3) Last Vegas/ PG13/ CBS Films / Week 3/ Runs: 3237/ 155 / $2.377 Fri./ $3.565 Sat. 50% / $1.961 Sun. -45% = $7.902 Wknd -28%. Per Screen Average: $2,441. Total domestic gross $46 million.

4) Free Birds/ PG/ Relativity/ Week 3/ Runs: 3510/ -226 / $1.743 Fri./ $3.485 Sat. 100% / $2.265 Sun. -35% = $7.493 Weekend, -33%. Per screen average: $2,135. Total domestic gross $41.4 million.

5) Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa/ R/ Paramount/ Week 4/ Runs: 3190/ 3 / $2.165 Fri./ $3.140 Sat. 45% / $1.884 Sun. -40% = $7.189 Weekend. -37%. Per screen average: $2,254. Total domestic gross $89.7 million

6) Gravity/ PG13/ Warner Bros / Week 7/ Runs: 2560/ -160 / $1.698 Fri./ $2.887 Sat. 70% / $1.588 Sun. -45% = $6.173 Weekend -28%. Per screen average: $2,411. Total domestic gross $240.4 million.

7) Ender’s Game/ PG13/ Lionsgate/ Week 3/ Runs: 3236/ -171 / $1.598 Fri./ $2.478 Sat. 55% / $1.487 Sun. -40% = $5.562 weekend. -46%. Per screen average: $1,719. Total domestic gross $53.1 million.

Eight) 12 Years A Slave/ R/ Fox Searchlight/ Week 5/ Runs: 1411/ 267 / $1.338 Fri./ $2.073 Sat. 55% / $1.244 Sun. -40% = $4.655 Weekend. -30%. Per screen average: $3,299. Total domestic gross $24.9 million.

9) Captain Phillips/ PG13/ Sony/ Week 6/ Runs: 2626/ -20 / $1.238 Fri./ $1.980 Sat. 60% / $1.089 Sun. -45% = $4.307 Weekend. -25%. Per screen average: $1,640. Total domestic gross $97.4 million.

10) About Time/ R/ Universal/ Week 3/ Runs: 1280/ 80 / $1.049 Fri./ $1.311 Sat. 25% / $0.786 Sun. -40% = $3.146 Weekend. -34%. Per screen average: $2,458. Total domestic gross: $11.3 million.

 

 

Those numbers are entirely too precise for guesstimates.

[John Marston]

197% Friday increase is higher than most comparable films. I agree Friday will be smaller but it can make up the difference on Saturday

[John Marston]

My Thor 2 under X2 club is looking good. 

[Dementeleus]

Those numbers are entirely too precise for guesstimates.

 

You mean "estimating" Saturday and Sunday to within a thousand dollars?

[Dementeleus]

My Thor 2 under X2 club is looking good. 

 

Team Emo-Sparkle Vampwolf is on life support, but still alive!

[lab276]

Top 101) Thor: The Dark World/ PG13/ Disney / Week 2/ Runs: 3841/ $10.527 Fri./ $15.264 Sat. 45% / $9.158 Sun. -40% = $34.949 Weekend -59%. Per Screen Average, $9,099. Total domestic gross $143.5 million.2) The Best Man Holiday/ R/ Universal/ Week 1/ Runs: 2024/ $12.500 Fri./ $13.550 Sat. 10% / $6.353 Sun. -45% = $34 Million Weekend. Per Screen Average, $14,033. Total domestic gross $34 million.3) Last Vegas/ PG13/ CBS Films / Week 3/ Runs: 3237/ 155 / $2.377 Fri./ $3.565 Sat. 50% / $1.961 Sun. -45% = $7.902 Wknd -28%. Per Screen Average: $2,441. Total domestic gross $46 million.4) Free Birds/ PG/ Relativity/ Week 3/ Runs: 3510/ -226 / $1.743 Fri./ $3.485 Sat. 100% / $2.265 Sun. -35% = $7.493 Weekend, -33%. Per screen average: $2,135. Total domestic gross $41.4 million.5) Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa/ R/ Paramount/ Week 4/ Runs: 3190/ 3 / $2.165 Fri./ $3.140 Sat. 45% / $1.884 Sun. -40% = $7.189 Weekend. -37%. Per screen average: $2,254. Total domestic gross $89.7 million6) Gravity/ PG13/ Warner Bros / Week 7/ Runs: 2560/ -160 / $1.698 Fri./ $2.887 Sat. 70% / $1.588 Sun. -45% = $6.173 Weekend -28%. Per screen average: $2,411. Total domestic gross $240.4 million.7) Ender’s Game/ PG13/ Lionsgate/ Week 3/ Runs: 3236/ -171 / $1.598 Fri./ $2.478 Sat. 55% / $1.487 Sun. -40% = $5.562 weekend. -46%. Per screen average: $1,719. Total domestic gross $53.1 million.Eight) 12 Years A Slave/ R/ Fox Searchlight/ Week 5/ Runs: 1411/ 267 / $1.338 Fri./ $2.073 Sat. 55% / $1.244 Sun. -40% = $4.655 Weekend. -30%. Per screen average: $3,299. Total domestic gross $24.9 million.9) Captain Phillips/ PG13/ Sony/ Week 6/ Runs: 2626/ -20 / $1.238 Fri./ $1.980 Sat. 60% / $1.089 Sun. -45% = $4.307 Weekend. -25%. Per screen average: $1,640. Total domestic gross $97.4 million.10) About Time/ R/ Universal/ Week 3/ Runs: 1280/ 80 / $1.049 Fri./ $1.311 Sat. 25% / $0.786 Sun. -40% = $3.146 Weekend. -34%. Per screen average: $2,458. Total domestic gross: $11.3 million.

1 Thor 2 34.92 Best Man Holiday 343 Last Vegas 7.94 Free Birds 7.55 Bad Grandpa 7.26 Gravity 6.27 Ender's Game 5.68 12 YAS 4.79 Captain Phillips 4.310 About Time 3.1Top 10 115.4

[ecstasy]

I toldja! BMH was gonna win Friday.

Edited November 16, 2013 by ECSTASY

[Empire]

Team Emo-Sparkle Vampwolf is on life support, but still alive!

We might be hooked up to machines, but atleast be are sparkling.

[Biggestgeekever]

Those numbers are entirely too precise for guesstimates.

ALL those significant figures, bruh. It's beautiful.

[iceroll]

1 Thor 2 34.92 Best Man Holiday 343 Last Vegas 7.94 Free Birds 7.55 Bad Grandpa 7.26 Gravity 6.27 Ender's Game 5.68 12 YAS 4.79 Captain Phillips 4.310 About Time 3.1Top 10 115.4

They really should have moved up Delivery Man and expanded The Book Thief wide this weekend.

[Fancyarcher]

I toldja! BMH was gonna win Friday.

 

Honestly I'd be surprised if it increased on Saturday.

[grim22]

Team Emo-Sparkle Vampwolf is on life support, but still alive!

 

Iron Man 3 earned 35M in its 3rd weekend, and earned a further 68M from its total that weekend. Thor 2 will obviously have slightly bigger drops looking at the weekday trend so far, especially since the family demo will have Catching Fire and Frozen coming up to watch in the next 2 weeks. So, a further 45-60M is still on the books for Thor 2. Which means it can finish between 190-210.

 

Team Emo-Sparkle-Vampwolf depends completely on the hold next weekend. If it falls 60% or more, I think the sparkle party will win.

Edited November 16, 2013 by grim22

[grim22]

Off topic, watching Wreck-It Ralph on Starz. Just got to the car-smashing scene. That was one hell of a powerful scene, I remember I didn't expect that at all while watching it at the El Capitan. The theater fell silent and I remember a few kids went "No".