Argentina Box Office - Minions: first movie ever to do $35m+!!!

[Tower]

5 hours ago, Hei25 said:

Weekend weather is so/so (when I talk about weather, I mean Greater Buenos Aires weather where 6% of the business is located)

I think you mean 60%.

[Hei25]

14 minutes ago, Tower said:

I think you mean 60%.

Jaa, my bad. 

Greater Buenos Aires means 35% of Argentina total population and 60% of the movies business.

Edited January 26, 2018 by Hei25

[Hei25]

Weekend (25th-28th January) Estimates:

 

 

#	MOVIE	Week	ADMISSIONS	SCREENS	CHANGE LW	TOTAL
1	Coco	3rd	262.977	355	-0,54%	1.389.718
2	Maze Runner: The Death Cure	New	100.317	261	-	100.317
3	Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle	4th	82.774	196	-24%	990.554
4	Insidious: The Last Key	2nd	62.270	206	-29%	198.591
5	The Commuter	2nd	29.365	96	-37%	99.040
6	Molly's Game	New	23.476	114	-	23.476
7	Tadeo Jones 2	New	19.991	218	-	19.991
8	Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri	2nd	18.337	50	-26%	56.944
9	Ferdinand	4th	13.427	64	-42%	325.565
10	Las grietas de Jara	2nd	13.010	55	-45%	46.354

 

As expected huge hold for Coco on it's 3rd weekend, right now is pacing 23% ahead of Frozen (1.943.000 total adm.) at the same point so I think that 2 million admissions is locked, and now is the time to think how much over that mark it will gross. Another comparisson is Inside Out which had an acumulative of 1.405.340 after it's 3rd weekend and went to a total of 2.823.678 admissions, the big diference is that Inside Out was released out of holidays, and received the winter holiday bump in it's 5th week, so Coco may fall short of that total but right now is following Inside Out path.

Good OW for Maze Runner 3, just a 1% bellow of the 2nd entry and 19% over the first one.

Jumanji keeps battling new releases and held amazing again, on tuesday it will become the 2nd movie to cross the 1 million milestone, and a finish shy of 1.2 M admissions seems likely.-

 

 

All time movie by admissions (1997-2018)

 

90	Spiderman 3	1.399.000		2007
91	Bruce Almighty	1.397.000		2003
92	Tarzan	1.396.548		1999
93	Coco	1.389.718		2018
94	Pirates of the Carribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl	1.378.000		2003
95	Godzilla	1.369.430		1998
96	Hotel Transylvania 2	1.357.638		2015

 

 

 

Edited January 29, 2018 by Hei25

[Hei25]

January 29th

 

Jumanji became the 2nd movie of 2018 to reach the 1 million admissions milestone (1.002.965), it needed 26 days to reach that. It's holds are very impressive, and even losing screens with the next releases it won't face any direct competition 'till Black Panther (February 15th). So it's result will be even more impressive.-

[Hei25]

Weekend (25th-28th January) Estimates:

 

#	MOVIE	Week	ADMISSIONS	SCREENS	CHANGE LW	TOTAL
1	Coco	3rd	434.259	356	-9%	1.565.425
2	Maze Runner: The Death Cure	New	154.439	262	-	154.439
3	Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle	4th	130.147	197	-30%	1.039.612
4	Insidious: The Last Key	2nd	93.607	207	-32%	230.772
5	The Commuter	2nd	41.413	97	-41%	111.747
6	Molly's Game	New	32.724	116	-	32.724
7	Tadeo Jones 2	New	32.579	218	-	32.579
8	Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri	2nd	25.335	51	-35%	64.031
9	Ferdinand	4th	22.099	65	-48%	334.747
10	El Ultimo Traje	New	18.433	51	-	18.433

 

 

Week is over, so January too becoming the best January in terms of admissions ever. Thanks the massive run of Coco which right now is on track to a strong 2.300.000++ admissions finish and the impressie Jumanji run.

 

Top 5 January in the last Decade with it's best Movie:

 

1	2018	4438775	Coco
2	2015(*)	4371320	The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies
3	2014	4368468	Frozen
4	2011	4112195	Tangled
5	2017	4034624	Sing

 

(*) Record year.

 

February 1st Wide Releases:

-The Post (85 Screens)

-Woody Woodpecker

-Detroit

-The Cruxifiction

 

February 2nd Limited Release:

-Fate Stay Night: Heaven's Feel

Edited February 1, 2018 by Hei25

[Hei25]

Weekend (1st-4th February) Estimates:

 

 

#	MOVIE	Week	ADMISSIONS	SCREENS	CHANGE LW	TOTAL
1	Coco	4th	196.718	355	-26%	1.764.358
2	The Post	New	61.791	107	-	61.791
3	Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle	5th	55.123	178	-34%	1.095.463
4	Maze Runner: The Death Cure	2nd	48.818	218	-52%	203.383
5	The Cruxifiction	New	37.106	185	-	37.106
6	Woody Woodpecker	New	31.527	166	-	31.527
7	Insidious: The Last Key	3rd	26.575	130	-58%	257.664
8	The Commuteri	3rd	16.855	70	-43%	128.687
9	Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri	3rd	11.364	47	-38%	75.330
10	Ferdinand	5th	8.589	65	-47%	343.632

 

 

Another Weekend ruled by Coco, maybe it's last weekend leading the chart (8th Feb. Fifty Shades Freed / 15th Feb. Black Panther), it's hold was it's really good coming from a flat hold on the last one.

The Post had a decent OW, I think it's OK and now will depend on legs, if it can develop legs as TBOE,M it will have a good final result.

Maze Runner had a steep fall and outgross previous entries is not locked (1st 294k - 2nd 323k)

 

 

Coco's 4th Weekend Comp.

 

Coco = 196.718 / Acumulated = 1.764.358

Frozen = 136.642 / Acumulated = 1.392.290 / Total = 1.943.000

Inside Out = 242.872 / Acumulated = 1.790.308 / Total 2.828.000

 

Edited February 5, 2018 by Hei25
Update

[Hei25]

Weekly (1st - 7th Feb.) Estimates:

 

#	MOVIE	Week	ADMISSIONS	SCREENS	CHANGE LW	TOTAL
1	Coco	4th	328.380	362	-24%	1.895.980
2	Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle	5th	89.621	181	-31%	1.129.961
3	The Post	New	82.932	107	-	82.932
4	Maze Runner: The Death Cure	2nd	80.095	226	-48%	234.542
5	The Cruxifition	New	56.313	189	-	56.313
6	Woody Woodpecker	New	53.317	174	-	53.317
7	Insidious: The Last Key	3rd	40.620	134	-57%	271.709
8	The Commuter	3rd	23.489	73	-43%	135.321
9	Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri	3rd	15.609	49	-38%	79.575
10	Ferdinand	5th	14.674	68	-34%	349.717

 

 

One more week lead by Coco (maybe it's last weekend atop of the box office) and with Jumanji returning to the 2nd spot.

Coco is holding amazing every week it will outsell Frozen total run on friday and will cross the 2 million mark on sunday. Right now it ranks 41st in the All Time Admissions Chart (1997-2018).

Jumanji had itself an amazing hold too from this weekend it will star to fall steeper thanks to the loss of screens for 50 Shades and Black Panther, but even that 1.200.000 admissions is locked.

The Post had a decent first week, but also will be hard for it face upcoming releases.

On the 17th spot on the weekly chart SW VIII added 2.642 adm. to reach a total of 775.249 enought to take the 18th place from Emoji in the Top 2017 Released Movies.

 

 

THURSDAY 8TH WIDE RELEASES:

-50 Shades Freed (300 Secreens including IMAX)

-The 15:17 to Paris (80 Screens)

-Paddington 2

-Recreo (Local comedy)

-All the Money in the World

 

 

50 Shades Franchise in Argentina:

50 Shades of Gray: OW = 420.935 adm. / Total = 1.243.492 adm.

50 Shades Darker:   OW = 265.872 adm. / Total = 729.789 adm.

 

 

Edited February 8, 2018 by Hei25

[Hei25]

Thursday 8th February Estimates:

 

1. 50 Shades Freed  80.654 adm. *NEW

2. Coco 29.738 (-23%) Total = 1.927.673 adm.

3. Jumanji Welcome to the Jungle 5.967 adm. (-39%) Total = 1.136.586 admissions.

4. The Post 4.951 (-43%) Total 88.427

5. 15:17 to Paris 3.868 *NEW

 

Strong OD for 50 Shades Freed it's below 50 Shades of Gray 107.000 adm. OD, but above of 50 Shades Darker's 77.000 adm. OD. Coco and Jumanji once again with good holds.

Weekend will be huge, weather is really bad for the first time in 3 weeks and Monday and Tuesday are non-workable days thanks the "Carnival Holidays".

So I expect 50 SF open above the 265.000 adm OW of 50 Shades Darker, and Coco stay almost flat or even increase.

 

 

[Hei25]

Coco became yesterday the first movie of 2018 to reach the 2.000.000 adm. milestone (2.017.111 as of Saturday 10th estimates). It became the 34th movie since 1997 to reach the milestone. The movie still has some good numbers and with monday and thuesday as working holidays, and school is off yet 'till 5th march, finishing above 2.5 million is in play.

It needed 31 days to reach mark just 1 day more than Inside Out (Total 2.823.678 adm.).

 

With the poor result of Coco in some markets (Oz, Germany and Brasil) and even facing a strong ER fall since the start of it's release (The ARS fell 9.5% from 1 USD = 18.6 to a 1 USD = 20.36) Argentina is lloking to be on the top 10 markets for Coco with a finish just shy of 15M USD.

 

 

P.S.: Weather forecast changed a lot and days are beutifull to enjoy outdoor without clouds and not melting warm as last two weeks.

 

 

 

Edited February 11, 2018 by Hei25

[Hei25]

Weekend (08th-11th Feb) Estimates:

 

#	MOVIE	Week	ADMISSIONS	SCREENS	CHANGE LW	TOTAL
1	Fifty Shades Freed	New	227.497	366	-	227.497
2	Coco	5th	195.515	286	-1%	2.093.531
3	The Post	2nd	46.692	105	-24%	130.168
4	Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle	6th	44.044	102	-20%	1.174.688
5	15:17 to Paris	New	34.708	100	-	34.708
6	Maze Runner: The Death Cure	3rd	25.537	75	-48%	260.648
7	Woody Woodpecker	2nd	23.906	139	-25%	77.684
8	All the Money in the World	New	21.368	101	-	21.368
9	Recreo	New	15.074	80	-	15.074
10	Paddington 2	New	15.052	116	-	15.052

 

 

Fifty Shades Freed had a decent OW dipping 14% from the second entry of the franchise, after the big drop btw the first one and Fifty Shades Darker this is a solid drop.

Coco left the 1st spot on Thursday 8th after 28 consecutives days on the top, and finished the weekend with an amazing hold (actuals could make the weekend finish a tiny increase) helped by the Carnival holday today. Finishing above 2.500.000 admissions is locked, and has a soft chance to join the top 20th most attended movies since 1997, it needs to pass Ice Age: Collision Course's 2.595.559 total.

Thanks the holiday and the better weather than last week almost every holdover held very well. But the openers all had poor results, nothing very special.

 

 

 

Coco vs. Inside Out (5th Weekend):

 

Coco: 195.515 adm. / Total = 2.093.531 adm.

Inside Out(*): 157.774 adm. / Total = 2.073.766 adm.

 

*From this weekened Inside Out received a boost from winter holidays, which pushed it's final total to a huge 2.823.678 (13th top attended movie since 1997). Coco still has the push of the school holidays 'till 5th march, but it may not have the same push that IO had on winter holidays.

 

 

 

 

 

[Hei25]

Weekly (8th-14th Feb) Estimates:

 

#	MOVIE	Week	ADMISSIONS	SCREENS	CHANGE LW	TOTAL
1	Fifty Shades Freed	New	393.973	369	-	393.973
2	Coco	5th	364.349	291	+10%	2.262.409
3	Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle	6th	84.722	102	-6%	1.215.366
4	The Post	2nd	78.319	106	-6%	161.795
5	15:17 to Paris	New	58.655	100	-	58.655
6	Maze Runner: The Death Cure	3rd	48.189	76	-40%	283.300
7	Woody Woodpecker	2nd	43.059	143	-20%	96.837
8	All the Money in the World	New	37.417	102	-	37.417
9	Recreo	New	28.218	80	-	28.218
10	47 Meters Down	New	27.343	78	-	27.343

 

 

Strong week overall thanks to "Carnival Holidays" on Monday and Thuesday, and Valintine¡s Day on Wednesday. 

Strong total for Fifty Shades Freed first week, but it will sink really fast, so I will consider a succes if it can cross the 600.000 admissions (-17% from FS Darker's total).-

Even finishing the week in the 2nd spot the big winner of the week is Coco which now ranks in 25th place in term of addmissions since 1997. It will fell really hard on next week but even that thanks to a strong result this week it may cross 2.40.000 by the next wednesday.

Then overall good holds, Jumanji crossed the 1.200.000 milestone but wont be able to acomplish the 1.3M mark because Black Panther taking the stage on next weekend.

 

Today (Thursday 15th Feb) Wide Releases:

-Black Panther (*): No screen count yet, but easily over 330 screens will have.

-Darkest Hour

 

(*)I Tracked Hoyts and Cinmark Chains (30% of the screens) to see how much it sold in advance aT 11 AM of today, and I saw an average of 30% booked, so it's not looking bad either isn't looking something to be massive. I think it will open in the 30.000-35.000 adm. range.

 

Marvel Character Origin Post Avengers OD:

-Ant-Man: 27.175 Adm. OD (July 2015)

-Doctor Strange: 22.407 OD (October 2016)

 

Last 2 CMB Movies Opening in February OD:

-Deadpool: 45.374 adm. OD (2016)

-Logan: 44.099 adn, OD (2017)

 

 

 

[lor15]

Oh god, Black Panther did finally 56K on OD!!! That's huge

 

Also interesting that COCO became again the smallest drop in the top 10, only -33%

Edited February 16, 2018 by lor15

[Hei25]

Thursday 15th February Estimates:

 

1. Black Panther *NEW 56.054 adm. OD

2. Fifty Shades Freed 24.010 adm. (-70%) Total = 419.521 adm.

3. Coco 20.113 adm. (-33%) Total = 2.283.597

4. Darkest Hour *NEW 3.584 adm. OD

5. Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle 3.530 adm. (-41%) Total = 1.219.127 adm. 

 

Strong OD for Black Panther, really strong way over the expectations now is time to wait how it holds during the next days to realize how succesfull can be, but it's OD suggest an OW easily over 230.000 adm. (1.7M USD). Compared to Thor. Ragnarok's 49.157 OD, it opened 14% better, but it's pushed by school break. Thor Ragnarock had an OW of 300.263 adm., it's hard to match that amount of admissions, but BP start is enthusiastic.

As expected Fifty Shades Freed fell really hard, but based on it's massive OD, the total of tickets sold yesterday is fine.

Coco fell to the third place in the rank despite it's great hold again, but it may return to the 2nd spot during the weekend.

 

Yet still some screens to count so estimates could go a bit higher.-

[manny1234]

Since Uruguay is Argentina neighbor and similar culturally I may want to start helping out by posting Uruguay numbers so I will start out the First day when Black Panther open right here:

 

1. Black Panther *New* 2.395 ADM OD

2. Fifty Shades Freed  1.418 ADM (-70%) Total = 24.633 ADM

3. Coco 1.321 ADM (-11%) Total = 86.286 ADM 

4. Jumanji: Welcome To The Jungle 654 ADM (-29%) Total = 82.571 ADM

5. The Post 467 ADM (-32%) Total = 17.790 ADM

[lor15]

2 hours ago, manny1234 said:

Since Uruguay is Argentina neighbor and similar culturally I may want to start helping out by posting Uruguay numbers so I will start out the First day when Black Panther open right here:

 

1. Black Panther *New* 2.395 ADM OD

2. Fifty Shades Freed  1.418 ADM (-70%) Total = 24.633 ADM

3. Coco 1.321 ADM (-11%) Total = 86.286 ADM 

4. Jumanji: Welcome To The Jungle 654 ADM (-29%) Total = 82.571 ADM

5. The Post 467 ADM (-32%) Total = 17.790 ADM

Hey, I'm uruguayan! I never posted something about my country because it's a really small country, but as you say the market share is very similar to Argentina. Coco's run has been impressive, CBM usually are not so big here btw, I hope BP do ok

Edited February 16, 2018 by lor15

[manny1234]

5 minutes ago, lor15 said:

Hey, I'm uruguayan! I never posted something about my country because it's a really small country, but as you say the market share is very similar to Argentina. Coco's run has been impressive, CBM usually are not so big here btw, I hope BP do ok

That good I think maybe you can help too with Uruguay in the Argentina thread too.

[Hei25]

Weekend (15th-18th February) Estimtes_

 

#	MOVIE	Week	ADMISSIONS	SCREENS	CHANGE LW	TOTAL
1	Black Panther	New	246.357	350	-	246.357
2	Coco	6th	115.148	257	-42%	2.379.865
3	Fifty Shades Freed	2nd	109.985	266	-52%	507.076
4	Darkest Hour	New	34.898	88	-	34.898
5	The Post	3rd	20.644	62	-56%	182.999
6	Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle	7th	19.988	82	-55%	1.235.791
7	15:17 to Paris	2nd	12.545	60	-64%	71.808
8	Woody Woodpecker	3rd	8.383	68	-66%	105.556
9	Maze Runner: The Death Cure	4th	7.697	36	-70%	291.122
10	The Vault	New	5.111	43	-	5.111

 

 

Great OW (1.8M USD) for Black Panther, obviously compared to the rest of the countries where it opened this weekend it looks disappointing, but this is a solid start. This is on par with Logan's and 17% above Deadpool's OWs, both of these movies had great multipliers (Logan x3.36 / Dadpool x4.02) so based on it's strong reviews I'm confident that a multiplier over x3 is locked, with that in mind a total north of 750.000 adm. seems likely. A result of that size is very solid for a CBM.

The holdovers fell strong due the melting hot weather (38 ºC on sunday) and 'coz the last weekwend was pushed by a holiday on monday. Despite that Fifty Shades Freed hold way better than it's predecessor and finish over 650.000 adm. seems locked.

Even having it's steeper fall since it's release Coco had the best hold among all the movies and finished the weekend over 100.000 admissions for the 6th week in a row.

 

Last week monday and thuesday were holidays, and wednesday was Valentine's Day, so the WoW drops will be massive. Bad weather for Today and tomorrow may help to dissimulate the huge drop.

 

 

 

 

 

Edited February 19, 2018 by Hei25
Estimates Update

[manny1234]

Uruguay Weekend number estimates:

#	Title	Seal	Public	Screens	Sem anti	% Variation	Accumulated
1	Black Panther	DISNEY	10,493	40	0	-	10,493
2	Fifty Shades Released	UNIVE	5,798	41	16,015	-63.80	30,081
3	Coconut	DISNEY	5,438	Four. Five	10,460	-48,01	90,403
4	Jumanji: In the jungle	JELSI	3.006	30	6.615	-54.56	84,923
5	The Post: The Dark Secrets of the Pentagon	UNIVE	2.431	27	5,352	-54.58	19,754
6	The shape of the water	LIFEFILMS	2,268	29	4.858	-53.31	9.732
7	The Crazy Bird: The movie	UNIVE	1,586	37	3.870	-59.02	7,766
8	The darkest hours	UNIVE	1,498	twenty-one	2.137	-29.90	14.206
9	The night of the devil: The last key	JELSI	1,265	13	2.081	-39.21	18.126
10	The passenger	JELSI	1.211	twenty-one	2.048	-40.87	18,715

Edited February 19, 2018 by manny1234

[Hei25]

Black Panther OW Against MCU Origin (Since Avengers)

 

Black Panther OW = 246.357 adm. 

 

GotG (2014's Winter Holidays) OW = 288.292 adm. / Total = 771.686 adm.

Ant-Man (2015's Winter Holidays) OW = 143.560 adm. / Total = 571.000 adm.

Doctor Strange (November 2016) OW = 197.933 / Total = 555.154 adm.

 

[manny1234]

@Hei25 I have become posting Uruguay numbers in this thread since both Argentina and Uruguay are neighbors and similar culturally, do they also have similar box office tastes?